Tornado Warning 7, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 161946
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
145 PM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

KSC181-162015-
/O.CON.KGLD.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-060616T2015Z/
SHERMAN KS-
145 PM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM MDT FOR SHERMAN
COUNTY...

AT 141 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF
EDSON...OR ABOUT 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF GOODLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
35 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL NORTHEASTERN SHERMAN COUNTY AT 200 PM MDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 10 AND 9.

WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS OF 65 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS 
STORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO AND NORTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3914 10193 3914 10139 3956 10138 3956 10191

$$

JRM

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 162002
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
202 PM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

KSC181-162012-
/O.CAN.KGLD.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-060616T2015Z/
SHERMAN KS-
202 PM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SHERMAN COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS LEFT THE WARNED AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO AND NORTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3914 10193 3914 10139 3956 10138 3956 10191

$$

JRM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1105 AM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

.UPDATE...MAIN FORECAST UPDATE WAS TO ADD FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
SOUTHEASTERN CWA THROUGH THE EVENING. COOP REPORTS AND RADAR
ESTIMATES INDICATE SWATH OF 1 TO 4 INCHES FELL ACROSS THIS AREA.
1 HOURLY FFG HAS FALLEN TO AROUND OF .5 TO 1.5 IN THIS AREA.
MORNING STORMS WHERE VERY EFFECTIVE RAIN PRODUCERS AND WITH VERY
MOIST SOUNDINGS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...THIS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE. POPS LOOK GOOD FOR NOW AS FORECAST REALLY HINGES ON HOW
MUCH WE CLEAR OUT AND HOW FAR FRONT MOVES. LOCAL OBS SHOWING FRONT
SLOWLY BEGINNING TO MOVE EAST SO WILL KEEP CURRENT IDEA OF HIGHEST
POPS IN THE SOUTHEAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 215 AM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006)

DISCUSSION...FORECAST CONCERNS ARE ON FRONTAL POSITION AND ITS
IMPACT ON WHERE/WHEN/HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION FALLS THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE EASTERN
1/3 OF COUNTIES WHERE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN SINCE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS MORNING.

TODAY/TONIGHT...UPPER TROUGH AXIS REMAINS TO OUR WEST WITH VARIOUS
DISTURBANCES AND INCREASES IN UPPER JET DIVERGENCE MOVING THROUGH
THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. HIGHEST POPS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
EASTERN 1/3 OF THE AREA WHERE SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 850 MB FEED
MOISTURE TOWARD THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AFTER MIDNIGHT THE
PRECIPITATION AXIS SHOULD SLOWLY SHIFT EAST AS THE FRONT AND UPPER
SUPPORT SLOWLY PUSH TOWARD THE AREA. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS A BIG
CONCERN GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM MCCOOK NEBRASKA TO
COLBY AND TRIBUNE KANSAS. CURRENT QPF IN THE GRIDS HITS THESE AREAS
THE HARDEST. WILL AWAIT THE CO-OP RAINFALL REPORTS AND COMPARE THEM
TO RADAR ESTIMATED RAINFALL AND ALLOW DAYSHIFT TO POSSIBLY HOIST ANY
HYDRO PRODUCTS. I WILL MENTION HEAVY RAIN IN THE HWOGLD PRODUCT.
SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE AND THE COVERAGE OF IT WOULD DEPEND ON
WHETHER WE GET ANY SUNSHINE AND INCREASED INSTABILITY.

SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT...FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE
AREA WITH UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVING THROUGH AS WELL. THIS SHOULD
BRING AN END TO THE PRECIPITATION EXCEPT FOR THE FAR SOUTHEAST PART
OF THE AREA. WILL KEEP SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS. TEMPERATURES WILL
BEGIN TO WARM WITH READINGS IN THE MID 80S.

SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...UPPER RIDGE AXIS BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS THE
AREA WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THE INCREASE AS LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS.
850 TEMPERATURES SUPPORT READINGS AROUND 90 WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
THE LOW 60S. THERE IS A SHORTWAVE THAT DIVES OUT OF CANADA AND INTO
THE NORTHERN PLAINS/GREAT LAKES AREA. THE GFS SOLUTION BRINGS A
FRONT/WIND SHIFT INTO THE AREA WHILE THE NAM IS WEAKER WITH THE WAVE
AND DOESNT BRING ONE THROUGH. HAVE SIDED WITH THE GFS FOR NOW AND
KEPT CURRENT SILENT POPS IN TACT.

MONDAY...700-500RH AND 500 HEIGHTS FROM THE GFS SHOW A WEAK WAVE
ROUNDING THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AND MOVING INTO FAR EASTERN COLORADO
BY DAYS END. 700 TEMPERATURES ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO ARE IN THE
17-18C RANGE WITH CIN VALUES AROUND 20 OR SO. THIS SHOULD LIMIT ANY
PRECIPITATION CHANCES GREATLY. WILL KEEP THINGS DRY AT THIS POINT.
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.

TUESDAY-THURSDAY...NO CHANGES MADE AT THIS TIME.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR KSZ003-KSZ004-KSZ015-
     KSZ016-KSZ028-KSZ029-KSZ042.

NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

JRM/DDT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1056 AM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-171200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1156 AM CDT FRI JUN 16 2006 /1056 AM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE
TRI STATE AREA AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE SLIDES ACROSS
THE AREA. SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA
TODAY...BUT THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO SEE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A TRIBUNE KANSAS TO TRENTON NEBRASKA
LINE.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THERE WILL BE A SMALL POSSIBILITY OF
TORNADOES AS THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A
COLD FRONT.

A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR STORMS TO PRODUCE
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS RAIN
WILL FALL IN AREAS THAT ARE ALREADY SATURATED FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES
OF RAIN LAST NIGHT...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA...MAINLY ALONG AND
EAST OF A SELKIRK TO NORCATUR LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON GENERALLY SOUTH OF GRAHAM TO GOVE COUNTY LINE.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1252 PM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1236 PM     HAIL             10 N ARAPAHOE           38.99N 102.17W
06/16/2006  M2.00 INCH       CHEYENNE           CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            5 INCH HAIL DEPTH ON ROAD...LARGER DRIFTS IN SOME
            LOCATIONS

1245 PM     TSTM WND GST     14 S KANORADO           39.13N 102.04W
06/16/2006  E60 MPH          SHERMAN            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.88 INCH HAIL ALONG WITH 60 MPH WINDS

&&

SBLAIR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
104 PM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1257 PM     TSTM WND GST     9 SW GOODLAND           39.26N 101.83W
06/16/2006  M66 MPH          SHERMAN            KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

1256 PM     HAIL             19 SW GOODLAND          39.15N 101.96W
06/16/2006  E1.25 INCH       SHERMAN            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60 MPH WINDS

&&

SBLAIR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
111 PM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0103 PM     TORNADO          15 SW GOODLAND          39.19N 101.91W
06/16/2006                   SHERMAN            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DISPATCH RELAYED TORNADO REPORT FROM TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SBLAIR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
115 PM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     TSTM WND GST     10 SW GOODLAND          39.25N 101.84W
06/16/2006  E70 MPH          SHERMAN            KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            6 TO 8 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN

&&

SBLAIR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
119 PM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0119 PM     TORNADO          1 W GOODLAND            39.35N 101.73W
06/16/2006                   SHERMAN            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORNADO VISIBLE FROM NWS GLD... HEADING TOWARDS TOWN

&&

SBLAIR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
123 PM MDT FRI JUN 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0119 PM     TORNADO          1 W GOODLAND            39.35N 101.73W
06/16/2006                   SHERMAN            KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TORNADO OBSERVED FROM NWS GLD OFFICE...CONDENSATION
            FUNNEL VISIBLE WITH DEBRIS WHIRL...FEATURE BECAME RAIN
            WRAPPED

&&

SBLAIR