Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Tulsa, OK

April 11, 2005Carroll County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 11, 2005, 5:14 PM CDT for Carroll County, Arkansas. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 11, 2005, 5:14 PM CDT (22:14 UTC)
Expired: Apr 11, 2005, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 61 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Carroll County, AR

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 255 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -36 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 765 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 153 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 143 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 112214
SVRTSA
ARC015-112315-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0101.050411T2214Z-050411T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
514 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 510 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF EUREKA SPRINGS TO 5 MILES WEST OF RULE...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...RULE...
  BERRYVILLE...GREEN FOREST...EUREKA SPRINGS...GRANDVIEW...URBANETTE
  AND OAK GROVE.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3628 9390 3622 9347 3649 9320 3654 9372

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 112228
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
528 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

ARC015-112315-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-050411T2315Z/
CARROLL AR-
528 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
CARROLL COUNTY...

AT 523 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THESE 
STORMS WERE LOCATED NEAR EUREKA SPRINGS AND 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF 
BERRYVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...BERRYVILLE...
BEAVER...URBANETTE...OAK HILL...PLEASANT RIDGE AND OAK GROVE.

LAT...LON 3639 9383 3636 9370 3647 9364 3645 9355
      3633 9359 3627 9351 3649 9339 3650 9381

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 11, 4:20 PM CDT, 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 11, 4:20 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
420 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
THE LP SUPERCELL HAS NEARLY ANCHORED OVER FRANKLIN COUNTY.  SPOTTERS
REPORTED A ROTATING WALL CLOUD AND RFD WITH THE CELL.  THIS CELL AND
ANOTHER IN MADISON COUNTY HAVE SPLIT AND ADJUSTING FOR THE DEVIANT
LEFT MOTION THERE IS SOME NEGATIVE SR-HELICITY IN FRONT OF THE
CELLS...SO THE LEFT SPLITS WILL HAVE SOME CHANCE TO
SURVIVE...ALTHOUGH ALL CELLS ARE CONTINUING TO FIGHT THE VERY STRONG
SHEAR WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE.

THE FRANKLIN COUNTY CELL IS LOSING ITS STRUCTURE AT THIS TIME
FOLLOWING THE SPLIT.

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 11, 12:40 PM CDT, 4 hours 34 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1240 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1240 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA....NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...ELEVATED...SPREADINDEX=46.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT/DRYLINE IS CURRENTLY DRAPED NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR IS
RESIDING TO THE EAST OF THIS LINE IN EXTREME EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS.

THINNING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER AT LEAST SE
OKLAHOMA WILL ADD SOME SURFACE HEATING TO AN ALREADY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS. THIS COULD ALLOW A FEW STORMS TO DEVELOP AND MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD. WITH GOOD SHEAR AND INSTABILITY IN THIS REGION...
WOULD EXPECT ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP TO REACH SEVERE LIMITS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY
AS THE AREA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AS
IT MOVES OUT OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO MISSOURI.

THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY AS ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 11, 3:44 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
344 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

ARZ020-112130-
FRANKLIN AR-
344 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
     FRANKLIN

AT 343 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
OZARK...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CASS...PARADISE...TAFT...OZARK...WATALULA...
MOUNTAIN TOP...BARNES AND REDDING.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

Special weather statement, Apr 11, 4:45 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
445 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

ARZ002-112230-
CARROLL AR-
445 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     CARROLL

AT 444 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES
WEST OF CABANAL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BERRYVILLE...GREEN FOREST...
METALTON...CABANAL...RULE AND URBANETTE.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

Local storm report, Apr 11, 4:46 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
446 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 PM     HAIL             2 S ALTUS               35.42N 93.76W
04/11/2005  0.75 INCH        FRANKLIN           AR   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

SFP

Local storm report, Apr 11, 4:53 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
453 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     HAIL             ALTUS                   35.45N 93.76W
04/11/2005  0.75 INCH        FRANKLIN           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SFP

Local storm report, Apr 11, 5:11 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
511 PM CDT MON APR 11 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     HAIL             3 S OZARK               35.44N 93.83W
04/11/2005  0.75 INCH        FRANKLIN           AR   PUBLIC

&&

JDS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 11, 4:08 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Sebastian	52 min
Apr 11, 2:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Benton	64 min
Apr 11, 3:56 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Franklin	34 min
Apr 11, 4:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Franklin	55 min
Apr 11, 5:42 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Carroll	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.