Wind Advisory 4, NWS Elko, NV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
237 PM PST SAT DEC 31 2005

.SYNOPSIS...A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODS OF
RAIN AND SNOW TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH MONDAY...THEN
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ON TUESDAY BRINGING DRY WEATHER TO THE AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...HAVE ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY THROUGH 11 PM FOR ALL
ZONES THIS EVENING. H7 FLOW SHOWS WINDS 45 TO 55 MPH AND EXPECT THIS
TO REFLECT DOWN TO SURFACE. LATEST WATER VAPOR AND IR SHOW MAIN
MOISTURE BAND PUSHING INTO UTAH ATTM FOR DECREASING PCPN OVERNIGHT.
LIS NEAR ZERO THIS EVENING SO HAVE INCLUDED ISOLATED EVENING TSTMS.
LOW LIS SHOULD ALSO HELP SHOWERS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. SNOW LEVELS TO LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS H5 TROF AND COLD
FRONT PUSH THROUGH CWA OVERNIGHT. THIS SHOULD HELP SLOW THE RISES IN
THE RIVERS OVER NORTHERN NEVADA. HOWEVER...WILL KEEP MENTION OF FLOOD
WATCH FOR HUMBOLDT AND NRN ELKO COUNTIES THROUGH SUNDAY AS RIVER
READING EXPECTED HIGHEST THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES
RETURN TO THE LOWER 40S ON SUNDAY WITH RIDGE BUILDING INTO CWA. NEXT
STRONGER AND COLDER SYSTEM MOVES INTO NEVADA MONDAY...BUT EXPECT PCPN
MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW. FOR MONDAY EVENING...SURFACE LOW NEAR TPH
THEN SLIDES TO WHITE PINE COUNTY MONDAY NIGHT SO EXPECT SIGNIFICANT
SNOW FALLS ATTM FOR SOUTHERN CWA. RIDGE BUILDS TUESDAY FOR DRY
CONDITIONS. HARMER

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. MODELS MAINTAINING GOOD
AGREEMENT IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST. SHORTWAVE MOVES OUT TUESDAY AND
IS REPLACED BY A WEAK RIDGE. THE RIDGE PERSISTS THROUGH THURSDAY
WITH SHORTWAVES PASSING BY TO THE NORTH OF THE CWA BRINGING SOME
CLOUD COVER TO NRN ZONES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER NRN
MTNS. NEXT PACIFIC STORM PROGGED TO MOVE IN FROM WEST THURSDAY NIGHT
AND MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN ON FRIDAY. MORRISON
&&

.AVIATION... WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER ALL
COUNTIES THIS EVENING AS MOIST PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
MOVE OVER THE SIERRAS...BRINGING LOW CEILINGS AND AREAS OF HEAVY TO
MODERATE RAIN. ALSO SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH FOR HUMBOLDT AND NRN
ELKO COUNTIES TODAY THROUGH 7 PM THIS EVENING.
.WIND ADVISORY FOR ALL ZONES THROUGH 11 PM THIS EVENING.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
525 AM PST SAT DEC 31 2005

NVZ013-030>037-010100-
EXTREME EASTERN ELKO COUNTY-HUMBOLDT COUNTY-NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY-
NORTHERN LANDER AND NORTHERN EUREKA COUNTIES-NORTHERN NYE COUNTY-
RUBY MOUNTAINS/EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE-
SOUTHERN LANDER AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTIES-
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY-
525 AM PST SAT DEC 31 2005

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY ISSUED UNTIL 6 PM FOR HUMBOLDT AND
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTIES. MAINLY FOR THE STREAMS IN THE JARBIDGE AND
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. SEE WGUS65 KLKN FOR DETAILS. OTHERWISE
RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TODAY
AND SLOWLY SPREAD SOUTH INTO CENTRAL NEVADA. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER
TO SNOW THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVE MOVES THROUGH. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN NORTHERN
VALLEY LOCATIONS WITH HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WEATHER SUNDAY...THEN MORE RAIN AND POSSIBLY
A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT ON MONDAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS
POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG AND
MOIST WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER...THE
EXACT TIMING...LOCATION...AND SNOW AMOUNTS ARE STILL UNCERTAIN AT
THIS TIME. HOLIDAY TRAVELERS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL WINTER STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING
TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

RCS