Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 21, NWS Nashville, TN

March 9, 2006Clay County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 9, 2006, 5:37 PM CST for Clay County, Tennessee. It was in force for 53 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 9, 2006, 5:37 PM CST (23:37 UTC)
Expired: Mar 9, 2006, 6:30 PM CST
In force: 53 min
Issued by: NWS Nashville, TN
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Clay County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 9, 2:40 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 804 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 271 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 287 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KOHX 092337
SVROHX
TNC027-100030-
/O.NEW.KOHX.SV.W.0021.060309T2337Z-060310T0030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
537 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CLAY COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CELINA

* UNTIL 630 PM CST

* AT 535 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 24 MILES WEST OF CELINA...OR
  ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE...AND MOVING EAST AT 75 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL
  AREAS OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3662 8533 3654 8533 3652 8562 3651 8563
      3652 8572 3651 8575 3653 8578 3651 8580
      3662 8577

$$

31

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 9, 3:47 PM CST, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 3:47 PM CST, 1 hour 50 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
347 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

.SHORT TERM...STORMS ARE NOW MAKING THEIR WAY INTO SOUTHWEST
MIDDLE TENNESSEE, WITH WARNINGS ALREADY BEING ISSUED. MAIN LINE OF
STORMS SHOWS A LINE ECHO WAVE PATTERN OVER PERRY, DECATUR, AND
BENTON COUNTIES.

COMPUTER MODELS ARE SHOWING THE PEAK TIME FOR ACTIVE WEATHER AT
NASHVILLE TO BE RIGHT AT 00Z. THE SPECIAL SOUNDING DONE HERE AT
18Z SHOWS THE ENVIRONMENT IS NOT ALL THAT UNSTABLE, WITH A LIFTED
INDEX OF +3.4, AND A MINISCULE POSITIVE AREA. THE BIG INHIBITOR
APPEARS TO BE A CAP BASED AT 850 MB.

BUT THERE IS PLENTY OF WIND SHEAR OUT THERE, AS THE 0-3 KM
HELICITY WAS 732. WIND SPEED AT 2,000 WAS 42 KNOTS, THEN 48 KNOTS
AT 3,000 FEET, 48 KNOTS AT 3,000 FEET, 56 KNOTS AT 4,000 FEET, AND
62 KNOTS AT 6,000 FEET.

THE SOUNDING SHOWS A DEEP DRY LAYER BETWEEN 600 AND 850 MB, WHICH
IS ABOUT 9,300 FEET THICK.

AT ANY RATE, EVEN A HEAVY RAINSHOWER COULD BRING DOWN A DOWNBURST
CAPABLE OF DOING DAMAGE, AS VOLATILE AS THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD IS.

THE LINE OF STORMS WILL WEAKEN ONCE IT GETS EAST OF NASHVILLE.
STILL, THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH EXTENDING TO THE PLATEAU IS A
GOOD CALL BY THE SPC GIVEN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.

HAVE ALSO INCLUDED A WIND ADVISORY FOR AREAS EAST OF NASHVILLE
UNTIL 900 PM, GIVEN THAT THE SURFACE GRADIENT ACROSS OUR WESTERN
COUNTIES WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE LINE OF
STORMS, LEAVING THE STRONGEST WINDS EAST OF HERE.

THE SURFACE MAP AT 21Z SHOWS A DEEP 987 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR ST.
LOUIS, WITH THE COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD INTO CENTRAL
ARKANSAS THROUGH THE ARK-LA-TEX.

.LONG TERM...LOW CENTER WILL CONTINUE ON ITS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK,
ALTHOUGH WE WILL NEVER GET A TRUE FRONTAL PASSAGE, PER SE, EVEN
THOUGH DEW POINTS WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES LOWER TOMORROW THAN
TODAY. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT, BUT WILL BACK
AROUND TO THE SOUTH BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
WEATHER SYSTEM.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE    49  69  52  75 /  90  10  20  40
CLARKSVILLE  49  67  54  75 /  90  10  20  40
CROSSVILLE   48  66  51  70 /  90  10  20  40
&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BEDFORD...CANNON...CLAY...COFFEE...CUMBERLAND...DEKALB...
FENTRESS...GILES...GRUNDY...JACKSON...MACON...MARSHALL...
OVERTON...PICKETT...PUTNAM...RUTHERFORD...SMITH...TROUSDALE...
VAN BUREN...WARREN...WHITE...AND WILSON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 9 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BEDFORD...CANNON...CLAY...COFFEE...CUMBERLAND...
DAVIDSON...DEKALB...FENTRESS...GILES...GRUNDY...JACKSON...
LAWRENCE...MACON...MARSHALL...MAURY...OVERTON...PICKETT...
PUTNAM...RUTHERFORD...SMITH...SUMNER...TROUSDALE...VAN BUREN...
WARREN...WHITE...WILLIAMSON...AND WILSON.

TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 7 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BENTON...CHEATHAM...DICKSON...HICKMAN...HOUSTON...HUMPHREYS...
LEWIS...MONTGOMERY...PERRY...ROBERTSON...STEWART...AND WAYNE.
&&

ROSE

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 5:30 AM CST, 12 hours 7 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CST THU MAR 9 2006

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-101130-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-CLAY-COFFEE-CUMBERLAND-DAVIDSON-
DEKALB-DICKSON-FENTRESS-GILES-GRUNDY-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MACON-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PERRY-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WAYNE-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
530 AM CST THU MAR 9 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
MIDSTATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS EVENT
WILL BE DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT OVER THE AREA WILL DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
ALSO...HIGH WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA...WITH WINDS INCREASING
TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. THE HIGH WINDS WILL BE A THREAT
TO HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...AS WELL AS MARINE TRAFFIC ON AREA LAKES.

.DAYS TWO AND THREE...FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...
LITTLE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. INCREASING ATMOSPHERIC
INSTABILITY WILL BRING MORE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY INTO THE MIDSTATE
ON SATURDAY. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH
DAMAGING WIND OR HAIL.

.DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE ON MONDAY AS THE COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE MIDSTATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY
MORNING AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED ON
WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

JLM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 9, 4:59 PM CST, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
459 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 7 SE LAWRENCEBURG       35.17N 87.25W
03/09/2006                   LAWRENCE           TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LIMBS DOWN IN ROAD IN EAST AND SOUTHEAST LAWRENCE COUNTY.

&&

MASSIE

Local storm report, Mar 9, 5:09 PM CST, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
509 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 SE DICKSON            36.02N 87.30W
03/09/2006                   DICKSON            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            *** 2 INJ *** MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED WITH INJURIES ONE
            HALF MILE NORTH OF HICKMAN DICKSON COUNTY LINE ON HIGHWAY
            46.

&&

MASSIE

Local storm report, Mar 9, 5:09 PM CST, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FOR TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
509 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0411 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 SE DICKSON            36.02N 87.30W
03/09/2006                   DICKSON            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            *** 2 INJ *** MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED WITH INJURIES ONE
            HALF MILE NORTH OF HICKMAN DICKSON COUNTY LINE ON HIGHWAY
            46.

&&

MASSIE

Local storm report, Mar 9, 5:15 PM CST, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
515 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LA VERGNE               36.00N 86.57W
03/09/2006                   RUTHERFORD         TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PHONE POLES BLOWN DOWN.

&&

MASSIE

Local storm report, Mar 9, 5:23 PM CST, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
523 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SMYRNA                  35.98N 86.52W
03/09/2006                   RUTHERFORD         TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SIDING BLOWN OFF HOUSE ALONG WEAKLEY ROAD

&&

MASSIE

Local storm report, Mar 9, 5:25 PM CST, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
525 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NW MURFREESBORO       35.88N 86.43W
03/09/2006                   RUTHERFORD         TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWERLINES AND POLES BLOWN DOWN ON BLACKMAN ROAD IN
            BLACKMAN COMMUNITY.

&&

MASSIE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 9, 4:20 AM CST	Wind Advisory	OHX	Bedford, Benton, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee and 33 more	17 hr
Mar 9, 2:48 PM CST	Tornado Warning	OHX	Wayne	57 min
Mar 9, 3:16 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lewis, Perry	44 min
Mar 9, 3:35 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Hickman	55 min
Mar 9, 3:44 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Wayne	37 min
Mar 9, 3:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lawrence	50 min
Mar 9, 4:02 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lewis	29 min
Mar 9, 4:10 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Maury	45 min
Mar 9, 4:11 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Dickson, Williamson	34 min
Mar 9, 4:22 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson	23 min
Mar 9, 4:26 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Giles	34 min
Mar 9, 4:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Williamson	28 min
Mar 9, 4:35 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Lawrence	3 hr
Mar 9, 4:37 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Marshall	38 min
Mar 9, 4:41 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson, Rutherford, Sumner, Wilson	49 min
Mar 9, 4:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Bedford	34 min
Mar 9, 5:11 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cannon, DeKalb, Jackson, Macon, Smith, Trousdale	68 min
Mar 9, 5:22 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Coffee	38 min
Mar 9, 5:25 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Rutherford, Wilson	35 min
Mar 9, 5:28 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Bedford	33 min
Mar 9, 5:37 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Clay	53 min
Mar 9, 5:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Coffee	34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.