High Wind Warning 35, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 240923
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
423 AM CDT SUN SEP 24 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE PASS EARLY 
THIS MORNING...

.SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE
WESTERN PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND WILL RESULT IN INCREASING WINDS THROUGH THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. CHANNELLING OF THE WINDS THROUGH GUADALUPE
PASS WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE WINDS FURTHER. EAST WINDS SUSTAINED
AT 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

TXZ258-241730-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0035.000000T0000Z-060924T1800Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
323 AM MDT SUN SEP 24 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT TODAY...

EAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED INCREASE TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
AROUND 3 AM MDT.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. MOTORISTS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...ARE URGED TO
EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING ALONG HIGHWAY 62/180 THROUGH THE
GUADALUPE PASS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
937 AM CDT SAT SEP 23 2006

.UPDATE...
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED WEST INTO GDP MTNS WITH ELY WIND THRU THE
PASS. WSM PROFILER INDICATES STOUT MID LEVEL FLOW 50KTS AT 5H AND 35KTS
7H WITH 7H-5H OMEGA INDICATING LIFT ACRS THE W. IR DOES INDICATE
MID CLOUDS FORMING W WITH MTRGDP REPORTING RAIN. THUS HAVE UPDATED
FCST TO INCLUDE MINIMAL POPS AND MORE CLOUDS WRN AREAS AND EARLIER
E WINDS THRU GDP. UPDATES SENT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 343 AM CDT SAT SEP 23 2006)

SHORT TERM...
AREA RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY
LOCATED ALONG A CARLSBAD TO LAMESA LINE AT 08Z. 3 HOUR PRESSURE
CHANGES ARE ON THE ORDER OF 3-4 MB ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NM.

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE STEADY SOUTHWARD PROGRESS TODAY.
BRIEF GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...WITH WINDS GRADUALLY DECREASING THEREAFTER AS SURFACE
PRESSURE RISES DECREASE AND PRESSURE FALLS OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO
BEGIN. NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AS ANOTHER
SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION. TODAY/S HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL AS SOME COOLER AIR AT 850MB
PUSHES INTO THE AREA. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO COOL TO BELOW
NORMAL WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE.

LONG TERM...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE
NORTHERN PLAINS SOUTHWEST INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA.  THIS TROUGH
WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST THROUGH MONDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS INTO THE SOUTHWEST U.S.  THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN TOWARDS
MIDWEEK AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS SENDING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AS
THE AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT IS FAIRLY DRY.  DEWPOINTS WILL DROP
INTO THE 40S AND WILL SLOWLY MOISTEN UP THROUGH MID-WEEK.  THEN A
SECOND COLD FRONT WILL BRING A SECOND SHOT OF DRY AIR INTO THE
AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP ON SUNDAY AS A COOLER AIRMASS MOVES INTO THE
AREA BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
SATURDAY.  HIGHS WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S.  THEY WILL REBOUND SOMEWHAT THROUGH MID-WEEK AS THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA AND THEN FALL AGAIN BRIEFLY
ON THURSDAY AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.  LOWS WILL
REMAIN WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.

HYDROLOGY...
RIVER LEVELS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ALONG THE RIO GRANDE FROM
CANDELARIA AND PRESIDIO DOWNSTREAM THROUGH BOQUILLAS THROUGH
SATURDAY. THESE INCREASED RIVER LEVELS ARE A RESULT OF CONTINUED
RELEASES FROM LUIS LEON RESERVOIR IN MEXICO AND FROM LAST WEEK/S
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS FAR WEST TEXAS. THOSE WHO HAVE INTERESTS ALONG
THE RIO GRANDE RIVER IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
RIVER FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

99/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
157 PM CDT SAT SEP 23 2006

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-241900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
157 PM CDT SAT SEP 23 2006 /1257 PM MDT SAT SEP 23 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG EAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS
AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED. TRAVELERS THROUGH
THE GUADALUPE PASS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

EAST WINDS AROUND 40 MPH WILL DIMINISH THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS
AROUND NOON. OTHERWISE THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND