Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2005
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this winter storm warning at Dec 8, 2005, 3:33 PM EST for Hudson County, Passaic County, New Jersey; 5 counties in New York; Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut. It took effect at Dec 9, 2005, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 14 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 8, 2005, 3:33 PM EST (20:33 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 9, 2005, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 9, 2005, 3:01 PM EST
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Hudson County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, New York County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Westchester County, NY
The radar
The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 81 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1389 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 59 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -43 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 87 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KOKX 082033 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 333 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY... .A VIGOROUS WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT...AIDING IN RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON FRIDAY. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY...PASSING JUST EAST OF CAPE COD FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE TO INTERACT WITH THE ABUNDANT ATLANTIC AND GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE THROWN OVER THE AREA...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. JUST AS WITH OUR MOST RECENT STORM...THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN THIS TRACK COULD HAVE DRASTIC IMPLICATIONS FOR THE REGION...IN TERMS OF ALL SNOW VERSUS A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW OR EVEN A CHANGEOVER TO ALL RAIN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS COASTAL LOCALES. AS IT STANDS NOW...THIS STORM WILL BE MUCH STRONGER AND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A MORE SIGNIFICANT AND WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL THAN THE ONE THAT AFFECTED US EARLIER IN THE WEEK. CTZ006-090445- /O.CAN.KOKX.HS.W.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN- 333 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET OR RAIN. MIXED PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW AS IT STARTS TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ NJZ003>005-011-090445- /O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-UNION- 333 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET OR RAIN. MIXED PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW AS IT STARTS TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-090445- /O.EXT.KOKX.HS.W.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 333 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...BEFORE STARTING TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 6 AND 10 INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ NYZ078-090445- /O.EXB.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- 333 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND RAIN...OR CHANGE TO RAIN. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO THEN CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON AS IT STARTS TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ009-NJZ006-NYZ071>076-090445- /O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS- 333 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET OR RAIN FRIDAY MORNING. MIXED PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON AS IT STARTS TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 4 AND 6 INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS NEAR THE IMMEDIATE OCEAN SHORES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ010-NYZ077-090445- /O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-NASSAU- 333 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND RAIN...OR CHANGE TO RAIN. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO THEN CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON AS IT STARTS TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ007-008-090445- /O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- 333 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND RAIN...OR BRIEFLY CHANGE TO RAIN FRIDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW AS IT STARTS TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ GOODMAN/JACOBSON
8 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KOKX 082057 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 357 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY... .A VIGOROUS WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT...AIDING IN RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON FRIDAY. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY...PASSING JUST EAST OF CAPE COD FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE TO INTERACT WITH THE ABUNDANT ATLANTIC AND GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE THROWN OVER THE AREA...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. JUST AS WITH OUR MOST RECENT STORM...THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN THIS TRACK COULD HAVE DRASTIC IMPLICATIONS FOR THE REGION...IN TERMS OF ALL SNOW VERSUS A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW OR EVEN A CHANGEOVER TO ALL RAIN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS COASTAL LOCALES. AS IT STANDS NOW...THIS STORM WILL BE MUCH STRONGER AND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A MORE SIGNIFICANT AND WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL THAN THE ONE THAT AFFECTED US EARLIER IN THE WEEK. CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-090515- /O.CON.KOKX.HS.W.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 357 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...BEFORE STARTING TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 6 AND 10 INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ CTZ006-NJZ003>005-011-090515- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-UNION- 357 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET OR RAIN. MIXED PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW AS IT STARTS TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ CTZ009-NJZ006-NYZ071>076-090515- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS- 357 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET OR RAIN FRIDAY MORNING. MIXED PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON AS IT STARTS TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 4 AND 6 INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS NEAR THE IMMEDIATE OCEAN SHORES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ010-NYZ077-078-090515- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- 357 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND RAIN...OR CHANGE TO RAIN. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO THEN CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON AS IT STARTS TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ007-008-090515- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- 357 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND RAIN...OR BRIEFLY CHANGE TO RAIN FRIDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW AS IT STARTS TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ GOODMAN/JACOBSON
000 WWUS41 KOKX 090318 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 1018 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY... .A VIGOROUS WEATHER DISTURBANCE TRACKING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY WILL EVENTUALLY AID IN THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON FRIDAY. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY...PASSING JUST EAST OF CAPE COD FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WITH COLD AIR SETTLED ACROSS THE TRI- STATE REGION AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE MOVING IN...SOME SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. JUST AS WITH OUR MOST RECENT STORM...THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN THIS TRACK COULD HAVE DRASTIC IMPLICATIONS FOR THE REGION...IN TERMS OF ALL SNOW VERSUS A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW OR EVEN A CHANGEOVER TO ALL RAIN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS COASTAL LOCALES. AS IT STANDS NOW...THIS STORM WILL BE MUCH STRONGER AND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A MORE SIGNIFICANT AND WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL THAN THE ONE THAT AFFECTED US EARLIER IN THE WEEK. CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-091100- /O.CON.KOKX.HS.W.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 1018 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...TAPERING OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 6 AND 10 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ CTZ006-NJZ003>005-011-091100- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-UNION- 1018 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET OR RAIN. THIS WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE ENDING. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ CTZ009-NJZ006-NYZ071>076-091100- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS- 1018 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET OR RAIN. THIS WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 4 AND 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS NEAR THE IMMEDIATE SHORE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ010-NYZ077-078-091100- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- 1018 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND RAIN...OR CHANGE TO ALL RAIN. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ007-008-091100- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.051209T0600Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- 1018 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AS IT DOES SO...MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND RAIN...OR BRIEFLY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN. THE PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS41 KOKX 091049 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 549 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...VIGOROUS...BUT PROGRESSIVE WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE TRI- STATE AREA TODAY... .A VIGOROUS WEATHER DISTURBANCE TRACKING THROUGH THE THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES IS AIDING IN THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFF THE DELMARVA COAST. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST TODAY...PASSING JUST SOUTH OF MONTAUK POINT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS CLOSER COASTAL TRACK WILL DRAW IN WARMER AIR MIXING WITH AND CHANGING THE SNOW OVER TO PLAIN RAIN...ESPECIALLY AT EXTREME COASTAL LOCATIONS REDUCING TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS. NJZ003>005-011-092200- /O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ /O.EXA.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-UNION- 549 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO THE COAST. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ010-NYZ077-078-091200- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- 549 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. LIGHT SNOW WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN THIS MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER...THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-092200- /O.CON.KOKX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 549 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THIS MORNING BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES...THEN TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 5 AND 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ CTZ006-092200- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN- 549 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...THEN POSSIBLY CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER THIS MORNING...AND POSSIBLY MIX WITH SLEET AS IT DOES SO. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ CTZ007>009-NJZ006-NYZ071>076-092200- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-HUDSON- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS- 549 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER THIS MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS IN URBAN AREAS AND NEAR THE IMMEDIATE SHORE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS41 KOKX 091129 AAA WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 629 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...VIGOROUS...BUT PROGRESSIVE WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE TRI- STATE AREA TODAY... .A VIGOROUS WEATHER DISTURBANCE TRACKING THROUGH THE THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES IS AIDING IN THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFF THE DELMARVA COAST. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST TODAY...PASSING JUST SOUTH OF MONTAUK POINT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS CLOSER COASTAL TRACK WILL DRAW IN WARMER AIR MIXING WITH AND CHANGING THE SNOW OVER TO PLAIN RAIN...ESPECIALLY AT EXTREME COASTAL LOCATIONS REDUCING TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS. CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-091930- /O.CON.KOKX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 629 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THIS MORNING BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES...THEN TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 5 AND 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ CTZ006-091930- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN- 629 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...THEN POSSIBLY CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER THIS MORNING...AND POSSIBLY MIX WITH SLEET AS IT DOES SO. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ NYZ077>081-091300- /O.EXB.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T1300Z/ NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 629 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES ACROSS NASSAU AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 30 DEGREES AND CLIMBING. LIGHT RAIN IS FALLING ACROSS SUFFOLK COUNTY...HOWEVER TEMPERATURES JUST BELOW FREEZING AT THE SURFACE IS CAUSING IT TO FREEZE ON CONTACT. THIS WILL CAUSE EXTREMELY TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AS ROADS BECOME VERY SLIPPERY. THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS WESTWARD INTO NASSAU COUNTY OVER THE NEXT HOUR AS THE SNOW TRANSITIONS OVER TO RAIN. COMMUTERS SHOULD LEAVE EXTRA SPACE BETWEEN THEMSELVES AND THE VEHICLE IN FRONT OF THEM WHILE TRAVELING THIS MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ007>009-NJZ006-NYZ071>076-091930- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-HUDSON- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS- 629 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER THIS MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS IN URBAN AREAS AND NEAR THE IMMEDIATE SHORE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ003>005-011-091930- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-UNION- 629 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN LATE THIS MORNING... BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO THE COAST. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS41 KOKX 091254 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 754 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...VIGOROUS...BUT PROGRESSIVE WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE TRI- STATE AREA TODAY... .STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE JUST SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND WILL TRACK NORTHEAST TODAY...PASSING JUST SOUTHEAST OF MONTAUK POINT THIS AFTERNOON. NYZ077>081-091400- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T1300Z/ NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 754 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN TO AT OR JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK ACROSS MUCH OF LONG ISLAND. $$ CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-092100- /O.CON.KOKX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 754 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THIS MORNING BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES...THEN TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 5 AND 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ CTZ006-092100- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN- 754 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...THEN POSSIBLY CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER THIS MORNING...AND POSSIBLY MIX WITH SLEET AS IT DOES SO. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ CTZ007>009-NJZ006-NYZ071>076-092100- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-HUDSON- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS- 754 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE POSSIBLE. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER THIS MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS IN URBAN AREAS AND NEAR THE IMMEDIATE SHORE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ003>005-011-092100- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-UNION- 754 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO THE COAST. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS41 KOKX 091352 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 852 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...VIGOROUS...BUT PROGRESSIVE WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE TRI- STATE AREA TODAY... .STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE JUST SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND WILL TRACK NORTHEAST TODAY...PASSING JUST SOUTHEAST OF MONTAUK POINT THIS AFTERNOON. NJZ003>005-011-092200- /O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ /O.EXA.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-UNION- 852 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES IS EXPECTED. $$ CTZ009-NJZ006-NYZ071>076-092200- /O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ /O.EXA.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS- 852 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW AND SLEET WILL MIX WITH PLAIN RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF BROOKLYN...QUEENS AND STATEN ISLAND WILL BE PREDOMINATELY RAIN. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS NEAR THE IMMEDIATE SHORE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-092200- /O.CON.KOKX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 852 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THIS MORNING BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES...THEN TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 6 AND 10 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ CTZ006-092200- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN- 852 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...THEN POSSIBLY CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER...AND POSSIBLY MIX WITH SLEET AS IT DOES SO. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ CTZ010>012-092100- /O.EXB.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2100Z/ SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 852 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL GRADUALLY CHANGEOVER TO ALL RAIN BEFORE ENDING THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED...ALONG WITH SOME ICING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ007-008-092200- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- 852 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW AND SLEET WILL MIX WITH PLAIN RAIN LATE THIS MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE POSSIBLE. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER THIS MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS41 KOKX 091646 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 1146 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...STRONG LOW PRESSURE DEPARTING THIS AFTERNOON... .STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE JUST SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND WILL TRACK QUICKLY EAST THIS AFTERNOON. CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-091800- /O.CAN.KOKX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 1146 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING. RADAR INDICATES THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION IS MOVING EAST OF THE AREA. $$ CTZ009-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>076-091800- /O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS- 1146 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. RADAR INDICATES THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION IS MOVING EAST OF THE AREA. $$ CTZ006-092200- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN- 1146 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW AND SLEET WILL COME TO AN END BY MID AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ CTZ010>012-092100- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2100Z/ SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 1146 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL GRADUALLY END BY MID AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED...ALONG WITH SOME ICING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ007-008-092200- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- 1146 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW AND SLEET WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END BY MID AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS41 KOKX 092001 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 301 PM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVING WELL TO THE EAST... .INTENSE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF CAPE COD THIS EVENING. CTZ006-092115- /O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN- 301 PM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. SNOW HAS MOVED EAST OF THE AREA. $$ CTZ007-008-092115- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2200Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- 301 PM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. SNOW HAS MOVED EAST OF THE AREA. $$ CTZ010>012-092115- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2100Z/ SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 301 PM EST FRI DEC 9 2005 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. SNOW HAS MOVED EAST OF THE AREA. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 8, 10:04 AM EST, 5 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 8, 10:04 AM EST, 5 hours 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1004 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005
.NEAR TERM (TODAY)...FORECAST GRIDS ARE IN GOOD SHAPE...MADE ONLY
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TEMPS FOR AFM/PFM FOR MORNING
UPDATE. ONE MORE QUIET FAIR DAY...THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM. MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES SHOULD PREVAIL FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE DAY...WITH A
TRANSITION TO A MORE MIXED SKY AS A CIRRUS BAND PUSHES INTO THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE
REGION FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...KEEPING OUR WIND
FLOW LIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND A COUPLE OF DEGREES FROM YESTERDAY...BUT
WILL REMAIN SOME 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
&&
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
COMPLEX...AND LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE SCENARIO EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY. STILL QUITE A BIT OF DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE 00Z MODEL
SUITE CONCERNING TIMING...STRENGTH AND TRACK OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
CENTERS.
FIRST...WHAT WE THINK WE KNOW. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BARREL FROM
THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TODAY INTO TONIGHT. AS
IT DOES...IT WILL SPUR SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. BY LATE THIS EVENING...THIS LOW WILL PUSH
NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. LATER TONIGHT...A SECONDARY
LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...AND WILL BECOME THE
DOMINANT LOW BY FRIDAY MORNING.
OK...NOW FOR WHAT IS STILL UNCERTAIN. HOW LONG DOES THIS TRANSFER
TAKE FOR THE COASTAL LOW TO BECOME THE PRIMARY LOW. THE LONGER IT
TAKES...THE WARMER THE SOLUTION WILL EVENTUALLY BE FOR MOST OF THE
REGION. SECONDLY...WHERE EXACTLY DOES THIS LOW FORM...AND THEN WHAT
TRACK DOES IT TAKE FROM THERE. THERE IS STILL QUITE A SPREAD BETWEEN
THE GFS AND THE NAM CONCERNING THESE THREE POINTS. THE NAM IS SLOWER
WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE COASTAL LOW...BUT RESULTS IN A A
STRONGER LOW AND A CLOSER TO THE COAST TRACK. THIS WOULD INCREASE
QPF AND WINDS...BUT ALSO RESULT IN A MORE LIQUID FORM FOR THE QPF.
MEANWHILE THE GFS TRACK IS FURTHER EAST WITH WEAKER COASTAL
LOW...WHICH IS A COLDER SOLUTION. THE GFS WILL BE THE CHOICE
TODAY...AS IT HAS BEEN MUCH MORE CONSISTENT RUN-TO-RUN AND HAS A
BETTER TRACK RECORD WITH THESE TYPES OF SCENARIOS. HOWEVER...EVEN
WITH THE ACCEPTANCE OF THIS COLDER SOLUTION...ENOUGH WARM AIR IS
DEPICTED IN THE BUFKIT SOUNDINGS TO RESULT IN A MIX WITH OR
CHANGEOVER TO RAIN FOR ALMOST ALL COASTAL LOCALES. AS IT IS STILL
EARLY DECEMBER...WE HAVE TO FIGHT CLIMATOLOGY WHICH MOST
SIGNIFICANTLY IN THIS CASE IS 50 DEGREE OCEAN WATER. THIS IS ABOUT
10 DEGREES WARMER THAN WHAT MIGHT BE LURKING OFF OUR SHORES IN ABOUT
2 MONTHS.
OK...WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US? SNOW WILL START TO OVERSPREAD THE
REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
INLAND LOW OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THEN...AS THE COASTAL LOW
GETS GOING BY DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY...WE WILL SEE THE SNOW INCREASE IN
INTENSITY. AROUND...OR VERY SHORTLY AFTER THIS...WE WILL SEE THE
SNOW START TO MIX WITH RAIN ACROSS THE EAST END OF LONG ISLAND. THIS
MIX WILL THEN EVENTUALLY CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN. CURRENT THINKING
IS THAT THIS AREA OF MIXED PRECIPITATION FOLLOWED BY LIQUID
PRECIPITATION WILL SLOWLY SPREAD NORTH...BUT MAINLY WEST ACROSS
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NEW YORK CITY AND VICINITY AS WELL AS THE
REST OF LONG ISLAND. THE ONLY LOCATIONS THAT CAN BE CONFIDENT OF
STAYING ALL SNOW...OR AT LEAST SEEING A MINIMAL AMOUNT OF RAIN
MIXING IN WILL BE THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT. EVERYONE ELSE SHOULD LOSE A PORTION OF THE
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION THAT OCCURS FRIDAY MORNING TO RAIN. THIS WILL
RANGE FROM AN HOUR OR TWO OF MIXING ACROSS BERGEN COUNTY NJ TO A
MOSTLY RAIN EVENT FOR THE TWIN FORKS.
AS FAR AS SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...WILL GO WITH 5-10 INCHES FOR THE LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST CT...AND A HEAVY SNOW WARNING
WILL BE ISSUED FOR THESE LOCATIONS. FOR INTERIOR SOUTHEAST
CT...COASTAL SOUTHWEST CT...NYC AND ITS NEARBY SUBURBS...EXPECT 2-4
ALONG THE COAST...AND 3-6 FOR LOCATIONS A LITTLE FURTHER INLAND.
FINALLY...FOR COASTAL SOUTHEAST CT AND SUFFOLK COUNTY NY...THE
LOCALES THAT WILL SEE THE MOST RAIN...WILL GO 1-3 AND ALLOW THESE
LOCALES TO GO WITHOUT A W/W/A.
REMEMBER...THESE AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF
THE LOW...AND WILL BE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. AS LITTLE AS A 50 MILE
SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF THE LOW COULD RESULT IN LARGE CHANGES IN THE
FORECAST. STAY TUNED THROUGH THE DAY FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.
AND...NO MATTER WHAT ENDS UP AS THE EVENTUAL SOLUTION...IT WILL BE
NASTY FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY ON FRIDAY. ANYONE WITH TRAVEL
OR COMMUTING CONCERNS MAY WANT TO MAKE ALTERNATE PLANS OR PLAN ON
USING MASS TRANSIT.
LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY LIFT NORTHEAST BY FRIDAY EVENING...AND WE
SHOULD SEE PRECIPITATION TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO
EAST. IT WILL BE QUITE BREEZY ON FRIDAY...AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL BE TIGHT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
&&
.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...THE MEAN TROUGH REMAINS
ANCHORED OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WITH SPOKES OF ENERGY ROTATING AROUND
THE POLAR VORTEX IN NORTHERN CANADA. THIS WILL KEEP US IN A COLD AND
POTENTIALLY UNSETTLED PATTERN. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CHANGES WERE
MADE DURING THIS PERIOD AS ALMOST ALL OF THE FOCUS THIS MORNING WAS
ON THE STORM FOR TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
&&
.MARINE...SEAS WERE AT 4.6 FT AT BUOY 44017 AT 14Z...WINDS WILL
DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON SO WILL NOT RAISE SHORT-TERM SCA.
OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WATERS TODAY AND IS
QUICKLY NUDGED OFFSHORE TONIGHT AS DOUBLE BARRELLED LOW APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. COASTAL LOW BECOMES THE PRIMARY SYSTEM FRI MORNING
AND PASSES SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND DURING THE DAY. GALES HOISTED ON THE
OCEAN FOR GUSTS BEGINNING 15Z FRI WITH SMALL CRAFT ELSEWHERE.
MODELS STILL HAVE SOME VERY IMPORTANT DIFFERENCES...NAMELY TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF LOW...SO MAY HAVE TO UPGRADE SCA ON THE SOUND AND
HARBOR TO GALES. LOW QUICKLY SCOOTS OUT TO SEA FRI NIGHT...BUT CAA
WILL KEEP GUSTS LINGERING OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF
THE WATERS ON SAT AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM DIVES OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA.
THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE AREA ON MONDAY...BUT NO FLAGS ARE
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR THROUGH AT LEAST 06Z FRI. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
OVER THE TRI-STATE AREA TODAY...BUT WILL BE QUICKLY PUSHED OFFSHORE
TONIGHT AHEAD OF A DOUBLE BARRELLED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS WILL WORK THERE WAY INTO THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY DETERIORATE TO IFR/LIFR FROM
WEST TO EAST AFTER 08Z WITH LIGHT/MODERATE SNOW OVERSPREADING THE
AREA. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SW THIS EVENING...THEN TO THE SE
TOWARD DAYBREAK...BUT WILL REMAIN 10 KT OR LESS THROUGHOUT THIS
TIME FRAME.
OUTLOOK AFTER 12Z FRI...TOUGH FORECAST AFTER 12Z FRI. COASTAL LOW
BECOMES THE PRIMARY STORM SYSTEM FRI MORNING AND THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS LOW WILL DETERMINE WHAT WILL HAPPEN. MODELS STILL HAVE SOME
VERY IMPORTANT DIFFERENCES. AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS THAT WARMER
AIR WILL FILTER INTO COASTAL LOCATIONS MAKING P-TYPE A TOUGH CALL.
CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ALL TERMINALS EXCEPT KSWF AND PERHAPS KHPN
WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE OVER TO RAIN DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...THEN
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW ON THE BACKSIDE AS COLDER AIR MOVES BACK IN.
HOWEVER DEPTH OF THE WARM LAYER WILL ALSO DETERMINE IF WE SEE ANY
SLEET MIXING IN BUT THINK BETTER CHANCE OF THIS OCCURRING IS ON THE
BACKSIDE AS WINDS SHIFT TO A COLDER NORTHERLY DIRECTION. AT ANY
RATE...EXPECTING CONDITIONS TO REMAIN IFR OR LOWER UNTIL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...POTENTIAL FOR A MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL/MIXED
PRECIPITATION EVENT FROM LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THIS SHOULD NOT
CAUSE PROBLEMS FOR AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR CTZ005>006...1 AM-1 PM FRI.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CTZ007>010...1 AM-1 PM FRI.
NJ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR NJZ002...1 AM-1 PM FRI.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NJZ003>006-011...1 AM-1 PM FRI.
NY...HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR NYZ067>070...1 AM-1 PM FRI.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NYZ071>077...1 AM-1 PM FRI.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR THE OCEAN ANZ350-353-355...10 AM FRI-
1 AM SAT.
SCA FOR THE SOUND/HARBOR ANZ330-335-338...10 AM FRI-
1 AM SAT.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 8, 5:49 AM EST, 9 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 549 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005 CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-091100- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE- PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 549 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TONIGHT THROUGH 1 PM FRIDAY. 5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO WSWOKX FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TONIGHT THROUGH 1 PM FRIDAY. 5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO WSWOKX FOR FURTHER DETAILS. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON FRIDAY. CTZ007>010-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>077-091100- NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU- 549 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TONIGHT THROUGH 1 PM FRIDAY. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS...WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THOSE LOCALES NOT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COAST. PLEASE REFER TO WSWOKX FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TONIGHT THROUGH 1 PM FRIDAY. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS...WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THOSE LOCALES NOT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COAST. PLEASE REFER TO WSWOKX FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON FRIDAY. CTZ011-012-NYZ078>081-091100- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 549 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AND WILL ACCUMULATE TO ABOUT AN INCH BY DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PLEASE REFER TO WSWOKX FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY SNOW WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO RAIN FRIDAY MORNING. THE RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PLEASE REFER TO WSWOKX FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON FRIDAY. ANZ350-353-355-091100- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 549 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A GALE WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. ANZ330-091100- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 549 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. ANZ335-338-091100- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- 549 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 4:29 AM EST | Heavy Snow Warning | OKX | Passaic | 31 hr |
| Dec 8, 4:29 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | Hudson, Passaic | 35 hr |
| Dec 8, 3:26 PM EST | Wind Advisory | OKX | Suffolk | 14 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2005Winter Storm Warnings in New Jersey, 2005Winter Storm Warnings in Connecticut, 2005Every winter storm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.