Small Craft Advisory 710, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 131831 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1030 AM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

UPDATED ZONE 130

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1012 MB LOW 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE SUN
AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA
MON.
$$

PKZ120-140200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-140200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-140200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-140200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-140200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1030 AM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-140200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-140200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-140200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-140200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 132308
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1006 MB BERING SEA LOW WILL MOVE TO 57N 165W MON AFTERNOON 
AND THEN ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA TO 58N 155W TUE AFTERNOON. 
AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TUE.
$$

PKZ120-141400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-141400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-141400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
AREAS OF FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-141400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-141400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
SOUTHWEST WIND 15 KT ELEWHERE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.   

$$

PKZ132-141400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-141400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-141400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.   

$$

PKZ141-141400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SUN AUG 13 2006

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS AFTER
MIDNGIHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 12 2006

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN DISCUSSED FOR THE
LAST FEW DAYS IS CURRENTLY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND THE
INTERIOR. THIS TROUGH WILL PROCEED EASTWARD AND HAVE ITS AXIS ALONG
THE CANADIAN BORDER SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO
PERSIST FROM AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH THIS SYSTEM.
A SMALL RIDGE BEHIND THIS TROUGH WILL BRING A SHORT BREAK IN THE
PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA AS A NEW UPPER LEVEL LOW DESCENDS OUT OF
EASTERN RUSSIA AND MOVES OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA MONDAY.
PRECIPITATION FROM THIS NEW SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO
SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA TONIGHT AND INTO THE BRISTOL BAY AREA SUNDAY.

THE SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRST UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS
WEAKENED INTO A BROAD LOW IN THE INTERIOR AND A WEAK LOW ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST. OVERALL FLOW IN AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE ALASKA
RANGE WILL BE WEST TO NORTHWEST THROUGH SUNDAY WHEN THE NEW SYSTEM TO
THE WEST TURNS IT BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST.

WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE WILL SEE A SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SECOND UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVE INTO THE NORTHWESTERN BERING SEA TONIGHT
AND THEN MOVE INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AREA LATE MONDAY. SOUTHWEST
ALASKA WILL SEE ITS FLOW TURN SOUTHWEST TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THIS
SYSTEM AND THAT SHOULD BE ALL THAT IS NECESSARY FOR MORE
PRECIPITATION TO BEGIN IN THOSE AREAS.

LOW CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG PERSIST IN THE BERING SEA AREAS. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE CASE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FROM THIS MORNINGS RUNS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AUG 06