Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Warnings in 2006

Tornado Warning 10, NWS Wichita, KS

March 30, 2006Chase County, Marion County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this tornado warning at Mar 30, 2006, 1:33 PM CST for Chase County, Marion County, Kansas. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 30, 2006, 1:33 PM CST (19:33 UTC)
Expired: Mar 30, 2006, 2:00 PM CST
In force: 27 min
Issued by: NWS Wichita, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Chase County, KS, Marion County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 30, 8:42 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 40 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -290 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 712 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 426 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 459 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS53 KICT 301938
TORICT
KSC017-115-302000-
/O.NEW.KICT.TO.W.0010.060330T1933Z-060330T2000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
133 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN CHASE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS.
  EASTERN MARION COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS.

* UNTIL 200 PM CST

* AT 131 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FLORENCE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  STRONG CITY

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. MOVE INTO YOUR TORNADO SHELTER NOW

LAT...LON 3831 9699 3820 9687 3830 9665 3852 9639
      3852 9687

$$

CARUSO

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KICT 301946
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
146 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

KSC017-115-302000-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-060330T2000Z/
MARION KS-CHASE KS-
146 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHWESTERN CHASE AND EASTERN
MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM CST...

AT 144 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES WEST OF COTTONWOOD FALLS...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THIS TORNADO WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN MARION AND
NORTHWESTERN CHASE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ELMDALE AND
HYMER.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

LAT...LON 3831 9699 3820 9687 3830 9665 3852 9639
      3852 9687

$$

ELDER

000 
WWUS53 KICT 301959
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
159 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

KSC017-115-302009-
/O.EXP.KICT.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-060330T2000Z/
MARION KS-CHASE KS-
159 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CHASE AND EASTERN MARION
COUNTIES HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

AT 157 PM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE TORNADO WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. BE READY TO SEEK SHELTER IF
THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES AGAIN, OR A WARNING ISSUED.

LAT...LON 3831 9699 3820 9687 3830 9665 3852 9639
      3852 9687

$$

ELDER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 30, 3:35 AM CST, 9 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 3:35 AM CST, 9 hours 58 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
335 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006

.DISCUSSION...

...ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER DAY BECOMING MORE LIKELY...GENERALLY ALONG
AND EAST OF I-135...STARTING POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS NOON AND LASTING
INTO THE EVENING HOURS OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE GOING OUT SHORTLY FOR NORTHWEST
COUNTIES OF CWA...DUE TO INCREASING ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND LARGE
SCALE ASCENT.

CURRENT ANALYSIS INDICATES A DEEP...NEGATIVELY TILTED MID/UPPER
TROUGH PROGRESSING ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...WITH AN ASSOCIATED
STRONG UPPER JET NOSING EASTWARD INTO NEW MEXICO. DRY LINE HAS
RETREATED INTO WESTERN KANSAS...WITH MOSTLY 50S DEWPOINTS SURGING
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER...LOW 60S DEWPOINTS ARE ALREADY
SHOWING UP ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA. EXPANSIVE STRATUS DECK
CONTINUES TO SPREAD NORTHWARD...AND WILL BE THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE
REGARDING SEVERE POTENTIAL/MAGNITUDE.

DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND ASSOCIATED LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL INCREASE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AS LEFT EXIT REGION OF 100KT JET OVERSPREADS
THE AREA. THINKING PRIMARILY ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...AS
LOW-LEVEL WARM/MOIST ADVECTION CONTINUES UNDERNEATH UPPER DIFFLUENT
FLOW. CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
BY NOON...RUC...GFS AND NAM HAVE THE DRY LINE POSITIONED ROUGHLY
JUST WEST OF A KINGMAN TO ELLSWORTH LINE. GIVEN THE STRONG
FORCING...STORMS COULD FIRE (OR BE ONGOING FROM EARLY MORNING
CONVECTION) BY EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT STRONG CAP VIA LOW CLOUDS WILL
HAMPER SURFACE HEATING AND INSTABILITY. SO CONVECTIVE INITIATION MAY
WAIT UNTIL EAST OF I-135. HOWEVER...MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE
GIVEN INHIBITION WILL BE BREAKABLE DUE TO STRONG LARGE SCALE ASCENT.
NEVERTHELESS...STRONG SHEAR PROFILES...POTENTIALLY 1500-2000 J/KG OF
CAPE...AND LOW LCLS DICTATE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. TORNADO THREAT
IS HIGHER WELL EAST OF THE TURNPIKE...WHERE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE A
TAD MORE BACKED...ENHANCING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR. ADDITIONAL THREATS WILL
BE VERY LARGE HAIL DUE TO THE STRONG SHEAR...AND DAMAGING WINDS DUE
TO DRIER AIR ALOFT OVERSPREADING THE AREA. STORMS MAY BE A BIT MORE
DISCRETE THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED (ESPECIALLY AT FIRST)...AS MODELS
ARE INDICATING DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES A BIT MORE PERPENDICULAR TO
THE DRY LINE...ESPECIALLY FARTHER SOUTH. THEREAFTER...DUE TO THE
STRONG FORCING...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD MERGE INTO LINES WITH EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS. STORMS WILL BE BOOKING NORTHEAST AT NEARLY 45-50 MPH.
STORMS SHOULD EXIT SOUTHEAST KANSAS BY MID EVENING...DEPENDING ON
SPEED OF DRY LINE.

ADDITIONALLY...WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR TODAY FOR ALL OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS FROM 9AM-6PM...TO ACCOUNT FOR STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENT/PRESSURE FALLS AHEAD OF DRY LINE AND DEEP MIXING
BEHIND DRY LINE.

THEREAFTER...FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY-FRIDAY
NIGHT...AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE AREA. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN SATURDAY-SUNDAY...AS ANOTHER SYSTEM
APPROACHES AND MOVES OVER THE AREA. GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO BE
FAIRLY SIMILAR WITH THIS SYSTEM...ADVERTISING A RELATIVELY LOW
AMPLITUDE MID-LEVEL FLOW. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SHOULD INCREASE ONCE
AGAIN BY NEXT TUESDAY...AS MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE
A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. STILL A WAYS OUT...BUT COULD
POTENTIALLY BE ANOTHER ACTIVE PERIOD. STAY TUNED.

KLEINSASSER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    73  44  72  44 /  50   5   0  10
HUTCHINSON      73  42  72  42 /  50   5   0   5
NEWTON          73  43  71  42 /  50  10   0   5
ELDORADO        72  44  72  43 /  60  20   0  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   74  45  73  45 /  60  10   0  10
RUSSELL         73  39  71  40 /  50   5   0   5
GREAT BEND      73  40  71  41 /  50   5   0   5
SALINA          72  41  70  39 /  50  10   0   5
MCPHERSON       73  42  71  41 /  50  10   0   5
COFFEYVILLE     72  47  73  44 /  70  50   0  10
CHANUTE         71  47  70  42 /  70  50   0   5
IOLA            71  46  70  41 /  70  50   0   5
PARSONS-KPPF    72  47  72  43 /  70  50   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM THURSDAY FOR KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 30, 4:44 AM CST, 8 hours 49 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
444 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-311145-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
444 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 135.

LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS
THIS MORNING WEST OF INTERSTATE 135. HOWEVER...THE MAIN SEVERE
THREAT WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON...GENERALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 135.
IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...A FEW OF WHICH
MAY BE STRONG AND LONG-LIVED. SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIT SOUTHEAST
KANSAS BY MID EVENING.

ADDITIONALLY...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN AFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST WIND ADVISORY
BULLETIN FOR DETAILS.

FURTHERMORE...FIRE DANGER WILL BE IN THE EXTREME CATEGORY THIS
AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS. PLEASE AVOID OUTDOOR BURNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS AT LEAST STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED FOR LATER OUTLOOKS.

MORE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE STARTING TUESDAY. ONCE AGAIN...IT
APPEARS AT LEAST STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED
FOR LATER OUTLOOKS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 135.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

ADK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 30, 1:03 PM CST, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
103 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1257 PM     HAIL             5 NE WICHITA            37.74N 97.28W
03/30/2006  M1.75 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0101 PM     HAIL             WHITEWATER              37.96N 97.15W
03/30/2006  M1.50 INCH       HARVEY             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MRU

Local storm report, Mar 30, 1:13 PM CST, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
113 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     HAIL             10 NE BROOKVILLE        38.88N 97.73W
03/30/2006  M0.88 INCH       SALINE             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MRU

Local storm report, Mar 30, 1:28 PM CST, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
128 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     TORNADO          5 NE HUTCHINSON         38.12N 97.85W
03/30/2006                   RENO               KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MRU

Local storm report, Mar 30, 1:29 PM CST, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
129 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0127 PM     HAIL             FLORENCE                38.24N 96.93W
03/30/2006  M1.00 INCH       MARION             KS   PUBLIC

&&

MRU

Local storm report, Mar 30, 1:30 PM CST, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
130 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     HAIL             PEABODY                 38.17N 97.11W
03/30/2006  M1.00 INCH       MARION             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MRU

Local storm report, Mar 30, 1:31 PM CST, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
131 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     HAIL             FLORENCE                38.24N 96.93W
03/30/2006  M1.75 INCH       MARION             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MRU

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 30, 3:46 AM CST	Wind Advisory	ICT	Allen, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley and 20 more	16 hr
Mar 30, 11:55 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Ellsworth, Lincoln	65 min
Mar 30, 12:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Reno, Sedgwick	60 min
Mar 30, 12:13 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ICT	Ellsworth, Saline	31 min
Mar 30, 12:34 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Sedgwick	27 min
Mar 30, 12:40 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harvey, Marion	39 min
Mar 30, 12:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	McPherson, Saline	49 min
Mar 30, 1:05 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ICT	Butler, Marion	40 min
Mar 30, 1:25 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ICT	McPherson	26 min
Mar 30, 1:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harvey, McPherson, Marion	62 min
Mar 30, 2:02 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Cowley	37 min
Mar 30, 2:12 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ICT	Marion	18 min
Mar 30, 2:23 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Cowley, Elk	29 min
Mar 30, 2:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chautauqua	53 min
Mar 30, 3:08 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ICT	Chautauqua, Elk	29 min
Mar 30, 3:35 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Elk, Wilson	55 min
Mar 30, 3:51 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ICT	Wilson, Woodson	15 min
Mar 30, 3:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chautauqua, Montgomery	65 min
Mar 30, 4:04 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ICT	Chautauqua, Montgomery	34 min
Mar 30, 4:08 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Cowley	37 min
Mar 30, 4:27 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ICT	Neosho, Wilson	29 min
Mar 30, 4:34 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ICT	Cowley, Elk	41 min
Mar 30, 4:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Elk, Greenwood	48 min
Mar 30, 5:23 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Wilson, Woodson	52 min
Mar 30, 5:33 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ICT	Wilson, Woodson	32 min
Mar 30, 5:59 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ICT	Allen	46 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kansas, 2006 Every tornado warning in 2006 Tornadoes in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.