Alert archive / Montana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 1421

June 21, 20059 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 21, 2005, 9:32 PM MDT for 9 counties in Montana. It was in force for 58 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2005, 9:32 PM MDT (03:32 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2005, 10:30 PM MDT
In force
58 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Cascade County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Hill County, MT, Lewis and Clark County, MT, Liberty County, MT, Pondera County, MT, Powell County, MT, Teton County, MT, Toole County, MT

The radar

The Great Falls radar (KTFX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 00:00Z on 2005-06-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 693 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 00:00Z on 2005-06-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 167 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
693 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-101 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
3085 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 220333
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220332 
MTZ000-220430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1421
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1032 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN THROUGH N CNTRL MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 510...

VALID 220332Z - 220430Z

THREAT OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL MIGHT PERSIST FOR A COUPLE
HOURS FROM SWRN THROUGH N CNTRL MT. OVERALL DURATION AND MAGNITUDE
OF THE THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR SUFFICIENT FOR ANOTHER WW.  

FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING NEWD
THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES HAS CONTRIBUTED TO AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE
OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER WRN MT THIS EVENING. RELATIVELY LARGE BOUNDARY
LAYER TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS ARE ENHANCING THE POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WIND WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. MID LEVEL FLOW WILL VEER AND
STRENGTHEN OVER WRN MT IN WAKE OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...AND THIS
SHOULD ENHANCE THE DOWNSLOPE POTENTIAL IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS. 
ISOLATED STORMS MIGHT REMAIN SEVERE FOR AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND THE
EXPIRATION OF WW 510. HOWEVER...INCREASING DOWNSLOPE POTENTIAL AND
COOLING BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD SERVE AS LIMITING FACTORS FOR A LONGER
TERMED SEVERE THREAT.

..DIAL.. 06/22/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TFX...MSO...

47321018 46021288 48321380 48891209 48710947

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 6:32 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Garfield, McCone, Petroleum, Phillips, Prairie and 2 more88 min
Jun 21, 7:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCuster, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield, McCone and 11 more7 hr
Jun 21, 10:26 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield, McCone and 9 more64 min
Jun 22, 1:15 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Custer, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield and 14 more60 min
Jun 22, 2:50 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Broadwater, Cascade, Chouteau, Fergus, Gallatin and 15 more115 min
Jun 22, 3:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlaine, Broadwater, Cascade, Chouteau, Daniels, Fergus and 20 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Montana, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.