Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2006

Mesoscale Discussion 1237

June 19, 20064 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 19, 2006, 1:51 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2006, 1:51 AM CDT (06:51 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2006, 3:45 AM CDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 137 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Lee County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Geary County, KS, Graham County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Smith County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ray County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Washington County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2006-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2006-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-112 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2335 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
511 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 190652
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190651 
ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-190845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1237
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0151 AM CDT MON JUN 19 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IA/S CENTRAL AND SERN NEB/NRN KS/NRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 190651Z - 190845Z

EXPECT STORMS TO PERSIST -- ROUGHLY CENTERED ON THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY
-- OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  THOUGH LOCAL THREAT FOR HAIL WILL
CONTINUE WITH STRONGER CELLS...WW NOT ANTICIPATED.

ELONGATED CLUSTER OF STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES MOVING
ESEWD ACROSS SRN IA ATTM...WITHIN REGION OF ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
LEFT EXIT REGION OF UPPER JET. STORMS ARE ALSO INCREASING IN
COVERAGE ACROSS S CENTRAL NEB...WITHIN ZONE OF WARM
ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT N OF SURFACE FRONT.  

MARGINAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS INDICATED ACROSS THIS
REGION...WHICH COMBINED WITH PRESENCE OF LOW-LEVEL JET AND UPPER
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH/JET STREAK SHOULD SUPPORT A CONTINUATION OF
CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  THOUGH MODERATELY-STRONG
MID-LEVEL WNWLY FLOW REMAINS SUFFICIENT FOR LOCALLY
ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS...ELEVATED/MARGINAL NATURE OF INSTABILITY
SUGGESTS ONLY A LIMITED HAIL THREAT.

..GOSS.. 06/19/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...GLD...

41629328 41079155 39759123 38699604 39300026 40030073
41089904 41999691

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 18, 8:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Fremont, Lucas and 6 more2 hr
Jun 19, 1:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Clark, Knox, Lewis, Macon, Marion and 5 more2 hr
Jun 19, 3:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Kimball55 min
Jun 19, 4:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Kimball, Morrill and 2 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2006Every mesoscale discussion in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.