Wind Advisory 1, NWS Louisville, KY

000 
WWUS73 KLMK 301357 AAA
NPWLMK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
957 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005

...WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.THE REMNANTS OF FORMER HURRICANE KATRINA WILL BRING WINDY
CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
TODAY...PARTICULARLY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS MAY OCCASIONALLY REACH 30 MPH...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS.

KYZ055>057-064>067-302000-
/X.EXA.KLMK.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-050830T2000Z/
BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-
LINCOLN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...RICHMOND...
GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD
857 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 /957 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT /3 PM CDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON.

AS THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA MOVE INTO KENTUCKY TODAY...BRIEF WIND
GUSTS MAY APPROACH 35 OR 40 MPH OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN KENTUCKY. IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF COUNTIES SUCH AS
MADISON...LINCOLN...AND CASEY COUNTIES WIND GUSTS WOULD BE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER. PEOPLE DRIVING ALONG I-75 WOULD EXPERIENCE STRONG
WIND GUSTS.

THESE KIND OF WINDS CAN RESULT IN WEAKER TREES TOPPLING
ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS THAT HAVE SEEN HEAVY RAIN...AND MAKE
TRAVEL SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS SEMIS
AND RVS.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA...WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE
INTERNET...AND NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION...FORECASTS...AND WARNINGS ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION.


$$

KYZ070>078-081-082-302000-
/X.CON.KLMK.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-050830T2000Z/
LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-
METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...
FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...
COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
857 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

AS THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA MOVE INTO KENTUCKY TODAY...BRIEF WIND
GUSTS MAY APPROACH 35 OR 40 MPH OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN KENTUCKY.
IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CLINTON COUNTY WIND GUSTS WOULD BE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER. PEOPLE DRIVING ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PARKWAY MAY
EXPERIENCE STRONG WIND GUSTS.

THESE KIND OF WINDS CAN RESULT IN WEAKER TREES TOPPLING
ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS THAT HAVE SEEN HEAVY RAIN...AND MAKE
TRAVEL SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS SEMIS
AND RVS.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA...WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE
INTERNET...AND NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION...FORECASTS...AND WARNINGS ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

$$
CS

000 
WWUS73 KLMK 301838 AAA
NPWLMK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
238 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005

.THE REMNANTS OF FORMER HURRICANE KATRINA WILL CROSS CENTRAL
KENTUCKY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY STAY BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA...HOWEVER SOME BRIEF GUSTS
TO 30 OR 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

KYZ055>057-064>067-070>078-081-082-301945-
/X.CAN.KLMK.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-050830T2000Z/
BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-
LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-
MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-
CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...RICHMOND...
GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
138 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 /238 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WHILE THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA CROSS THE REGION...WIND GUSTS TO
NEAR 30 OR 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL
KENTUCKY THROUGH EARLY EVENING...REMAINING BELOW WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA. LOCATIONS ON HIGHER TERRAIN COULD SEE GUSTS SLIGHTLY
HIGHER NEAR 40 MPH.

$$
CS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
317 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005

.SHORT-TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

AT 06Z THE SURFACE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS OVER TUPELO MISSISSIPPI.
GFS INITIALIZED WELL WITH THE STORM AT 00Z AND VERIFIED WELL AT 06Z.
GFS IS ALSO MODEL OF CHOICE OF NHC. SO...WILL FAVOR ITS SOLUTION.
THE CENTER OF KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE BOWLING GREEN AREA
AROUND NOON AND THEN NEAR CINCINNATI BY THIS EVENING. AS THE SYSTEM
PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION IT WILL BRING PLENTY OF RAIN...OCCASIONALLY
HEAVY. BECAUSE OF THIS...THE FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR
TODAY. ALTHOUGH PWATS ARE AROUND 2.5 INCHES TODAY...THE STORM IS
MOVING FAIRLY QUICKLY SO AMOUNTS MAY BE A BIT LESS THAN ORIGINALLY
THOUGHT...PERHAPS MORE IN THE 1.5 TO 3 INCH RANGE. ALTHOUGH SUNSHINE
WILL BE ALMOST NON-EXISTENT TODAY SOME LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BE ABLE TO GET GOING LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. DUE TO
IMPRESSIVE WIND SHEAR...AS IS THE CASE WITH STRONG TROPICAL SYSTEMS
SUCH AS THIS ONE...A SEVERE THREAT IS THERE INCLUDING THE
POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO. BUFKIT HELICITY VALUES
INCREASE RAPIDLY THIS MORNING AND PEAK AROUND MID-DAY. THOUGH THERE
IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGHOUT THE REGION...THE BEST
CHANCE FOR A BRIEF SPIN-UP APPEARS TO BE EAST AND NORTH OF A LINE
FROM NEW CASTLE TO BOWLING GREEN TO STANFORD...INCLUDING LEXINGTON
AND THE BLUE GRASS.

IT WILL BE A BREEZY DAY BUT BY AND LARGE THE WINDS SHOULDNT GET OUT
OF HAND. BEST CHANCE FOR ANY STRONG SYNOPTIC WINDS WILL BE NEAR THE
TENNESSEE BORDER...WHERE SUSTAINED SPEEDS MAY BRIEFLY REACH 30
MPH...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING.

AS KATRINA MOVES QUICKLY OFF TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT RAIN AND
BREEZES WILL SUBSIDE AND THE OVERCAST WILL BREAK UP.

NOT MUCH CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH RAIN AND CLOUDS...PERHAPS
RISES OF 4 TO 6 DEGREES FROM MORNING TEMPERATURES.

13

.LONG-TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

REMNANTS OF KATRINA SHOULD MOSTLY BE OUT OF THE FA BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS IT QUICKLY GETS KICKED NE BY UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES DOWN TO TEXAS. SHOULD BE A SHARP GRADIENT FROM
DRY TO WET CONDITIONS BEHIND THE SYSTEM. LOTS OF SUBSIDENCE IS
PROGGED JUST UPSTREAM OF THE DYING SYSTEM...SO WILL END ALL MENTION
OF RAIN IN CWA BY 15Z WED. WITH ANY CLEARING BEHIND
KATRINA...TEMPERATURES SHOULD REBOUND NICELY INTO THE LOW 80S.

RESIDUAL LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS PROGGED BY BOTH THE NAM AND GFS
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...ALONG WITH A WEAK WARM FRONT PUSHING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDWEST. THIS IS IN CONJUNCTION WITH A WEAK
SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NW FLOW ALONG WITH A SMALL AREA OF
WEAK DIVERGENCE IN RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION OF 250MB JET. CURRENT
THINKING IS THAT ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO DRY TO GENERATE ISLD/SCT
SHOWERS/STORMS...BUT IT BEARS WATCHING. KEPT DRY FORECAST GOING FOR
NOW.

AFTER THAT...SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE REGION...WITH
MAINLY NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE BOARD. ENSEMBLE MOS SHOWS
MUCH DRIER DEWS FROM FRI AFT THROUGH EXTENDED FORECAST. 1000-850MB
THICKNESSES RUNNING AROUND THE 1380-1390M RANGE...WHICH SHOULD YIELD
ROUGHLY LOW 80S FOR THE REGION FOR HIGHS. LOWS IN THE EXTENDED WILL BE
NEAR 60...WITH UPPER 50S ACROSS BLUEGRASS REGION.

AL

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT/11 PM CDT FOR ALL COUNTIES.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT/3 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL COUNTIES.
IN...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST FOR ALL SOUTH CENTRAL COUNTIES.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
945 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2005

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-300830-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
945 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE KATRINA WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY
TUESDAY.

SHOWERS...OVER TENNESSEE AND SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...WILL
OVERSPREAD THE OUTLOOK AREA OVERNIGHT AND BECOME HEAVIER TOWARD
SUNRISE. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING RAINS WILL BE
IN THE BOWLING GREEN AREA WHERE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
COULD OCCUR WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST.

WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TOWARD MORNING...REACHING 20 MPH
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY BY MORNING WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXIST
TUESDAY.

ON TUESDAY...KATRINA WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL KENTUCKY WITH THE
TRACK NEAR LOUISVILLE. HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL OVER MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK
AREA WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

ALTHOUGH KATRINA WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTH...IT MAY STILL BE A
MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AS IT ENTERS SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. AN
INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY FOR A PART OF
SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY THAT INCLUDES BOWLING GREEN AND GLASGOW FOR
WINDS GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA
WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY REACH 30 TO 35 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS...SOME PRODUCING BRIEF ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE MOST
LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON TUESDAY. SOME STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS. THE PRIME AREA FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 INCLUDING GLASGOW AND CAMPBELLSVILLE IN SOUTH
CENTRAL KENTUCKY AS WELL AS FRANKFORT AND LEXINGTON IN THE BLUEGRASS
REGION.

RAIN FROM KATRINA WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT AND END FROM THE
SOUTHWEST DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AS THE HURRICANE REMNANTS MOVE
NORTHEAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO CALL IN RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY OBSERVED
FLOODING OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE. SPOTTER ACTIVATION ALSO MAY BE REQUESTED
TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS.

KIRKPATRICK