Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2006

Tornado Warning 13, NWS Paducah, KY

March 9, 2006Ballard County, Kentucky; Mississippi County, Missouri; Alexander County, Illinois

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Mar 9, 2006, 6:26 PM CST for Ballard County, Kentucky; Mississippi County, Missouri; Alexander County, Illinois. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 9, 2006, 6:26 PM CST (00:26 UTC)
Expired: Mar 9, 2006, 7:00 PM CST
In force: 34 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Alexander County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Mississippi County, MO

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 9, 12:55 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr
Mar 9, 5:18 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	3 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 243 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1265 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 559 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 972 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS53 KPAH 100028
TORPAH
ILC003-KYC007-MOC133-100100-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0013.060310T0026Z-060310T0100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
626 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME SOUTHERN ALEXANDER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.
  BALLARD COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY.
  MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

* UNTIL 700 PM CST.

* AT 622 PM CST...COUNTY OFFICERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
  NEAR CHARLESTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH. THEY ALSO REPORTED
  QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 65 TO 70 MPH WINDS. DAMAGE WAS REPORTED IN
  THE AREA AS WELL.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE...
  NEAR WICKLIFFE BY 635 PM CST.
  NEAR BARLOW BY 640 PM CST.
  NEAR KEVIL...LA CENTER...6 MILES NORTHWEST OF GAGE AND 7 MILES
  SOUTHEAST OF BANDANA BY 645 PM CST.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW.

LAT...LON 3685 8931 3685 8931 3696 8931 3709 8913
      3719 8892 3700 8884 3694 8898 3695 8901
      3694 8903 3694 8909 3696 8910 3690 8912
      3683 8921

$$

KS/PS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 9, 3:00 PM CST, 3 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 3:00 PM CST, 3 hours 26 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
300 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

.DISCUSSION...

BIGGEST CHALLENGES WITH THIS PACKAGE ARE WITH CONCERNS FOR MORE
FLOODING RAINS AND SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO
MONDAY.

STILL LOOKS AS THOUGH FRIDAY WILL BE A DRY DAY. HOWEVER..RESPITE
COULD BE QUITE BRIEF AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT SHOULD DEVELOP SOUTH OF
THE REGION FRIDAY EVENING...AND THEN MOVES RAPIDLY NORTH ACROSS THE
AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SAT MORNING. THIS FEATURE IN CONJUNCTION
WITH SOUTHERLY H85 JET NOSING ACROSS IT COULD LEAD TO A RAPID
REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT/SAT
MORNING. DO NOT THINKS THIS WILL BE AN OVERWHELMING EVENT AT THIS
TIME...WITH MOST QPF AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO BE 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH...MAINLY
ALONG/EAST OF THE WABASH AND OHIO RVR VALLEYS.

THEN...ANOTHER SURFACE FRONT SHOULD APPROACH FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. QUITE STRONG WIND FLOW ALOFT AND GFS
FORECAST LIS IN THE -2 TO -4 CATEGORY LATE SAT/SAT NIGHT COULD LEAD
TO ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE STORMS TO GO ALONG WITH THE HEAVY RAIN
POTENTIAL. DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE AXIS OF THE HEAVY RAINS...BUT
RIGHT NOW THE BEST GUESS AS OF NOW WOULD BE THE NW HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA SAT EVENING/NIGHT...AND THE SE HALF SUN MORNING.

IF THAT WERE NOT ENOUGH...THE MAIN UPPER LOW TO OUR WEST WILL
FINALLY BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL SPAWN
ANOTHER STRONG SURFACE LOW OUT TO OUR WEST IN THE PLAINS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS POTENT UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW WILL TRACK
NE INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST/IA REGION BY MON MORNING. THIS
SCENARIO...COMBINED WITH LOADS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING NORTH
FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO...GFS FORECAST LIS 0 TO -4 AND VERY STRONG
WIND FIELDS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER CHC OF HEAVY RAINS AND SVR STORMS
LATER SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY.

ALREADY HAVE RECEIVED NUMEROUS REPORTS OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS DURING
THE PAST 24 HRS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...ESP ALONG AND NW OF THE OHIO RVR.
MANY SMALL RIVERS ACROSS THE REGION ARE NOW FORECAST TO REACH FLOOD
STAGE...WITHOUT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. THUS...THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
OVER THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY. IT
IS CONCEIVABLE WITH THIS PATTERN SET UP THAT ANOTHER 2-4 INCHES MAY
FALL IN SOME LOCATIONS... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. AT THE VERY
LEAST...THIS WOULD AGGRAVATE ANY ONGOING FLOODING OVER THE REGION.
WILL ISSUE ESF PRODUCT (HYDROLOGICAL OUTLOOK) TO ASSESS THE FLOODING
POTENTIAL.

LOOKS AS THOUGH THINGS WILL FINALLY DRY OUT BEHIND THE MONDAY
SYSTEM...AS UPPER FLOW FINALLY SWITCHES AROUND TO A MORE WNW
DIRECTION.

AS FAR AS TEMPS ARE CONCERNED...LOOK FOR CONTINUATION OF WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPS...DAY AND NIGHT...UNTIL THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ON MONDAY.
MANY AREAS WILL REACH THE 70S SAT/SUN...AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE 80 IF THE SUN HAPPENS TO POP OUT FOR A FEW HOURS.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT FOR WABASH...EDWARDS...
WHITE...AND GALLATIN COUNTIES.
IN...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM FOR GIBSON...POSEY...
VANDERBURGH...AND PIKE COUNTIES.
&&

MEFFERT

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 5:35 PM CST, 51 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
535 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-102345-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
535 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY THIS EVENING.
THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A FEW
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

ALSO...NORTHERN AREAS OF THE QUAD STATE REGION CAN EXPECT GUSTY
WINDS UP TO 40 MPH OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

FINALLY...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS AND A SMALL PORTION OF SOUTHWEST
ILLINIOS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK. VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE UPPER
AIR WIND FLOW PATTERN. AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED
CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING...AND
POSSIBLY AGAIN OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 9, 5:07 PM CST, 1 hour 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
507 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HAIL             FAIRDEALING             36.66N 90.62W
03/09/2006  M0.88 INCH       RIPLEY             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Mar 9, 5:30 PM CST, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
530 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NE CAPE GIRARDEAU     37.32N 89.54W
03/09/2006  M4.70 INCH       CAPE GIRARDEAU     MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL REPORT.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Mar 9, 5:47 PM CST, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
547 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0546 PM     HAIL             DEXTER                  36.79N 89.96W
03/09/2006  M0.75 INCH       STODDARD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIND GUST ESTIMATED 60 MPH ASSOCIATED WITH STORM.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Mar 9, 6:02 PM CST, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
602 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W POSEYVILLE          38.17N 87.84W
03/09/2006  M9.50 INCH       POSEY              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL MEASURED AT 6 PM CST.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Mar 9, 6:25 PM CST, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
625 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N PORTAGEVILLE        36.44N 89.70W
03/09/2006                   NEW MADRID         MO   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            MOBLE HOME OVERTURNED WITH 4 INDIVIDUALS TRAPPED INSIDE.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Mar 9, 6:26 PM CST, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
626 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     6 S CHARLESTON          36.83N 89.34W
03/09/2006                   MISSISSIPPI        MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 9, 6:31 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Fulton, Hickman	29 min
Mar 9, 6:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Carlisle, Graves, McCracken	47 min
Mar 9, 6:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Livingston, Lyon, Marshall	38 min
Mar 9, 7:02 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Calloway, Trigg	43 min
Mar 9, 7:12 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Crittenden	33 min
Mar 9, 7:31 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian, Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg, Todd	59 min
Mar 9, 7:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Union	43 min
Mar 9, 7:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Webster	47 min
Mar 9, 7:45 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Trigg	15 min
Mar 9, 7:53 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson	67 min
Mar 9, 8:20 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess	55 min
Mar 9, 8:29 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Todd	16 min
Mar 9, 6:08 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Mississippi	37 min
Mar 9, 6:16 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Scott	29 min
Mar 9, 6:21 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Cape Girardeau	114 min
Mar 9, 6:31 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Union	44 min
Mar 9, 6:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Hamilton, Jefferson, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 3 more	40 min
Mar 9, 7:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Hardin	45 min
Mar 9, 7:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Edwards, Wabash, Wayne, White	54 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2006 Tornado Warnings in Missouri, 2006 Tornado Warnings in Illinois, 2006 Every tornado warning in 2006 Tornadoes in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.