Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WUUS54 KMOB 230044
SVRMOB
ALC131-230115-
/O.NEW.KMOB.SV.W.0001.050223T0042Z-050223T0115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
642 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  WILCOX COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA

* UNTIL 715 PM CST

* AT 638 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF ANNE MARIE...OR ABOUT 18 MILES
  SOUTH OF LINDEN...AND MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ANNE MARIE AND KIMBROUGH BY 705 PM CST
  LAMISON BY 710 PM CST

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE FOR
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. 
TAKE COVER UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF 
PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL. REPEAT...SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A 
STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3214 8782 3201 8775 3197 8744 3220 8747

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 230106
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
706 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

ALC131-230115-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-050223T0115Z/
WILCOX AL-
706 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 715 PM CST FOR
CENTRAL WILCOX COUNTY...

AT 703 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
 THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MILLERS FERRY...OR ABOUT 10 MILES
NORTHWEST OF CAMDEN...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PRAIRIE BY 700 PM CST
  MILLERS FERRY AND CANTON BEND BY 710 PM CST

LAT...LON 3215 8764 3201 8762 3204 8733 3217 8730

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
309 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

CORRECTED PRELIMINARY POPS BELOW

.SHORT TERM...PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED UP OVER THE FORECAST
AREA BETWEEN RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND
APPROACHING FRONT FROM THE WEST. QUITE A BIT GOING ON JUST
UPSTREAM WITH FRONT...WHERE CONVERGENCE IS MAXIMIZED AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALIGNED IN A LINEAR FASHION FROM OFF THE SOUTHEAST
TEXAS COAST...UP THROUGH EASTERN ARKANSAS. WE HAVE BEEN SEEING
WEATHER WATCH BOXES EXPANDING EASTWARD. BUT AT TIME OF
WRITING...BOXES REMAIN WEST OF FORECAST AREA. WOULDNT BE AT ALL
SURPRISED TO SEE A WATCH BOX GO UP LATER ON THIS SHIFT OR INTO THE
EARLY PORTION OF THE DAY SHIFT AS LINE/FRONT CONTINUE EAST TOWARD
THE AREA. OF UTMOST CONCERN IS THE DEGREE OF SHEAR AVAILABLE FOR
STRONG...DEEP AND PERSISTENT ROTATING THUNDERSTORM UPDRAFTS TODAY.
LATEST INFORMATION FROM LAPS DATA SHOWS SURFACE BASED HELICITIES
WELL OVER 200 M2/S2 OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...UP TO OVER 300 M2/S2
OVER THE NORTHWEST ZONES. AS A RESULT OF THESE FINDINGS...THE
POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR BRIEF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES TODAY AS REGION OF DEEP LAYER LIFT SWINGS THROUGH THE
AREA. FRONT LOOKS TO COME THROUGH THE HEART OF THE AREA AROUND THE
NOON HOUR. OVER THE EASTERN ZONES TONIGHT...WILL HAVE HIGHER
COVERAGES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS FRONT SLOWER TO CLEAR
THERE. WITH PASSAGE OF LOW TO MID LEVEL TROF AXIS BY SUNRISE
FRIDAY...CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE INTO THE DAY. IN THE WAKE
OF THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN CLOSER TO SEASONAL FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.EXTENDED...STRONG RIDGE OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE INFLUENCES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS THIS WEEKEND CONTINUING
THROUGH MONDAY. THE HIGH SETTLES SOUTHWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...WITH WINDS TAPERING OFF. NIGHTS COLD...DAYS COOL. NOT LOOKING
AT MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. /10

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED THE COASTAL ZONES EARLIER TO ADD SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES TO MOBILE BAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL
CONTINUE...LIKELY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT FOR BAY AND INTO SATURDAY FOR
OFFSHORE WATERS. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO ARRIVE LATER THIS AFTERNOON
OR EARLY EVENING WITH A PREFRONTAL SQUALL LINE PRODUCING WIND GUSTS
IN EXCESS OF GALE FORCE AT TIMES. NORTH AND NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
EASE UP BY LATER SATURDAY BUT NIGHTTIME WINDS WILL INCREASE A BIT AS
COOLER AIR FLOWS OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS. LITTLE PAST THIS
PACKAGE...BUT LOOKS LIKE A GOOD REENFORCEMENT OF HIGH PRESSURE THE
FIRST OF THE WEEK WILL SEND NORTHEAST WINDS BACK UP TO ADVISORY
LEVELS.  /11

&&

.FIRE...NO SHORT TERM CONCERNS. DRIEST AIR COMES TO THE AREA OVER
THE EXTENDED RANGE WITH THE STRONG HIGH BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH.
WIND SPEEDS MODERATE TO STRONG UP THROUGH MONDAY. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY TEMPS / POPS...

MOBILE     69 41 61 33 / 100 70 05 05
PENSACOLA  71 48 61 37 / 100 90 05 05
DESTIN     70 52 63 42 / 100 90 05 05
EVERGREEN  70 44 56 29 / 100 80 05 05
WAYNESBORO 68 39 55 29 / 100 50 05 05
CAMDEN     71 40 56 29 / 100 70 05 05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT GMZ630-650-670.
FL...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT GMZ655-675.
MS...NONE.

&&

 10

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
530 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-131300-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-CONECUH-
COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-GEORGE-
GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
530 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE WILL MOVE FROM WEST
TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI BETWEEN 9 AM AND NOON...THEN MOVE EAST INTO SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THE SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OF
INTERSTATE 65 BY LATE AFTERNOON AND ACROSS THE WEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND ADJACENT ALABAMA COUNTIES BEFORE NIGHTFALL TONIGHT.
STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF WATERS
AND MOVING NORTH THIS MORNING WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS IN ADVANCE
OF THE SQUALL LINE.  SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST WHERE THE
LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOS.  THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS PLACED A LARGE PART
OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
TODAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS MAY BE REQUIRED
TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO ARRIVE ON FRIDAY WITH LOW TEMPERATURES
NEAR FREEZING EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND...EXCEPT THE COASTAL STRIP.
INLAND COUNTIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW FREEZING FOR LOW
TEMPERATURES.  THE FIRST OF THE WEEK WILL SEE A REENFORCEMENT OF THE
COLD AIR WITH LOWEST TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW FREEZING...EXCEPT ON
THE BEACHES BY TUESDAY MORNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
615 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

ALZ055-131230-
MONROE-
615 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 9 DOES NOT INCLUDE MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA...IT WAS INCLUDED BY MISTAKE. STRONG...POSSIBLY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY OVER PARTS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND A WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER.

IN THE MOBILE FORECAST AREA...ALABAMA COUNTIES IN THE WATCH ARE...
CLARKE...WASHINGTON...WILCOX AND CHOCTAW.

...IN MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE.

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 9 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CST.