Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WGUS74 KTSA 242228
FFSTSA

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
526 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

OKC021-242345-
CHEROKEE OK-
526 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR CHEROKEE
COUNTY...

AT 514 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF 
TAHLEQUAH...AND ALSO JUST NORTHWEST OF HULBERT AND JUST WEST OF 
HULBERT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY HEAVY RAIN 
INCLUDE HULBERT...LOST CITY...AND AREAS SOUTHEAST OF TAHLEQUAH.

RADAR INDICATES THAT SOME AREAS HAVE RECEIVED 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN 
HAS ALREADY FALLEN OVER THE WARNED AREA. ANOTHER INCH OF RAIN WILL 
BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 645 PM CDT OVER PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.  

THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAD MOVED OUT OF THE TAHLEQUAH AREA AT 525 PM. 
HOWEVER...MORE RAIN WILL MOVE INTO TAHLEQUAH BEFORE 6 PM...WITH AN 
ADDITIONAL ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN POSSIBLE. 

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO 
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. REMEMBER...MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN 
AUTOMOBILES.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR IS 
OCCURRING. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT 
UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN THE TAHLEQUAH AREA. 

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN TULSA.

LAT...LON 3616 9510 3583 9517 3565 9511 3565 9482
      3615 9481

$$

000 
WGUS74 KTSA 242332
FFSTSA

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
630 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

OKC021-242345-
CHEROKEE OK-
630 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR CHEROKEE
COUNTY...

AT 620 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED THE FLOODING WAS 
DIMINISHING IN THE TAHLEQUAH AREA.  HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS WITH 
VERY HEAVY CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF CHEROKEE 
COUNTY.  THOSE STORMS WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THROUGH 645 
PM.  
.
RADAR INDICATES THAT ON 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN 
OVER THE WARNED AREA. ANOTHER ONE HALF TO ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE 
THROUGH 645 PM CDT OVER SOUTHERN CHEROKEE COUNTY...WITH LESSER 
AMOUNTS ELSEWHERE.  

RAIN WILL END FROM THE NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS CHEROKEE 
COUNTY THROUGH 730 PM.  

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND
STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING
AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLASH FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR IS 
OCCURRING. 

LAT...LON 3616 9510 3583 9517 3565 9511 3565 9482
      3615 9481

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
335 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...

FREQUENT ATTEMPTS AT SURFACE BASED CONVECTION HAVE CONTINUED WITHIN
THE PAST FEW HOURS...WITH EACH SUCCESSIVE ATTEMPT SHOWING STRONGER
RADAR SIGNATURES.  THE CAPPING INVERSION HAS WEAKENED
SIGNIFICANTLY...WITH THE LEAST INHIBITION NOTED ALONG A SOUTHERN
CREEK COUNTY...TO MUSKOGEE...TO SALLISAW LINE.  SURFACE BOUNDARY
CLEARLY DEPICTED IN SURFACE OBS AND KINX RADAR...AND HAS CONTINUED
TO SLOWLY SAG SOUTHWARD.  CURRENTLY THE BOUNDARY RUNS FROM NEAR
BRISTOW...TO MUSKOGEE...AND BECOMES INCREASINGLY INFLUENCED BY THE
ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY FURTHER EASTWARD.  A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS
LOCATED OVER OKMULGEE COUNTY ALONG THE BOUNDARY...WITH THE STRONGEST
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE LOCATED ACROSS OKMULGEE AND MUSKOGEE COUNTIES.
SURFACE BASED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...WITH CURRENT INSTABILITY SUPPORTING VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS.
DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLULAR MODE...WITH
IMPRESSIVE VEERING PROFILES NOTED ON KSRX VAD WIND PROFILE.  CAPE TO
700MB IN EXCESS OF 100 J/KG ALONG THE BOUNDARY...LOCALLY LOWER LCL
HEIGHTS...AND MORE STRONGLY BACKED SURFACE WINDS WILL RAISE THE
TORNADIC POTENTIAL WITH ANY DEVELOPED SUPERCELL WHICH CAN RESIDE IN
PROXIMITY TO THE BOUNDARY.  THE DURATION WHICH CELLS CAN REMAIN ISOLATED IS
UNCLEAR...WITH POSSIBLE EVOLUTION TO LINE SEGMENTS INCREASING THE
RISK OF STRONG WINDS.

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2005

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2005

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
        ONSET...THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
        AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT HAS LIFTED WELL NORTH OF THE REGION INTO CENTRAL KANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE CAP HAS STARTED TO WEAKEN ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN KANSAS...WITH LIMITED MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT...COUPLED WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A WEAK CAP
TO REMAIN...CHANCES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING REMAIN LOW.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. A
COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING ACROSS
WESTERN KANSAS.  THIS COMPLEX IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AND
COULD APPROACH NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER MIDNIGHT.  ELEVATED
INSTABILITIES REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH OVERNIGHT SO THAT ANY STORMS THAT
DO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT WOULD POSE A WIND OR
HAIL THREAT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
AN UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND
WITH DISTURBANCES IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT RESULTING IN PERIODIC
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.  THE BEST CHANCES MAY BE IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
AS WOULD BE TYPICAL FOR EARLY SUMMER.  THERE WILL BE SOME SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL WITH EACH ROUND OF STORMS...BUT THE PATTERN IS TOO
COMPLEX TO ATTEMPT TO REFINE THE OUTLOOK AT THIS TIME.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

ARZ001-002-010-011-241700-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1103 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

ARZ001-002-010-011-241700-
BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-MADISON AR-WASHINGTON AR-
1106 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL NOON CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     CARROLL...BENTON...MADISON AND WASHINGTON

AT 1103 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
IN AN AREA FROM 5 MILES WEST OF SULPHUR SPRINGS TO 3 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HICKS TO NEAR EUREKA SPRINGS...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 10MPH.

A LARGE PORTION OF CARROLL...BENTON...MADISON AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS THROUGH NOON CDT.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
339 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

OKZ068-069-242145-
ADAIR OK-CHEROKEE OK-
339 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     CHEROKEE

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     ADAIR

AT 339 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES
WEST OF COOKSON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MARIETTA...STILWELL...BUNCH AND
COOKSON.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
354 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

OKZ067-242130-
WAGONER OK-
354 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WAGONER

AT 354 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES
NORTH OF OKAY...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...WAGONER AND OKAY.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
402 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             OKMULGEE                35.62N 95.96W
05/24/2005  1.75 INCH        OKMULGEE           OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
414 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0411 PM     HAIL             5 N HENRYETTA           35.51N 95.98W
05/24/2005  1.00 INCH        OKMULGEE           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
434 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0416 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 W SCHULTER            35.51N 95.97W
05/24/2005  65 MPH           OKMULGEE           OK   STORM CHASER

&&

EJC