Wind Advisory 5, NWS New York, NY

000 
WWUS71 KOKX 240515
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1215 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE THANKSGIVING DAY...

.A STRONG CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL DIVE DOWN FROM CANADA INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION OVERNIGHT AND THEN INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
ON THURSDAY. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA...ALONG
WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN STRONG WESTERLY
WINDS BEGINNING LATE THANKSGIVING DAY.

CTZ006>008-010>012-NYZ077>081-241315-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.051124T2200Z-051125T0600Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1215 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST FRIDAY. 

BY MID MORNING...SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 35 MPH WILL DEVELOP. THESE WINDS WILL BECOME WEST IN THE 
AFTERNOON FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL
STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REACHING SUSTAINED SPEEDS
OF 25 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. 

RECENT RAINS HAVE SOFTENED SOILS WHICH MAY DOWN SMALL TREES AS
WELL AS TREE BRANCHES LIKELY CAUSING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. BE
AWARE THAT ANY DOWNED TREES OR TREE BRANCHES MAY ALSO BLOCK
ROADWAYS. ANY LOOSE OBJECTS REMAINING OUTDOORS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND
AS WELL.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KOKX 240906
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
406 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...

.A STRONG CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL DIVE DOWN FROM CANADA INTO NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TODAY. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
AREA...ALONG WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN
STRONG WESTERLY WINDS TODAY.

CTZ009-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>076-242100-
/O.EXB.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.051124T1800Z-051125T0600Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-
406 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM
EST FRIDAY. 

BY MID TO LATE MORNING...SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL DEVELOP. THESE WINDS WILL BECOME WEST
IN THE AFTERNOON FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.
WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REACHING
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH. THESE
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.

BE AWARE THAT ANY DOWNED TREES OR TREE BRANCHES MAY BLOCK
ROADWAYS. ANY LOOSE OBJECTS REMAINING OUTDOORS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND
AS WELL. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WILL LIKELY OCCUR. WALKING ON
CITY STREETS IN BETWEEN TALL BUILDINGS MAY BECOME DIFFICULT.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

CTZ006>008-010>012-NYZ077>081-242100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.051124T1800Z-051125T0600Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
406 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST FRIDAY. 

BY MID TO LATE MORNING...SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP. THESE WINDS WILL BECOME WEST
IN THE AFTERNOON FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.
WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REACHING
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH BY LATE
IN THE DAY. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.

BE AWARE THAT ANY DOWNED TREES OR TREE BRANCHES MAY BLOCK
ROADWAYS. ANY LOOSE OBJECTS REMAINING OUTDOORS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND
AS WELL. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WILL LIKELY OCCUR. 

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KOKX 241639
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1139 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.A STRONG ALBERTA CLIPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DIVE DOWN INTO
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WHILE ITS ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT
CROSSES THE TRI-STATE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AN INCREASING
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND LARGE PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
RESULT IN STRONG WESTERLY WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

CTZ006>012-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>081-250200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.051124T1800Z-051125T0600Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1139 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BECOME
WEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD
FRONT. WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...REACHING
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH BY LATE IN
THE DAY. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND ON BRIDGES AND ELEVATED ROADWAYS. BE AWARE
THAT ANY DOWNED TREES OR TREE BRANCHES MAY BLOCK ROADWAYS. 
ANY LOOSE OBJECTS REMAINING OUTDOORS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND AS
WELL...AND ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES MAY ALSO OCCUR. 

$$

GOODMAN

000 
WWUS71 KOKX 242057
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
357 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

CTZ006>012-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>081-250500-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051125T0600Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
357 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY. 

AN ALBERTA CLIPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM NORTHERN NEW
YORK STATE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING...WHILE ITS ASSOCIATED
STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST OF THE TRI-STATE AREA. LARGE PRESSURE
RISES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS TONIGHT.
WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH
THIS EVENING...THEN START TO GRADUALLY DECREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ON
BRIDGES AND ELEVATED ROADWAYS AND FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE AWARE
THAT ANY DOWNED TREES OR TREE BRANCHES MAY BLOCK ROADWAYS. ANY LOOSE
OBJECTS REMAINING OUTDOORS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND AS WELL...AND
LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES MAY ALSO OCCUR. 

$$

000 
WWUS71 KOKX 242347
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
647 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

.WITH LOW PRESSURE MOVING TO OUR NORTH...GRADIENT WINDS ARE NOT AS
HIGH AS EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

CTZ006>012-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>081-250100-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051125T0600Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
647 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

MPS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
916 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

.NEAR TERM (THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT)...
PREVIOUS FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK SO OTHER THEN TO CLEAN OUT SOME
MORNING REFERENCES...DO NOT SEE THE NEED TO MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENTS AT
THIS TIME. STILL LOOKING AT A STRONG SHORTWAVE MOVING QUICKLY ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND AT THIS TIME. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES ON
BLUSTERY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALTHOUGH THIS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY AS WEAK SURFACE RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST. IN THE MEANTIME...THE CYCLONIC FLOW WILL PROBABLY KEEP SOME
SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS AROUND THE REGION...ESPECIALLY
NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS. AS RIDGE AXIS MOVES ACROSS THE REGION LATE IN
THE DAY...WINDS DIMINISH WHILE TAKING ON A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. THEN
WE TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A STRONG POLAR VORTEX/SURFACE CLIPPER
SYSTEM DROPPING INTO THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING IN CLOUDS THIS EVENING WHICH WILL
EITHER HOLD TEMPERATURES IN CHECK AFTER AN INITIAL FALL OFF DURING
THE EVENING OR CAUSE THEM TO RISE A BIT AFTER MIDNIGHT. THESE CLOUDS
WILL LOWER AND THICKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING
WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA IN RESPONSE
TO STRONG THETA-E ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE CLIPPER. ALTHOUGH
TEMPERATURES ALOFT ARE COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW...A STRENGTHENING
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL BE WARMING BOUNDARY LAYER
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. ACROSS INLAND SECTIONS...THE
TEMPERATURE PROFILE...ALTHOUGH WARMING...WILL STILL BE COLD ENOUGH
FOR SNOW. EVEN NEAR THE COAST...IT MAY START OUT AS SNOW OR MIX WITH
SNOW AT THE BEGINNING...DEPENDING ON JUST WHEN IT ALL STARTS. A
LATER START WILL LIMITED THE AREAS THAT SEE ANY SNOW.
&&

.SHORT TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
ANY SNOW AT THE START ALONG THE COAST SHOULD QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO
RAIN AS LOW LEVEL WARMING CONTINUES. IT WILL TAKE LONGER FOR THE
CHANGE OVER TO RAIN TO OCCUR ACROSS THE INTERIOR SO AROUND AN INCH
OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE SO CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS FOR TRAVEL
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THESE AREAS.

EXPECT TO SEE A FAIRLY STEADY RAIN THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THEN THE CLIPPER SLIDES INTO CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND THANKSGIVING
AFTERNOON AND INTO SOUTHEASTERN CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE DRAGGING
A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE LOCAL REGION. A TIGHT WESTERLY
GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP AS THE LOW INTENSIFIES TO OUR NORTH AND A HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
APPROACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
WILL TAKE A LOOK AT ONE MORE MODEL RUN BEFORE DECIDING TO ISSUE THIS
OR NOT.

ALSO...THE STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
PRESENTS THE POSSIBILITY FOR SOME SNOW SQUALLS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION WHICH COULD QUICKLY LAY DOWN A COUPLE OF INCHES THANKSGIVING
EVENING. IN ADDITION...WET SURFACE THURSDAY EVENING WILL EXPERIENCE
A QUICK FREEZE AS TEMPERATURES DIVE INTO THE 20S...MAKING BLACK ICE
ANOTHER TRAVEL HAZARD. A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT COVERS THIS AND
THE ASSOCIATED TRAVEL HAZARDS.

THURSDAY NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL WORK IN WITH ANY SNOW SHOWER
ACTIVITY ENDING. THE CONTINUED COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW FOR
CLEARING SKIES AND TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE 20S AND TEENS
ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE REGION FROM OHIO VALLEY ON FRIDAY.
DESPITE A GOOD AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE...HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN
IN 30S ACROSS THE AREA. GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING FRIDAY NIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES OUTSIDE OF URBAN
AREAS EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 20S AND TEENS.
&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
RATHER TRANQUIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AS STRONG RIDGE DOMINATES THE
EASTERN SEABOARD. WEAK TROUGH SWINGING ACROSS NORTHEASTERN PORTION
OF THE NATION ON FRIDAY NOT EXPECTED TO GENERATE ANY PRECIPITATION
IN THE LOCAL REGION. THEN QUIET UNTIL LATE TUESDAY WHEN RIDGE
FINALLY SLIDES OFFSHORE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. EXPECTED TEMPERATURE PROFILE AT THAT TIME WILL
PRESENT SOME SNOW SHOWERS NORTH AND WEST OF THE CITY TUESDAY EVENING
WITH RAIN SHOWERS ELSEWHERE. AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES THE AREA OF
SNOW WILL BEGIN TO EDGE TOWARD THE COASTAL AREAS. STAYED VERY CLOSE
TO HPC GUIDANCE THROUGH THE ENTIRE EXTENDED PERIOD.
&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. MUCH MORE
TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WILL SET IN TONIGHT...THEN A STRONG CLIPPER
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. STRONG COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL TEAM WITH A VERY TIGHT GRADIENT BY LATE IN THE DAY
THURSDAY TO PRODUCE INCREASINGLY HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS. GALES
ALREADY HOISTED FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. STILL LOOKING AT
THE POTENTIAL FOR GOING TO STORM. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE
FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...
CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN VFR TODAY...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
SOME LOCALIZED MVFR CIGS OVER EASTERN LI FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING WITH SCT FLURRIES. OTHERWISE...SCT-BKN STRATOCU DECK BETWEEN
4K-5K WITH NW GUSTS IN CONTINUING CAA BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KT THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING WITH SFC RIDGING MOVING THROUGH THE
AREA.

AFTER 06Z THURSDAY...CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN LOWER AND THICKEN AS A
CLIPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES. EXPECT AT LEAST MVFR CIGS DURING THIS
TIME...WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL
MOST LIKELY BE LIGHT RAIN AT COASTAL TERMINALS...WITH PERHAPS SOME
WET SNOWFLAKES MIXED IN AT THE ONSET. AT TERMINALS SUCH AS KHPN AND
KSWF...EXPECT MVFR OR LOWER VSBYS TO DEVELOP IN LIGHT SNOW.

LOOKING TO LATE THANKSGIVING DAY AND THANKSGIVING EVENING...WE COULD
POTENTIALLY BE DEALING WITH SOME WIND PROBLEMS AS STRONG CLIPPER
SYSTEM BARRELS THROUGH. MORE ON THAT IN SUBSEQUENT FORECAST
ISSUANCES.
&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NO PROBLEMS FORESEEN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE EVENT ON
THURSDAY IS NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION.
&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ350-353-355 UNTIL 1 PM
         THURSDAY.
      ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ330-335-338 UNTIL 7
         PM TODAY.
      ...GALE WARNING ALL WATERS 1 PM THURS UNTIL 7 AM FRI.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
511 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

CTZ007>012-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>081-241015-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-BERGEN-
EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
511 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WITH WESTERLY WINDS OF AT LEAST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 40 MPH INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONALLY TEMPERATURES WILL
PLUMMET INTO THE 20S THURSDAY EVENING WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ANZ330-335-338-350-353-355-241015-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
511 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON ON
THE OCEAN...AND THROUGH THIS EVENING ON THE HARBOR AND SOUND.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL WATERS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS WINDS AND SEAS INCREASE BEHIND A STRONG
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-241015-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
511 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR THE FIRST
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL LATE TONIGHT. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THANKSGIVING MORNING...WITH
THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WITH WESTERLY WINDS OF AT LEAST 25 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS
OVER 40 MPH INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONALLY TEMPERATURES WILL
PLUMMET INTO THE 20S BY THURSDAY EVENING WITH SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1232 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

CTZ007>012-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>081-240300-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-BERGEN-
EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1232 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...TRICKY TRAVEL CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THANKSGIVING...

AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL DIVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND THEN
SLIDE THROUGH NEW ENGLAND ON THANKSGIVING. THIS WILL BE A QUICK
MOVING BUT INTENSE SYSTEM. MOISTURE AND LIFT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM
WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE REGION MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THANKSGIVING
MORNING. TEMPERATURES INITIALLY MAY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR PRECIPITATION
TO START AS SNOW OR A RAIN AND SNOW MIX NEAR THE COAST. BUT WITH
A STRENGTHENING ONSHORE FLOW AND TEMPERATURES RISING WELL ABOVE
FREEZING THIS WILL QUICKLY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN. THE STEADY RAIN
WILL PASS NORTHEAST OF THE REGION BY MIDDAY...WITH ONLY SCATTERED
SHOWERS THEREAFTER.

AS THE CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES INTO CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND ON THANKSGIVING
AFTERNOON A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THROUGH THE REGION. WINDS
OF 15 TO 20 MPH FROM THE SOUTH IN THE MORNING...WILL TURN TO THE
WEST AND INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL CONDITIONS DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
FOR THOSE IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND FOR ALL TRAVELING OVER
BRIDGES AND OVER PASSES. ADDITIONALLY THESE STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN
TREE LIMBS AND POSSIBLY CAUSE LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES.

THESE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BE USHERING IN AN UNSEASONABLY
COLD AIRMASS INTO THE REGION. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE
40S DURING THE MORNING...THEY WILL QUICKLY TUMBLE INTO THE LOWER
30S AND UPPER 20S BY SUNSET. ANY RAIN SHOWERS ACTIVITY WILL CHANGE
TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BY THANKSGIVING EVENING...WHICH MAY CREATE
LOCALIZED BRIEFLY POOR VISIBILITIES. ADDITIONALLY ANY WET ROAD SURFACES
OR PUDDLES WILL QUICKLY FREEZE AFTER SUNSET...CREATING DANGEROUS PATCHY
BLACK ICE.

SO TRAVELERS ARE ADVISED TO BE ALERT FOR A VARIETY OF WEATHER
HAZARDS THIS THANKSGIVING AND TO EXERCISE CAUTION ON THE ROADWAYS.

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-240300-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1232 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...TRICKY TRAVEL CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THANKSGIVING...

AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL DIVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND
THEN SLIDE THROUGH NEW ENGLAND ON THANKSGIVING. THIS WILL BE A
QUICK MOVING BUT INTENSE SYSTEM. MOISTURE AND LIFT AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
REGION MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS SNOW WILL EVENTUALLY
CHANGE TO RAIN AROUND DAYBREAK AS A STRENGTHENING ONSHORE FLOW HAS
TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE FREEZING. BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER THOUGH...1
TO POSSIBLY 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ARE POSSIBLE...WITH THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. THIS
WILL MAKE FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS EARLY THANKSGIVING MORNING...
PARTICULARLY BEFORE SUNRISE WHEN SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW
FREEZING. ALL AREAS SHOULD SEE A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN BY MID-MORNING
AS THE STEADIEST PRECIPITATION PASSES NORTH OF THE REGION.

AS THE CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES INTO CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND ON THANKSGIVING
AFTERNOON A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THROUGH THE REGION. WINDS
OF 10 TO 15 MPH FROM THE SOUTH IN THE MORNING...WILL TURN TO THE
WEST AND INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL CONDITIONS DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
FOR THOSE IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND FOR ALL TRAVELING OVER BRIDGES
AND OVER PASSES. ADDITIONALLY THESE STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN TREE LIMBS
AND CAUSE LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES.

THESE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BE USHERING IN AN UNSEASONABLY
COLD AIRMASS INTO THE REGION. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 30S DURING THE MORNING...THEY WILL QUICKLY TUMBLE
INTO THE MID 20S BY SUNSET. ANY RAIN SHOWERS ACTIVITY WILL CHANGE
TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THANKSGIVING AFTERNOON...WHICH MAY CREATE
LOCALIZED POOR VISIBILITIES AND SLIPPERY ROADS. ADDITIONALLY ANY WET
ROAD SURFACES OR PUDDLES WILL QUICKLY FREEZE BY LATE AFTERNOON...CREATING
DANGEROUS PATCHY BLACK ICE.

SO TRAVELERS ARE ADVISED TO BE ALERT FOR A VARIETY OF WEATHER
HAZARDS THIS THANKSGIVING AND TO EXERCISE CAUTION ON THE ROADWAYS.