Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Winter Storm Watches in 2006
Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this winter storm watch at Jan 22, 2006, 4:13 AM EST for Carbon County, Monroe County, Pennsylvania; Sussex County, New Jersey. It took effect at Jan 23, 2006, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 22, 2006, 4:13 AM EST (09:13 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 23, 2006, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 22, 2006, 3:00 PM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Counties Sussex County, NJ, Carbon County, PA, Monroe County, PA
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1640 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 99 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -327 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -138 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS41 KPHI 220913
WSWPHI
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
413 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006
NJZ001-PAZ054-055-222230-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0002.060123T0600Z-060123T2300Z/
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
413 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE SOUTHERN POCONOS AND FAR
NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW PLUS SUBSEQUENT
SIGNIFICANT ICING ARE POSSIBLE.
LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE GULF STATES TODAY AND
BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE APPALACHIANS. HIGH PRESSURE OVER
OUR REGION TODAY WILL RECEDE GRUDGINGLY. THE COMPLEX LOW IS EXPECTED
TO REDEVELOP AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA
BY DAYBREAK MONDAY WHILE THE HIGH ONLY SLOWLY WEAKENS.
THE MOST THREATENING SCENARIO IS THAT THE PRECIPITATION FROM THE
ADVANCING LOW AND STUBBORN COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE WOULD COMBINE TO
GENERATE A PERIOD OF SNOW FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN.
THIS IS ESPECIALLY POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW, SLEET, OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. PEOPLE
IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD STAY ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECAST, AS
WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES ULTIMATELY MAY BE NEEDED. PLEASE STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
UPDATES.
$$
THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR THE WINTER OF LATE 2005 THROUGH
EARLY 2006. THE PROBABILITIES GIVEN BELOW ARE BASED ON A
COMBINATION OF STATISTICAL THEORY, OUR SNOWFALL FORECASTS OVER THE
PAST SEVERAL WINTERS, AND THE MOST LIKELY SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THIS
POTENTIAL STORM. THE PERIOD OF EXPECTED SNOWFALL IS LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
=====================================================================
PROBABILITY (PERCENT) OF REACHING OR EXCEEDING
THE FOLLOWING STORM-TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS (INCHES)
=====================================================================
STATION 2IN 4IN 6IN 9IN 12IN 18IN 24IN
=====================================================================
MPO 75 55 30 10 5 <5 <5
ABE 50 25 10 <5 <5 <5 <5
PHL <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5
ACY <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5
GED <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5
=====================================================================
PROBABILITIES ARE ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST 5 PERCENT.
STATION IDENTIFIERS:
MPO - MOUNT POCONO, PA (MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT)
ABE - ALLENTOWN, PA (LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
PHL - PHILADELPHIA, PA (PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
ACY - POMONA, NJ (ATLANTIC CITY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
GED - GEORGETOWN, DE (SUSSEX COUNTY AIRPORT)
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ER/PHI.
/DELISI1 follow-up statement
000 WWUS41 KPHI 222000 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 300 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006 NJZ001-PAZ054-055-230200- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0002.060123T0600Z-060123T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0003.060123T0300Z-060123T2300Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 300 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST MONDAY. FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW ARE FORECAST OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON, ENDING AS A PERIOD OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST THIS EVENING ALLOWING A LOW PRESSURE, DEVELOPING OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, TO MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING AND BECOME HEAVIER AS THE LOW TRACKS INTO THE MIDDLE APPALACHIAN REGION BY DAYBREAK. THE LOW PRESSURE WILL BE WELL OFFSHORE BY MONDAY EVENING. THE TEMPERATURES IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ONLY IN THE LOW TO MID 30S THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL FALL TO THE LOW AND MIDDLE 20S OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW THE PRECIPITATION TO REMAIN ALL SNOW FOR MOST OF THE EVENT. HOWEVER, TOWARD THE END THERE SHOULD BE A PERIOD OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AS THE TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO NEAR FREEZING. ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD END BEFORE MONDAY EVENING. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ NJZ007-008-PAZ061-062-230200- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0004.060123T0300Z-060123T1700Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM...EASTON 300 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST MONDAY. TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW ARE FORECAST OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING, MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST THIS EVENING ALLOWING A LOW PRESSURE, DEVELOPING OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, TO MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING AND BECOME HEAVIER AS THE LOW TRACKS INTO THE MIDDLE APPALACHIAN REGION BY DAYBREAK. THE LOW PRESSURE WILL BE WELL OFFSHORE BY MONDAY EVENING. THE TEMPERATURES IN THE ADVISORY AREA ARE IN THE 35 TO 40 DEGREE RANGE THIS AFTERNOON, BUT WILL BE FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW THE PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS SNOW FOR A PERIOD OF TIME DURING THIS EVENT BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AND THEN CHANGE TO RAIN DURING THE MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ009-010-PAZ060-068-069-230200- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0004.060123T0300Z-060123T1100Z/ HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-BERKS-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...READING... NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN 300 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ARE FORECAST OVERNIGHT. THE GREATEST AREAS OF CONCERN ARE IN THE NORTHERN PARTS OF BERKS, MONTGOMERY, BUCKS, HUNTERDON AND SOMERSET COUNTIES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST THIS EVENING ALLOWING A LOW PRESSURE, DEVELOPING OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, TO MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING AND BECOME HEAVIER AS THE LOW TRACKS INTO THE MIDDLE APPALACHIAN REGION BY DAYBREAK. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE ALL RAIN BY MONDAY MORNING. THE LOW PRESSURE WILL BE WELL OFFSHORE BY MONDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON ARE IN THE LOWER 40S THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL DROP TO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S OVERNIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ GIGI/EBERWINE
The office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 3:00 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | PHI | Carbon, Lehigh, Monroe, Northampton | 20 days |
| Jan 22, 3:00 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | PHI | Berks, Lehigh, Northampton | 19 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2006Winter Storm Watches in New Jersey, 2006Every winter storm watch in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.