Severe Thunderstorm Warning 240, NWS Twin Cities, MN

000 
WWUS53 KMPX 170317
SVSMPX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1014 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006

MNC053-171-170330-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0240.000000T0000Z-060917T0330Z/
WRIGHT MN-HENNEPIN MN-
1014 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR HENNEPIN AND WRIGHT COUNTIES...

AT 1010 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING 
WINDS. THE STORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR BROOKLYN PARK TO JUST NORTHWEST 
OF LAKE MINNETONKA...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.  ANOTHER STORM WAS 
STRENGTHENING ABOUT 10 MILES WEST OF BUFFALO...AND WAS ALSO MOVING 
EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES...AND WINDS OF 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AS THE 
STORMS CROSS THE REMAINDER OF HENNEPIN COUNTY...INCLUDING 
MINNEAPOLIS...AND ALSO NEAR BUFFALO.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA.

LAT...LON 4524 9390 4506 9394 4502 9370 4495 9343
      4514 9330 4520 9343

$$

TDK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
300 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006

DISCUSSION...CURRENT SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
EXTENDING FROM SOUTHWEST MANITOBA...THROUGH THE EASTERN DAKOTAS AND
INTO NEBRASKA. AHEAD OF THE SFC LOW...CURRENT ASOS/RAWS OBSERVATIONS
ARE REPORTING BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS SUSTAINED AROUND 20 KT. WINDS
HAVE REMAINED BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA /30 KT/ THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...AN ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED SUNDAY LATE MORNING/AFTN FOR THE
SW HALF OF MPX CWA AS THE LOW TO THE NORTH DEEPENS RESULTING IN
BREEZY WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS.

FORECAST FOCUS ON THE CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL AND TORNADO
DEVELOPMENT...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER IN THE
EASTERN DAKOTAS AND WESTERN HALF OF MINNESOTA THIS EVENING. CURRENT
RADAR/SAT IMAGERY SHOWS INITIATION HAS BEGUN IN CEN SD...NEAR
PIERRE/HURON. A TOR WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM FOR THE
EASTERN HALF OF SD.

THE SFC LOW IS FCST TO DEPEND AND TRACK NNE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF
OF MINNESOTA...REACHING THE BORDERLAND OVERNIGHT. WE CONTINUE TO
EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN TO STRONG/SVR CRITERIA IN
THE ERN DAKOTAS...THEN SPREADING EAST-NORTHEAST INTO THE FAR WRN CWA
EARLY THIS EVENING.  THE SEVERE THREAT WILL DIMINISH AFTER
MIDNIGHT...BUT THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
ACROSS THE FA INTO SUNDAY MORNING. ANY LEFT OVER SHOWERS WILL END
FROM THE SW BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE DRY SLOT PUSHES INTO EASTERN
MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN.

THE SYSTEM IS FCST TO BECOME VERTICALLY STACKED ALONG THE ND/MN
BORDER SUNDAY AFTN. THE STACKED LOW IN NORTHERN MINNESOTA IS FCST TO
BRING WRAP-AROUND SHOWERS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPS TO THE FA SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE 50S FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE
WORK WEEK.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
&&

BRANDT FOR MPX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
529 AM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
171030-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
529 AM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER WEST CENTRAL AND
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING AS A STRONG COLD FRONT ADVANCES INTO THE STATE. THE
MODERATE THREAT IS ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM FAIRMONT TO
ALEXANDRIA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER FAR
EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND SPREAD INTO WEST
CENTRAL AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA DURING THE EVENING.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS...
BUT THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR A TORNADO OR TWO. THE STORMS ARE
THEN EXPECTED TO FORM INTO A LINE DURING THE EVENING AND ADVANCE
EASTWARD. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AS
THEY MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL AREAS OF MINNESOTA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

STRONG WEST WINDS NEAR 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP ON SUNDAY IN THE WAKE
OF THE COLD FRONT OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST AREAS OF
MINNESOTA. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY OR EARLY
SUNDAY IF FORECAST CONDITIONS REMAIN THE SAME TODAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

RAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
546 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL             BENSON                  45.32N 95.61W
09/16/2006  E1.25 INCH       SWIFT              MN   PUBLIC

&&

JVM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
811 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     HAIL             2 S ECHO                44.59N 95.41W
09/16/2006  E0.88 INCH       YELLOW MEDICINE    MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JVM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
846 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 S ECHO                44.59N 95.41W
09/16/2006                   YELLOW MEDICINE    MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0715 PM     HAIL             3 N BELVIEW             44.65N 95.33W
09/16/2006  E0.88 INCH       REDWOOD            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JVM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
859 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0847 PM     TSTM WND GST     REDWOOD FALLS           44.54N 95.11W
09/16/2006  E59.00 MPH       REDWOOD            MN   ASOS

            AT REDWOOD FALLS AIRPORT ON EAST SIDE OF TOWN.

&&

JVM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
938 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006

MNZ059-060-170330-
HENNEPIN-WRIGHT-
938 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR WRIGHT AND HENNEPIN COUNTIES UNTIL
1030 PM CDT...

AT 937 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF
BUFFALO TO 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF WACONIA...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS ALONG WITH SOME
HALF INCH HAIL.

PEOPLE IN HENNEPIN AND SOUTHEASTERN WRIGHT COUNTIES...SHOULD MONITOR
THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.