Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 9, NWS Dodge City, KS

April 1, 2006Pawnee County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 1, 2006, 5:12 PM CST for Pawnee County, Kansas. It was in force for 19 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 1, 2006, 5:12 PM CST (23:12 UTC)
Expired: Apr 1, 2006, 5:31 PM CST
In force: 19 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Pawnee County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 1, 5:19 PM CST	HAIL 1	2 W Larned, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 7 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 2363 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 312 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 841 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDDC 012312
SVRDDC
KSC145-012345-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0009.060401T2312Z-060401T2345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
512 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ZOOK...LARNED...FRIZELL

* UNTIL 545 PM CST

* AT 511 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ZOOK...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LARNED BY 520 PM CST

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOS CAN
AND OCCASIONALLY DO DEVELOP WITH LITTLE ADVANCE WARNING. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS REPLACES THE PREVIOUS WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PAWNEE COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3801 9925 3801 9893 3824 9892 3825 9904
      3834 9904 3833 9918

$$

UMSCHEID

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 012331
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
530 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006

KSC145-012340-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-060401T2345Z/
PAWNEE KS-
530 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN PAWNEE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO LONGER SEVERE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST SATURDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS. 

LAT...LON 3801 9925 3801 9893 3824 9892 3825 9904
      3834 9904 3833 9918

$$

UMSCHEID

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 1, 3:25 PM CST, 1 hour 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 1, 3:25 PM CST, 1 hour 47 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION - CORRECTED FOR COUNTIES IN WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
325 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

THUNDERSTORMS AND HOW SEVERE WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM.

12Z MAPS SHOW SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE PLAINS AHEAD OF THE
MAIN TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST. WV LOOP HAS A LEAD SHORTWAVE
CURRENTLY EJECTING OUT OVER THE ROCKIES. THIS SHORTWAVE COMING OUT
WILL BE THE TRIGGER FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S HAVE ALREADY
MOVED INTO THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES, ALTHOUGH THE REALLY GOOD
MOISTURE IN THE 60S IS STILL DOWN OVER NW OKLA. SFC WARM FRONT HAS
STARTED TO MOVE INTO SW KS, AND THE DRYLINE IS STARTING TO BECOME
MORE DEFINED FROM THE HUGOTON AREA DOWN INTO THE TX PANHANDLE.
CIRRUS CLOUDS HAVE CUT DOWN ON HEATING SOMEWHAT, BUT ACCORDING TO
THE LATEST SHORTFUSE COMPOSITE, CAPE VALUES JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF LBL ARE APPROACHING 1500 J/KG. TOR WATCH HAS ALREADY BEEN
ISSUED FROM LAKIN TO LARNED AND POINTS SOUTH. 19Z SOUNDING SHOWED
THAT THE CAP WAS STILL FAIRLY STRONG AND LCL WAS PRETTY HIGH.
HOWEVER, WITH STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW DEWPOINTS AND
THEREFORE LCL LEVELS SHOULD BE IMPROVING. CONVECTION HAS ALREADY
STARTED TO FIRE, IN THE OKLA AND TX PANHANDLES, THOUGH THINGS LOOK
PRETTY LINEAR SO FAR.  THINK THAT THE CONVECTION THAT JUST STARTED
WILL BE JUST THE FIRST ROUND, WITH THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT COMING
OUT WITH THE PRIMARY SHORTWAVE A FEW HOURS FROM NOW. HELICITY
VALUES WILL ALSO BE IMPROVING TOWARDS 00Z, WITH DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL AND EVEN TORNADOES NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

MADE SOME TIMING ADJUSTMENTS TO THE GOING GRIDS, BUT KEPT A GOOD
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH A SEVERE MENTION INTO TONIGHT. OUR
BEST CHANCE FOR SEEING ANYTHING ROTATE WILL BE FROM 00Z TO 03 OR
04Z, WITH MODEL HODOGRAPHS SHOWING GOOD SHEAR. THE CONVECTION
SHOULD BECOME MORE MULTICELLULAR BY LATE EVENING AND WILL QUICKLY
MOVE INTO OUR EASTERN COUNTIES AND THEN OUT OF THE CWA BY 09Z.
WILL PROBABLY MAKE SOME LAST MINUTE TWEAKS TO POPS AS THE
SITUATION EVOLVES.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES, LOWS TONIGHT WILL NOT DROP TOO FAR WITH
CLOUDS AND PRECIP KEEPING THINGS MILD IN THE 40S TO LOW 50S.
TOMORROW, CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MUCH MORE QUIET WITH THE SHORTWAVE
MOVING INTO THE EASTERN PLAINS AND MS VALLEY. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS
COULD GET QUITE STRONG BEHIND THE SFC LOW, BUT WILL LEAVE FOR
LATER SHIFTS TO DETERMINE IF THEY WILL MEET ADVISORY CRITERIA.
HIGHS WILL BE A BIT COOLER THAN TODAY WITH SOME CAA BEHIND THE
LOW, THOUGH 850MB TEMPS WILL STILL BE IN THE MID TEENS C IN THE
SOUTH. KEPT TEMPS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. SUNDAY NIGHT LOWS
SHOULD BE A BIT COLDER IN THE 30S TO LOW 40S AS THE SFC HIGH
BUILDS INTO THE PLAINS. UPSLOPE WINDS AND COOLER 850MB TEMPS IN
THE 5-12 C RANGE WILL KEEP MONDAYS HIGHS IN THE 60S.

DAYS 3-7...

SHORT TERM SEVERE STORM CONCERNS HAVE PRECLUDED SPENDING TIME ON THE
LATE PART OF THE FORECAST. NO CHANGES MADE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  49  70  38  65 /  80   0   0   0
GCK  46  68  36  65 /  50   0   0   0
EHA  47  70  38  66 /  30   0   0   0
LBL  47  73  39  66 /  50   0   0   0
HYS  51  69  39  63 /  80   0   0   0
P28  56  74  43  66 /  90   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 10 PM CST TONIGHT FOR
KSZ062-KSZ063-KSZ064-KSZ065-KSZ066-KSZ075-KSZ076-
KSZ077-KSZ078-KSZ079-KSZ080-KSZ081-KSZ085-KSZ086-
KSZ087-KSZ088-KSZ089-KSZ090.

&&

FN26/08

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 1, 2:34 PM CST, 2 hours 38 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
234 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006

KSZ061-074-084-020400-
HAMILTON-MORTON-STANTON-
234 PM CST (134 PM MST) SAT APR 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO AND MOIST...
UNSTABLE AIR RETURNING TO SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS WILL BRING SOME
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  THE BEST
CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE AFTER 4 PM AS STORMS BEGIN OVER
THE PANHANDLES AND MOVE NORTH INTO KANSAS. SOME STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST ON SUNDAY AS A RESULT OF HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

KSZ030-031-043>046-020400-
ELLIS-LANE-NESS-RUSH-SCOTT-TREGO-
234 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF COLORADO AND THEN
NORTHEAST ACROSS KANSAS WILL BRING THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
REGION THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE...
WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST ON SUNDAY AS A RESULT OF HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TONIGHT.

KSZ062>066-075>081-085>090-020400-
BARBER-CLARK-COMANCHE-EDWARDS-FINNEY-FORD-GRANT-GRAY-HASKELL-
HODGEMAN-KEARNY-KIOWA-MEADE-PAWNEE-PRATT-SEWARD-STAFFORD-STEVENS-
234 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE OUT INTO WEST KANSAS BRINGING A COLD FRONT AND DRY LINE WITH
IT. VERY UNSTABLE AIR ALONG AND EAST OF THE DRYLINE WILL COUPLE
WITH CHANGING WINDS AHEAD OF THE LOW TO PRODUCE AN ENVIRONMENT
CONDUCIVE TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST ON SUNDAY AS A RESULT OF HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

JOHNSON

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 1, 4:49 PM CST, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
449 PM CST SAT APR 01 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     HAIL             1 SW PIERCEVILLE        37.87N 100.68W
04/01/2006  M1.00 INCH       FINNEY             KS   PUBLIC

&&

KRUSE

Local storm report, Apr 1, 4:52 PM CST, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
452 PM CST SAT APR 01 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HAIL             ROZEL                   38.20N 99.40W
04/01/2006  M1.50 INCH       PAWNEE             KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

26

Local storm report, Apr 1, 4:56 PM CST, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
456 PM CST SAT APR 01 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HAIL             3 S LEWIS               37.90N 99.26W
04/01/2006  M0.75 INCH       EDWARDS            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

26

Local storm report, Apr 1, 5:00 PM CST, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
500 PM CST SAT APR 01 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             2 SW LEWIS              37.92N 99.28W
04/01/2006  M0.88 INCH       EDWARDS            KS   PUBLIC

&&

KRUSE

Local storm report, Apr 1, 5:03 PM CST, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
503 PM CST SAT APR 01 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     HAIL             10 W MEADE              37.28N 100.52W
04/01/2006  M1.00 INCH       MEADE              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

KRUSE

Local storm report, Apr 1, 5:12 PM CST, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
512 PM CST SAT APR 01 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     HAIL             10 NNW MEADE            37.42N 100.41W
04/01/2006  M1.00 INCH       MEADE              KS   PUBLIC

&&

26

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 1, 2:54 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Seward	51 min
Apr 1, 3:18 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Edwards	42 min
Apr 1, 3:20 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Edwards	40 min
Apr 1, 3:38 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade, Seward	52 min
Apr 1, 3:45 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee	45 min
Apr 1, 3:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Haskell	39 min
Apr 1, 3:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Haskell	39 min
Apr 1, 4:26 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade	49 min
Apr 1, 4:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee	43 min
Apr 1, 4:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray	28 min
Apr 1, 5:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford	30 min
Apr 1, 5:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Gray, Meade	47 min
Apr 1, 5:46 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Comanche	44 min
Apr 1, 5:47 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Pawnee	43 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.