Alert archive / New York / High Wind Warnings in 2006
High Wind Warning 4, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this high wind warning at Oct 27, 2006, 3:30 PM EDT for 4 states. It took effect at Oct 28, 2006, 5:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 40 hr. 23 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 27, 2006, 3:30 PM EDT (19:30 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 28, 2006, 5:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 29, 2006, 8:05 PM EST
- In force
- 40 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 6:45 AM EDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Williamstown, MA | 3 TREES DOWN. |
| Oct 28, 9:05 AM EDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Wynantskill, NY | TREES AND WIRES DOWN WYNANTSKILL...POSTENKILL AND GRAFTON BETWEEN 650 AM AND 905 AM |
| Oct 28, 11:09 AM EDT | FLOOD | Kingston, NY | SAWMILL CREEK OVER SAWKILL ROAD AT JOCKEY HILL ROAD. SOME STREET FLOODING IN CITY OF KINGSTON. SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED IN ULSTER COUNTY...SOME IN NEW PALTZ. |
| Oct 28, 11:11 AM EDT | FLOOD | Boiceville, NY | ESOPUS CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS AT BOICEVILLE NEAR ROUTE 28. FLOODING IN WOODED AREA...NOT TO ROADS YET. |
| Oct 28, 11:45 AM EDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Sunderland, VT | 2 TREES DOWN IN YARD |
| Oct 28, 12:01 PM EDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | East Arlington, VT | TREE DOWN IN YARD |
| Oct 28, 2:13 PM EDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Dummerston Center, VT | WIRES DOWN. |
| Oct 28, 2:20 PM EDT | FLOOD | New Paltz, NY | SPRINGTOWN RD. CLOSED BETWEEN KLEINE KILL DR. AND DUG RD. DUE TO FLOODING. |
| Oct 28, 6:20 PM EDT | FLOOD | Ulsterville, NY | SHAWANGUNK KILL AND VERKEERDER KILL CREEKS ARE FLOODING THE TOWN ROAD. |
| Oct 28, 7:00 PM EDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Accord, NY | TREES AND WIRES DOWN. |
| Oct 28, 7:00 PM EDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Shandaken, NY | TREES AND WIRES DOWN. |
| Oct 28, 7:30 PM EDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Crawford, NY | TREES AND WIRES DOWN. |
| Oct 28, 8:00 PM EDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | New Paltz, NY | TREES AND WIRES DOWN. |
| Oct 29, 8:19 AM EST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Frankfort, NY | TREES DOWN ON ALBANY ROAD. |
| Oct 29, 8:37 AM EST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Columbia Center, NY | TREES DOWN ON RIDER ROAD. |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM EST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Old Forge, NY | TREES DOWN. |
| Oct 29, 10:14 AM EST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Guilford, VT | TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON WEATHERHEAD ROAD. |
| Oct 29, 10:14 AM EST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Jamaica, VT | TREES DOWN ON ROUTE 100. |
| Oct 29, 11:00 AM EST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Schoharie, NY | TREES AND WIRES DOWN. |
| Oct 29, 11:19 AM EST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Pittsfield, MA | TREES DOWN. |
| Oct 29, 11:32 AM EST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Dolgeville, NY | TREES DOWN. |
| Oct 29, 12:30 PM EST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Indian Lake, NY | SEVERAL TREES DOWN. |
| Oct 29, 6:33 PM EST | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Amsterdam, NY | TREES/WIRES DOWN COUNTYWIDE. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 665 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 10 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 63 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS71 KALY 271930 NPWALY URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 330 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-281000- /O.UPG.KALY.HW.A.0002.061028T0900Z-061030T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.HW.W.0004.061028T0900Z-061030T0500Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 330 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EDT SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EDT SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY INTO SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA BY SATURDAY MORNING...AND THEN LIFT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO SATURDAY EVENING. LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY SOUTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 40 MPH...WITH SOME GUSTS OF 40 TO 60 MPH EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET...AND AREAS PRONE TO CHANNELED WINDS FROM THE EAST OR SOUTHEAST...SUCH AS THE MOHAWK VALLEY AND THE EAST WEST VALLEYS IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...WHICH ARE LIKELY TO BE IMPACTED THE GREATEST LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A BRIEF LULL IN THE WINDS MAY OCCUR LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES JUST TO THE WEST OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA LATER SATURDAY NIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND INCREASE RAPIDLY...WITH WIDESPREAD SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH...ALONG WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS NOW...IN PREPARATION FOR A PROLONGED...HIGH WIND EVENT. IN ADDITION...DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES ARE QUITE POSSIBLE AS A RESULT OF THE HIGH WINDS. THIS WILL LIKELY CREATE POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA RADIO...THE OFFICIAL VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...OR VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/A L Y. $$ KL/JPV/GJM
5 follow-up statements
000 WWUS71 KALY 280948 NPWALY URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 548 AM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-282200- /O.CON.KALY.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-061030T0500Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 548 AM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT FOR ALL OF EASTERN NEW YORK AND ADJACENT WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING. IT WILL TRAVEL INTO QUEBEC PROVINCE LATER THIS MORNING...CONTINUING SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 40 MPH...WITH SOME GUSTS OF 40 TO 60 MPH EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY IN THE HILLS AND MOUNTAINS AND IN AREAS CHANNELING WIND THROUGH SOUTHEASTERLY CUTS IN THE TERRAIN. THE WIND MAY DIMINISH FOR A FEW HOURS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION WILL BECOME STRONGER LATER TONIGHT AND THE WIND WILL INCREASE AGAIN. BY MIDNIGHT...IT WILL BLOW FROM THE WEST AT SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OCCASIONALLY TOPPING 60 MPH...WITH THESE CONDITIONS CONTINUING INTO EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. THE WIND WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHEAST. RESIDENTS SHOULD SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS NOW...IN PREPARATION FOR A PROLONGED HIGH WIND EVENT. IN ADDITION...DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES ARE POSSIBLE AS A RESULT OF THE STRONG WINDS. IN SOME LOCATIONS...LEAVES ARE STILL ON THE TREES. THIS WILL INCREASE THE FORCE OF THE WIND UPON THE TREES MAKING THEM MORE LIKELY TO TOPPLE. FALLING TREES AND LIMBS ARE LIKELY CREATE POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN PROPERTY DAMAGE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA RADIO...THE OFFICIAL VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...OR VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/A L Y. $$
000 WWUS71 KALY 281956 NPWALY URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 356 PM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-291015- /O.CON.KALY.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-061030T0500Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 356 PM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO QUEBEC OVERNIGHT...AND CONTINUING SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY. THE WIND WILL DIMINISH FOR A FEW HOURS EARLY THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION WILL BECOME STRONGER LATER TONIGHT AND THE WIND WILL INCREASE AGAIN. BY MIDNIGHT...IT WILL BLOW FROM THE WEST AT SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OCCASIONALLY TOPPING 60 MPH...WITH THESE CONDITIONS CONTINUING INTO EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...MAINLY ABOVE 1500 FEET...COULD HAVE SOME GUSTS REACHING UP TO 70 MPH. THE WIND WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHEAST. RESIDENTS SHOULD SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS NOW...IN PREPARATION FOR A PROLONGED HIGH WIND EVENT. IN ADDITION...DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THE STRONG WINDS...ESPECIALLY DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS. FALLING TREES AND LIMBS WILL LIKELY CREATE POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN PROPERTY DAMAGE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA RADIO...THE OFFICIAL VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...OR VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/A L Y. $$ KL
000 WWUS71 KALY 290845 NPWALY URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 345 AM EST SUN OCT 29 2006 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-292200- /O.CON.KALY.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-061030T0500Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 345 AM EST SUN OCT 29 2006 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. A POWERFUL AND INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST INTO EASTERN QUEBEC TODAY... THE WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. THE WINDS WILL BLOW FROM THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST AT SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OCCASIONALLY TOPPING 60 MPH...WITH THESE CONDITIONS CONTINUING INTO EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...MAINLY ABOVE 1500 FEET...COULD HAVE SOME GUSTS REACHING UP TO 70 MPH. THE WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT...AS THE STORM MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHEAST INTO THE GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE. RESIDENTS SHOULD SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS NOW...IN PREPARATION FOR A PROLONGED HIGH WIND EVENT. IN ADDITION...DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THE STRONG WINDS...ESPECIALLY DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS. FALLING TREES AND LIMBS WILL LIKELY CREATE POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN PROPERTY DAMAGE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA RADIO...THE OFFICIAL VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...OR VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/A L Y. $$ TAW
000 WWUS71 KALY 292050 NPWALY URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 350 PM EST SUN OCT 29 2006 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-300500- /O.CON.KALY.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-061030T0500Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 350 PM EST SUN OCT 29 2006 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN CANADA THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE GULF COAST WILL BUILD NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT. THE PRESSURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES WILL ALLOW FOR A CONTINUATION OF STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THE WINDS THROUGH MIDNIGHT WILL BLOW FROM THE WEST AT SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OCCASIONALLY REACHING 60 MPH. SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...MAINLY ABOVE 1500 FEET...COULD HAVE SOME GUSTS SLIGHTLY EXCEEDING 60 MPH. THE WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT...AS THE STORM MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE REGION. DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES ARE STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT AS A RESULT OF THESE STRONG WINDS...ESPECIALLY WHEN IN COMBINATION WITH SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS. FALLING TREES AND LIMBS MAY CREATE ADDITIONAL POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN PROPERTY DAMAGE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA RADIO...THE OFFICIAL VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...OR VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/A L Y. $$ KL
000 WWUS71 KALY 300105 NPWALY URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 805 PM EST SUN OCT 29 2006 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-300215- /O.CAN.KALY.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-061030T0500Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 805 PM EST SUN OCT 29 2006 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA. ALTHOUGH SOME GUSTS OF UP TO 40 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS HAS ENDED. $$ KL
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Oct 27, 11:45 AM EDT, 3 hours 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 27, 11:45 AM EDT, 3 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1145 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006
.SHORT TERM (THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)...NO CHANGES NEEDED TO
THE FORECASTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL BE UPDATING FORECASTS TO
ISSUE A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY WARNING AREA FROM LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. BEST POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WINDS SATURDAY IN
THE SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL BE ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS AND IN
AREAS THAT FUNNEL EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS. WIDESPREAD HIGH WINDS
POSSIBLE SUNDAY AS A 970 MB LOW SLOWLY LIFTS NORTHEAST THROUGH
SOUTHERN QUEBEC. VETICAL MOMENTUM TRANSFER OF WINDS ABOVE THE
SURFACE WILL BE OPTIMAL ON SUNDAY...SO ALL LOCATIONS HAVE THE
POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR MORE.
EVEN THOUGH HIGH WINDS ARE NOT LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT...AND HIGH
WINDS SHOULD NOT BE WIDESPREAD ON SATURDAY...FELT THE EXTENDED
PERIOD OF THE HIGH WIND WATCH WAS BEST TO HIGHLIGHT THE INTENSITY OF
THIS SYSTEM...AND THAT IT WOULD BE LESS CONFUSING TO THE PUBLIC THAN
TO HAVE SEPERATE HIGH WIND WATCHES VALID FOR VARIOUS AREAS AT
DIFFERENT TIMES.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR CTZ001-013 FROM 5 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
MONDAY.
MA...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR MAZ001-025 FROM 5 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
MONDAY.
NY...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084 FROM 5 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MONDAY.
VT...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR VTZ013>015 FROM 5 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
MONDAY.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...TODAY WILL BE THE COME
BEFORE THE STORM. AN INTENSE AND COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT
THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND BRINGING HEAVY RAIN...STRONG/DAMAGING
WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOWS.
SYSTEM MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH. THE SURFACE LOW IS THE
EXPECTED TO HEAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO THE
MID ATLANTIC REGION...THEN NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK INTO
QUEBEC. THE SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW OPENS AND PHASES WITH NORTHERN
STREAM AS ENERGY DIVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION CUTS OFF A NEW
UPPER LOW...WHICH PULLS SURFACE LOW NORTHWARD SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
OVERALL MODELS SHOWING FAIRLY GOOD CONTINUITY WITH SYSTEM. WRF/NAM
IS SLOWER AND A BIT LESS DEVELOPED WITH SURFACE LOW OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION SATURDAY THAN THE GFS AND TAKES LONGER TO DEEPEN LOW
AS IT HEADS INTO CANADA. THE GFS HAS THE SUPPORT OF THE CANADIAN AND
UKMET AND IS FAVORED.
TODAY SHOULD REMAIN DRY WITH THE PRECIPITATION OVERSPREADING THE
REGION TONIGHT. THE LOW LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES AND EXPANDS EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING AND MOVE ACROSS AREA. ALSO HAVE FAVORABLE UPPER
LEVEL JET DYNAMICS. HEAVY RAINS ACROSS FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH WITH OVERRUNNING/WARM FRONT...STRONG
ISENTROPIC LIFT. THE VERY STRONG SOUTHEAST FLOW AHEAD OF SYSTEM WILL
TAP INTO ATLANTIC MOISTURE AND RESULT IN UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT OF QPF
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE CATSKILLS. 850 THETA-E POINTS RIGHT INTO THE
CATSKILLS. WILL USE HPCS QPF AND ENHANCE VALUES IN UPSLOPE AREAS.
REFER TO HYDROLOGY SECTION AND FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK (ESF) FOR
MORE DETAILS.
THE VERY STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF SYSTEM MAY NEED A
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WINDS WILL GET CHANNELLED
THROUGH PARTS OF THE TACONICS...BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN GREEN
MOUNTAINS. AN INVERSION SHOULD KEEP STRONG WINDS OUT OF MOST VALLEYS
EXCEPT NEAR THE BENNINGTON AND NORTH ADAMS AREAS. TIMING OF THE
WINDS AND THE HEAVY RAINS IS 3RD PERIOD...SO WILL CONTINUE TO
HIGHLIGHT HAZARDS IN OUR HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. WATCHES AND/OR
ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.
WITH SURFACE LOW EXPECT TO PASS JUST TO THE WEST OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS ADDS THE RISK OF CONVECTIVE. HAVE ADDED CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTION OF FORECAST AREA SATURDAY
WHERE THE FORCING WILL VERY STRONG NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT.
WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND INTENSIFY SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL BE VERY STRONG ON SUNDAY AS LOW DEEPEN FURTHER. LOOKS
LIKE AT LEAST WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH
SUNDAY. TO EARLY TO POST ANYTHING AT THE TIME SO WILL CONTINUE TO
HIGHLIGHT IN HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.
WILL HAVE LONG WESTERLY FETCH ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS DROP TO ABOUT -5C AND THE AVERAGE
LAKE-WIDE WATER TEMP OF LAKE ONTARIO...FROM GREAT LAKES COASTAL
FORECASTING SYSTEM...IS ABOUT 51F/11C. THIS GIVES A DELTA-T OF 16C
AND ONLY NEED ABOUT 13C FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS. IN OUR
FORECAST AREA NORTHERN HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COUNTIES WILL BE THE
HARDEST HIT AREAS WITH LAKE EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT ADVISORIES AND/OR
WARNINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.
&&
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
LOSES ITS GRIP ON THE REGION MONDAY AS IT FINALLY MOVES OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. THE LAKE EFFECT WILL GET SHUT
OFF. NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED PERIOD...LOOKING AT SEASONABLE TEMPS
INTO MID WEEK.
&&
AVIATION...THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY BEFORE SUNRISE...SOME MVFR
CEILINGS MAY BE ENCOUNTERED ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE MOHAWK
VALLEY AS A RESIDUAL OF NORTHWEST FLOW OVER LAKE ONTARIO. THERE MAY
BE A FEW AREAS OF IFR AND OBSCURED TERRAIN OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS JUST SOUTH OF THE MOHAWK VALLEY AND OVER THE NORTHERN
CATSKILLS. ELSEWHERE...VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS SHOULD BE THE RULE
TODAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY FROM THE SOUTH AND
WEST. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD LAST THROUGH MOST OF THE EVENING EXCEPT
OVER THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS WHERE LIGHT SNOW MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY
TO 3 MILES. FARTHER SOUTH IT WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR IT TO RAIN AND
VISIBILITY SHOULD REMAIN VFR THROUGH LATE EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL
DETERIORATE SIGNIFICANTLY OVERNIGHT WITH GENERAL MVFR TO IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY IN RAIN WITH WINDS
BECOMING EASTERLY 12 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE VALLEYS AND 15 TO 20 KNOTS
OVER THE MORE EXPOSED TERRAIN...WITH TERRAIN ENHANCED LOW LEVEL WIND
SHEAR POSSIBLE IN THE HUDSON AND HOUSATONIC VALLEYS. &&
HYDROLOGY...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...AS A RESULT OF A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE
REGION. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL OCCUR
FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...WITH A LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF
THE OCEAN WHICH IS LIKELY TO INCREASE THE AMOUNT OF RAIN OVER THE
EASTERN CATSKILLS OF NEW YORK AND OVER THE GREEN MOUNTAINS...
BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS OF ADJACENT NEW ENGLAND. TOTAL
RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE CATSKILLS AND EAST OF
THE HUDSON RIVER. THE UPPER MOHAWK RIVER INCLUDING THE EAST AND WEST
CANADA CREEK ARE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE DUE TO THE EXTREMELY WET
GROUND CONDITIONS FROM HEAVY RAIN AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE PAST FEW
DAYS AS WELL AS THE FACT THAT HINCKLEY AND DELTA RESERVOIRS ARE
ALREADY FULL. PLEASE REFER TO OUR HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK /ALBESFALY/ FOR
DETAILS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...CONDITIONS FOR IGNITION WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE OVER
THE MID HUDSON REGION OF NEW YORK AND OUR ADJACENT AREAS OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND WHERE THE MINIMUM HUMIDITY WILL BE AROUND 40 PERCENT AND
THE 10 HOUR FUEL MOISTURE IS CLOSE TO 10 PERCENT OR LESS. THE GOOD
NEWS IS THAT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. FARTHER NORTH GROUND CONDITIONS
ARE FAIRLY MOIST FROM HEAVY RAINS AND SOME LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS OVER
THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. A SOAKING RAIN WILL COME TO THE AREA SATURDAY
WHICH SHOULD THROUGHLY DAMPEN FUELS AND RENDER IGNITION UNLIKELY AS
OVER AN INCH WILL FALL IN MANY AREAS. WINDS SATURDAY WILL BE EAST TO
SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MILES PER HOUR BUT ARE LIKELY TO BE HIGHER OVER
EXPOSED TERRAIN SUCH AS NORTH/SOUTH RIDGES.
&&
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR CTZ001-013 FROM 5 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
MONDAY.
MA...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR MAZ001-025 FROM 5 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
MONDAY.
NY...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084 FROM 5 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MONDAY.
VT...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR VTZ013>015 FROM 5 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
MONDAY.Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 27, 11:50 AM EDT, 3 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1150 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006 NYZ032-033-281100- NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON- 1150 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR HAMILTON AND NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTIES. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... A INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...HAVING A VARIETY OF IMPACTS. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. REFER TO HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK STATEMENT FOR DETAILS. A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE HIGH WIND WATCH STATEMENT FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ALSO...MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084- VTZ013>015-281100- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY- NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE- WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA- WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA- EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS- EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- 1150 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...MOHAWK VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON VALLEY...BERKSHIRE...SOUTHERN VERMONT AND LITCHFIELD HILLS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... A INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. REFER TO HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK STATEMENT FOR DETAILS. A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE HIGH WIND WATCH STATEMENT FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 11:21 AM EDT | High Wind Watch | ALY | Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Fulton, Greene, Hamilton and 9 more | 4 hr |
| Oct 27, 1:36 PM EDT | Flood Watch | ALY | Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Fulton, Greene, Hamilton and 9 more | 38 hr |
| Oct 27, 3:49 PM EDT | Lake Effect Snow Watch | ALY | Fulton, Hamilton, Herkimer | 25 hr |
Nearby
High Wind Warnings in New York, 2006High Wind Warnings in Vermont, 2006High Wind Warnings in Connecticut, 2006Every high wind warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.