Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Charleston, WV

000 
WWUS41 KRLX 081614
WSWRLX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1114 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

WVZ035>040-046-047-090015-
/O.CON.KRLX.WS.W.0002.051208T2200Z-051209T1500Z/
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-
RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...COWEN...BUCKHANNON...
PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS
1114 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY. 

PRECIPITATION FROM THE APPROACHING WINTER STORM WILL BEGIN BY
SUNSET...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. WHILE THE DURATION OF
THE STORM WILL NOT BE VERY LONG...A 3 TO 6 HOUR PERIOD OF HEAVY
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

A TOTAL OF 3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST FROM THE APPROACHING
WINTER STORM. THE HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THIS RANGE WILL OCCUR ALONG
THE HIGHER RIDGE TOPS. IN FAYETTE AND RALEIGH COUNTIES...A PERIOD
OF FREEZING RAIN IS FORECAST. ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE INITIAL PORTIONS OF THE
STORM.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>085-WVZ008>011-016>020-028>032-090015-
/O.CON.KRLX.SN.Y.0004.051209T0000Z-051209T1200Z/
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-JACKSON WV-
WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA...
BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...
POMEROY...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...
ST. MARYS...BELMONT...PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...
SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...
WEST UNION...SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...
WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON
1114 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST FRIDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST FRIDAY. 

PRECIPITATION FROM THE APPROACHING WINTER STORM SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO FALL AS MAINLY SNOW. HOWEVER...RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN MAY
MIX IN DURING THE INITIAL STAGES OF THE STORM THIS EVENING. A 3
TO 6 HOUR PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

A TOTAL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS FORECAST BY
SUNRISE ON FRIDAY.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>007-013>015-026-027-090015-
/O.CON.KRLX.WW.Y.0003.051208T2100Z-051209T1200Z/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-
MASON-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-BOONE-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...
SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...
POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...
TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON...
SAINT ALBANS...MADISON...CLAY
1114 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. 

PRECIPITATION FROM THE APPROACHING WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN AS A MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW. SOME FREEZING RAIN IS
POSSIBLE IN THE TRI-STATE VICINITY AROUND HUNTINGTON. ICE
ACCUMULATION...IF ANY...WILL BE MINOR. WE EXPECT A CHANGE TO ALL
SNOW BY MIDNIGHT...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION BY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KRLX 082146
WSWRLX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
446 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

WVZ035>040-046-047-090600-
/O.CON.KRLX.WS.W.0002.051208T2200Z-051209T1500Z/
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-
RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...COWEN...BUCKHANNON...
PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS
446 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. 

PRECIPITATION MOVING IN THIS EVENING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT. WHILE THE DURATION OF THE STORM WILL NOT BE VERY
LONG...A 3 TO 6 HOUR PERIOD OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

A TOTAL OF 3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST FROM THE APPROACHING
WINTER STORM. THE HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THIS RANGE WILL OCCUR ALONG
THE HIGHER RIDGE TOPS. IN FAYETTE AND RALEIGH COUNTIES...A PERIOD
OF FREEZING RAIN IS FORECAST. ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE INITIAL PORTIONS OF THE
STORM. THIS WILL CUT BACK THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY AN INCH OR
TWO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>085-WVZ008>011-016>020-028>032-090600-
/O.CON.KRLX.SN.Y.0004.051209T0000Z-051209T1200Z/
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-JACKSON WV-
WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA...
BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...
POMEROY...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...
ST. MARYS...BELMONT...PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...
SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...
WEST UNION...SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...
WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON
446 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. 

SNOW MOVING INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING MAY BE MIXED WITH RAIN AND
FREEZING RAIN EARLY ON. A 3 TO 6 HOUR PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
SNOW IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

A TOTAL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS FORECAST BY
SUNRISE ON FRIDAY.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>007-013>015-026-027-090600-
/O.CON.KRLX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051209T1200Z/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-
MASON-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-BOONE-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...
SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...
POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...
TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON...
SAINT ALBANS...MADISON...CLAY
446 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

A MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW THIS EVENING WILL
CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY MIDNIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATION...IF ANY...WILL
BE MINOR. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

TRM

000 
WWUS41 KRLX 090414
WSWRLX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1114 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

OHZ075-076-083>085-WVZ008>011-016>020-028>032-090515-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-051209T1200Z/
ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-JACKSON WV-WOOD-
PLEASANTS-TYLER-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATHENS...MARIETTA...BELPRE...JACKSON...
WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...POMEROY...RAVENSWOOD...
RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...
PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...
GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...SUTTON...
GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...
BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON
1114 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
ADVISORY. 

$$

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>007-013>015-026-027-090515-
/O.CAN.KRLX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051209T1200Z/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-
MASON-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-BOONE-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...
SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...
POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...
TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON...
SAINT ALBANS...MADISON...CLAY
1114 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

$$

WVZ035>040-046-047-091215-
/O.CON.KRLX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T1500Z/
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-
RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...COWEN...BUCKHANNON...
PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS
1114 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...


PRECIPITATION MOVING IN THIS EVENING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT. WHILE THE DURATION OF THE STORM WILL NOT BE VERY
LONG...A PERIOD OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

A TOTAL OF 3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST FROM THE WINTER
STORM. THE HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THIS RANGE WILL OCCUR ALONG THE
HIGHER RIDGE TOPS. FREEZING RAIN IS FORECAST TO MIX IN AT TIMES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

OHZ066-067-091200-
/O.CON.KRLX.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-051209T1200Z/
PERRY-MORGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT
1114 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...


A 3 HOUR PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED AFTER
OVERNIGHT.

A TOTAL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS FORECAST BY
SUNRISE ON FRIDAY.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KRLX 090851
WSWRLX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
351 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005

WVZ035>040-046-047-091000-
/O.CAN.KRLX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T1500Z/
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-
RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...COWEN...BUCKHANNON...
PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS
351 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS CANCELED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING. THE STORM SYSTEM HAS LIFTED NORTH OF THE
AREA AND THE LAST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE EXITING THE
MOUNTAINS EARLY THIS MORNING. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
LATER THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD COME TO AN END BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

OHZ066-067-091000-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-051209T1200Z/
PERRY-MORGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT
351 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS CANCELED THE SNOW
ADVISORY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE MID
MORNING HOURS...BUT LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1236 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

.AVIATION...

MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS FORESEEN FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 15 HOURS...AS
MID/HI CLOUDS SLOWLY THICKEN AND LOWER. MAY SEE MVFR VISIBILITY
DUE TO HAZE/SMOKE IN SOME OF THE DEEPER VALLEYS OVERNIGHT THOUGH.

FROM ABOUT 00Z ON...THINGS OF COURSE GET TRICKIER WITH APPROACHING
WINTER STORM. THINKING MAINLY RAIN/SLEET AT THE ONSET WEST OF THE
MOUNTAINS...WITH FREEZING RAIN A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY IN THE
DEEPER MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. PRECIPITATION WILL BE CHANGING OVER TO
ALL SNOW AROUND 06Z...WITH DETERIORATION TO IFR CIGS/VSBY.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 737 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005)

SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...

UPDATED AND EXPANDED WINTER STORM WATCH TO INCLUDE THE CENTRAL
COUNTIES OF WEST VIRGINIA. BOTH ETA/GFS KEEP SURFACE TEMPS JUST
ABOVE FREEZING AND DEW POINT TEMPS IN THE 20S AT THE OUTSET.
EVAPORATIVE COOLING WILL TAKE SURFACE TEMPS QUICKLY BELOW
FREEZING. WITH WARM AIR ALOFT...EXPECTING THE POSSIBLITY OF AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW
TOWARDS 06Z IN THE EXPANDED COUNTIES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 651 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005)

AVIATION...

A PATCH OF MVFR STRATO CU FROM ZZV-PKB-CKB-EKN LINE WILL QUICKLY
ERODE DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE NORM
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. STORM SYSTEM TO OUR
SOUTH WILL MOVE UP DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE AND CEILINGS WILL DECREASE BETWEEN 18Z AND 23Z THURSDAY.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN AROUND 23Z FROM HTS-BKW LINE
AND MVFR CONDITIONS IN -RAPL IS EXPECTED.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 309 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005)

LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THURSDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVE
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT.  AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES NORTHEAST...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS OUR
SOUTHWEST COUNTIES LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND THEN SPREAD
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

HAVE SLOWED DOWN NORTHEASTWARD PROGRESS OF PRECIPITATION SHIELD AS
DRY AIR WILL BE ENTRENCHED IN THE LOWEST LEVELS.

THE MODELS ALSO INDICATE WARM AIR WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS INDICATE WARM LAYER WILL BE
QUITE THICK.  I STARTED WITH THE ETA12 MODEL TEMPERATURE DATA AND
COOLED A FEW DEGREES AS I FEEL THE MODEL TEMPS ALOFT MAY BE A
LITTLE TOO WARM. BY MIDNIGHT...COLD AIR BEGINS TO MOVE IN AS THE
LOW MOVES BY.

THIS SCENARIO WILL RESULT IN A WINTRY MIX ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH MAINLY SNOW EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THE COMBINATION OF WARM AIR ALOFT AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES BELOW
FREEZING SHOULD RESULT IN A PERIOD OF TIME WHERE FREEZING RAIN AND
SLEET WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT WEATHER TYPE ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
COUNTIES.

BECAUSE THE PREDOMINANT WEATHER TYPE WILL DEPEND ON THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE LOW...WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY WARNINGS OR
ADVISORIES AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT A
WINTER WEATHER WARNING MAY BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA FOR SNOW AND THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN COUNTIES FOR
THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SIGNIFICANT ICE FOR THURSDAY NIGHT.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL END DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE AND DRY AIR FILTER INTO THE REGION.

HAVE GENERALLY GONE WITH A BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES FOR
HIGHS/LOWS DURING THE PERIOD.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 139 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005)

LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...

HIGH PRESSURE NOSES ACROSS THE REGION INTO SATURDAY MORNING...H850
TEMPS DONT GO TO -5C EXCEPT FOR EXTREME NORTH. WINDS SHOULD DIE AND
TEMPS WILL FALL OFF. AS MUCH AS I WOULD LIKE TO UNDERCUT GUIDANCE...
HARD TO GO BELOW 20F IN THE CITIES...BUT WILL EDGE SLIGHTLY ABOVE
MEN/MEX NUMBERS. A FAIR SOUTHWEST FLOW SHOULD DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
NEXT CLIPPER ON SATURDAY...XSECTIONS LOOK DRY AND WILL GO ABOVE
GUIDANCE SLIGHTLY THERE...SOME HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING IN LATE DAY
PERHAPS.

CLOUDS INCREASE SOMEWHAT AHEAD OF THE CLIPPER INTO SUNDAY
MORNING...BUT WILL PROBABLY HAVE SEVERAL HOURS OF CLEAR SKIES
ALLOWING FOR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES TO GET COLD...WHEREAS MORE CLOUDS IN
THE NORTHWEST WILL HOLD TEMPS UP SLIGHTLY...MAYBE SOME LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS.

THIS FAR OUT...GFS USUALLY TOO QUICK WITH FRONTS AND ENSEMBLES/ECMWF
A TAD SLOWER...SO WILL BE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT SUNDAY HOLDING POPS DOWN.
HARD TO SEE ANY PRECIP FURTHER SOUTH THAN CRW. FIGURE CITIES SOUTH
WILL HAVE ANOTHER DAY IN THE 40S BEFORE COLDER AIR ARRIVES INTO
MONDAY MORNING. BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP IN THE WHOLE LONG TERM WOULD
BE MONDAY MORNING...AND THATS NOT SAYING MUCH AT ALL. NICE VORT MAX
GOES THROUGH...BUT MORE OF A WESTERLY WIND...NOT PERFECT NORTHWEST
WIND WOULD LIKE TO SEE FOR UPSLOPE. THINK MOISTURE MAY BE RATHER
SHALLOW...BUT COLDER TEMPS ALOFT THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS SHOULD ALLOW
FOR BETTER CRYSTAL GROWTH IN THE HIGHLANDS.

SOME WEAK DISTURBANCES CROSS THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...SO WILL TRY
TO KEEP SOME CHANCE POPS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FURTHER NORTH. CLOUDS
WILL HANG TOUGH AND DIURNALS SHOULD BE RATHER SMALL MONDAY...COLDER
THAN THE PREVIOUS AFTERNOONS. GUIDANCE TEMPS LOOK FAIR.

GFS HAS COASTAL CLOSER TO COAST THAN ECMWF ON TUESDAY...AND THUS
KEEPS WARMER AIR FURTHER WEST. BOTH MODELS HAVE TRENDED FURTHER EAST
WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS...WITH THE ECMWF MORE
CONSISTENT. THINK H850 TEMPS WILL FOLLOW CLOSER TO WHAT ECMWF HAS
EVENTUALLY...AND THUS COULD BE COLDER ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...BUT
FOR NOW...WILL RUN WITH HPC GRIDS AS OTHER OFFICES HAVE FOLLOWED
SUIT. HESITANT TO BELIEVE ANY TYPE OF STORM TRACK STRAIGHT NORTHERLY
UP THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST COAST...AS THE MODELS CONTINUE TO CHURN
OUT ON DAY 7 OF ALMOST EVERY RUN...UNTIL A SOLID GREENLAND BLOCK
DEVELOPS.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR WVZ006>011-013>020-026>032-034>040-046-
     047 FROM 7 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM FRIDAY.
OH...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087 FROM 7 PM
     THURSDAY TO 10 AM FRIDAY.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...CL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1221 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>085-WVZ008>011-016>020-027>032-035>040-046-
047-081715-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-JACKSON WV-
WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-CLAY-
BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-
WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
1221 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OHIO
AND WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA...FOR THURSDAY
EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THE LATEST AMOUNTS.

PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH A STORM SYSTEM MOVING IN FROM THE
SOUTH...IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. WARM AIR
ALOFT...SHOULD RESULT IN A WINTRY MIXTURE OF RAIN...SNOW...FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
HOWEVER...THE AIRMASS SHOULD REMAIN COLD ENOUGH FOR MUCH OF THE
PRECIPITATION TO FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW...WHERE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY
MORNING.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>007-013>015-024>026-
033-034-081715-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-
BUCHANAN-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-MINGO-LOGAN-
BOONE-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-
1221 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST
LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. WARM AIR
ALOFT...WHICH WILL STREAM NORTH AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...SHOULD RESULT
IN A WINTRY MIXTURE OF RAIN...SNOW...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACROSS
FAR SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHWEST VIRGINIA AND THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA. IF SIGNIFICANT ICE OR SNOW IS
EXPECTED...WARNINGS AND OR ADVISORIES MAY BE POSTED. YOUR NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE TRACK OF THIS
APPROACHING SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.