Hurricane Force Wind Warning 2, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 100005
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST THU FEB 9 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INLAND ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST EARLY THU
NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW INTENSIFIES TO 966 MB SAT AFTERNOON AS IT
MOVES TO 125 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES
ACROSS THE GULF SAT REACHING THE NORTH GULF COAST SAT NIGHT.


$$

PKZ120-101500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST THU FEB 9 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST WIND 45 KT GUSTING TO 75 KT DIMINISHING TO
SOUTHEAST 35 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 36 FT SUBSIDING TO 27 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...SOUTHEAST WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-101500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST THU FEB 9 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NORTH OF CAINES HEAD...N WIND 20 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS
DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOUTH OF CAINES
HEAD...N WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO N 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT SEAS 16 FT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. 
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT SOUTHEAST 25 KT SOUTH OF CAINES
HEAD IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT SEAS 10 FT SOUTH OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-101500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST THU FEB 9 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT DIMINISHING TO
E 30 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-101500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST THU FEB 9 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-101500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST THU FEB 9 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...
FOR NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN ISLAND INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY...NE WIND
45 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO E WIND 35 KT THIS EVENING. 
FOR SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SOUTHEAST WIND 25 KT INCREASING
TO E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT ALL AREAS. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-101500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST THU FEB 9 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO E 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-101500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST THU FEB 9 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT THIS EVENING. WINDS
INCREASING TO N 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 
11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-101500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST THU FEB 9 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ141-101500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST THU FEB 9 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO SE 20 KT
THIS EVENING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST WED FEB 8 2006

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA INTO THE
INTERIOR. BROAD ANCHOR LOW OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WITH A COUPLE
SHORT WAVE TROUGHS ROTATING AROUND. MODERATE WAVE MOVING NORTH ACROSS
THE ALASKA PENINSULA THIS MORNING TO RIDE NORTH TO THE CHUKOTSK
PENINSULA BY THURSDAY MORNING. IN THE MEANTIME...A CLOSED LOW TO MOVE
OUT OF THE WESTERN NORTHERN PACIFIC TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BY
THURSDAY MORNING. THIS LOW TO WORK INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA
THURSDAY NIGHT. A VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH TRAVELS NORTH THROUGH
THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THURSDAY AND INLAND THURSDAY NIGHT ON THE
FRONT SIDE OF THIS LOW. ANOTHER WAVE ROTATING AROUND THIS LOW TO WORK
NORTH THROUGH THE GULF FRIDAY. YET ANOTHER WAVE ROTATES AROUND THIS
LOW SATURDAY AND HEADS TO THE YUKON SUNDAY. THIS WILL ESTABLISH A
PATTERN WITH AN ANCHOR LOW NEAR KAMCHATKA WITH A SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER
THE ALEUTIANS TO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA.

SURFACE SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...WEAK LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
TO LEAVE THE AREA THIS EVENING. CURRENTLY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS
FROM VALDEZ EAST ALONG THE COAST AND ADJOINING WATERS. LOW PUSHING
ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON TO BRING A WEAK FRONT TO
THE WESTERN GULF TONIGHT WITH PRECIPITATION FROM KODIAK ISLAND TO THE
SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA. A STRONG LOW TO MOVE NORTH TO KODIAK BY
THURSDAY MORNING PUSHING A FRONT THROUGH THE GULF AND TO THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST BY THE AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT TO BRING STORM FORCE WINDS
AND POSSIBLE WARNING LEVEL WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND TURNAGAIN ARM AS
IT PUSHES INLAND. ANOTHER FRONT...ALBEIT SOMEWHAT WEAKER...TO PUSH
THROUGH THE GULF THURSDAY NIGHT AND INLAND FRIDAY. ANOTHER LOW TO
TRAVEL NORTH THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF FRIDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA SATURDAY. THE FRONT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE GULF SATURDAY AND ONSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT.
WINDS WILL BE GALE FORCE. BY THIS TIME...A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
SET UP OVER SOUTH CENTRAL WITH UNSETTLED WEATHER INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. PRECIPITATION WITH EACH OF THESE FRONTS WILL REFLECT TYPICAL
UPSLOPE AND DOWNSLOPE AREAS. AT THE PASSAGE OF EACH
FRONT...PRECIPITATION WILL PUSH INLAND AND QUICKLY MOVE OUT BEFORE
THE NEXT FRONT.

SURFACE WEST...LOW CROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON TO MOVE
TO THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. GALE FORCE WINDS
ACCOMPANYING THIS SYSTEM AS IT RIDES NORTH. MAIN LOW IN THE ALEUTIAN
CHAIN RIDING ALONG FRONT LEFT REGION OF 180 KT JET IN THE NORTH
PACIFIC. THIS LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN CURRENTLY
TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE CHAIN AS IT WORKS TOWARD UNALASKA THURSDAY.
GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS AND GOOD AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION TO
ACCOMPANY THIS STACKED LOW. IT WILL TURN INTO THE BERING SEA THURSDAY
NIGHT AND BEGIN TO FILL AS IT LOSES JET SUPPORT. STILL GOOD WINDS
AROUND THE SYSTEM INTO FRIDAY MORNING. GOOD GRADIENT OVER THE WESTERN
BERING TO SUSTAIN STRONG NORTH WINDS FOR THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN CHAIN
AND BERING SEA. THE LOW CONTINUES TO FILL INTO SATURDAY AS A LOW IN
THE WESTERN GULF MOVES TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THIS LOW TO CROSS
THE ALASKA PENINSULA SATURDAY AND LIFT TO THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER LOW MOVES OUT OF THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC
TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN SATURDAY AND TOWARD THE CHUKOTSK LOW
SUNDAY BEFORE ANOTHER LOW MOVES TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN.
UNSETTLED WEATHER TO REMAIN OVER THE BERING SEA TO REMAIN OVER
WESTERN ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN CHAIN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 101 125 135
MARINE...STORM 120 125 130 132 140 170 172
         GALE 121 129 138 141 150 155 160 165 171 174 179
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 129
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN FEB 06