Flash Flood Warning 110, NWS JSJ

000 
WGCA72 TJSJ 142144
FFSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
541 PM AST WED SEP 14 2005

PRC075-142155-
JUANA DIAZ-
541 PM AST WED SEP 14 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY
IN PUERTO RICO
     JUANA DIAZ

A USGS RIVER GAUGE LOCATED ALONG THE RIO JACAGUAS AT JUANA DIAZ HAS 
INDICATED THAT THE RIO JACAGUAS HAS GONE WELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND 
CONTINUES TO DROP. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED. HOWEVER...RIVERS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE WARNING AREA ARE 
STILL ABOVE THEIR NORMAL LEVELS AND RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO USE 
CAUTION. 

LAT...LON 1803 6650 1801 6647 1805 6647 1806 6651

$$

BD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
700 AM AST WED SEP 14 2005

.DISCUSSION...
NELY BL FLOW CONTINUES THIS MORNING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA...OUT
AHEAD OF LOW TO MID LEVEL CYCLONIC CURL NEAR 22N 62W...WITH TROF
EXTENDING SWD INTO THE LEEWARDS. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WNW ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS...PUSHING AN
ELONGATED BAND OF SIGNIFICANT LLVL MOISTURE ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT.
BEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY HAS REMAINED ACROSS THE NE CARIB
WATERS TO OUR S AND SE OVERNIGHT...AND THIS SHOULD BEGIN TO SLIDE W
TODAY AND AFFECT LOCAL CARIB WATERS AND STX VICINITY. SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE WILL ADVECT INTO AND ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY...AND
WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE...DIURNAL FORCING IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
SELY FLOW BEHIND THE TROUGH AXIS WILL PREVAIL THURSDAY...BUT
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE SHOULD LINGER FOR ANOTHER RELATIVELY ACTIVE
WEATHER DAY. DRIER MORE STABLE CONDITIONS WITH SHALLOW LLVL MOISTURE
ARE THEN EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MOISTURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF A LLVL
TROF NOW ALONG 50W WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY...BUT IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO ADVECT MORE NW AND MUCH OF
THIS MOISTURE MAY MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC AND PASS LARGELY
NORTH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS...AND SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA MORE
SIGNIFICANTLY ON SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  89  78  89  78 /  40  50  50  20
STT  88  79  88  79 /  50  50  50  20

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&

70

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
630 AM AST WED SEP 14 2005

PRZ001>013-AMZ710>750-151030-
630 AM AST WED SEP 14 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MID LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO THIS
MORNING...WILL MOVE SLOWLY OVER THE LOCAL AREA TODAY TO ENHANCE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS FEATURE IN
COMBINATION WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND A NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW
PLUS DIURNAL HEATING COULD INTERACT TO PRODUCE AN ACTIVE DAY OVER
PARTS OF THE ISLAND.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE MORE PREVALENT OVER THE WEST AND
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO PRODUCE URBAN AND STREAM
FLOODING IN ISOLATED AREAS.

LONG PERIOD NORTH AND NORTHWEST SWELLS FROM RECENT HURRICANES WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGIONAL WATERS...CREATING MODERATE
SIZED BREAKING WAVES ALONG THE LOCAL REEF LINES AND ATLANTIC
BEACHES. THESE SURGING WAVES WILL GENERATE RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
SHORE LINE AND WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...AND LOCAL BEACH GOERS ARE
URGED TO BE ALERT FOR THESE STRONG CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER APPEARS IMMINENT AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY.

VIZ001-002-AMZ710>730-151030-
630 AM AST WED SEP 14 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MID LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS
MORNING...WILL MOVE SLOWLY OVER THE LOCAL AREA TODAY TO ENHANCE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS FEATURE IN
COMBINATION WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND A NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW
PLUS DIURNAL HEATING COULD INTERACT TO PRODUCE AN ACTIVE DAY OVER
PARTS OF THE ISLANDS.

WHAT TO EXPECT FOR TODAY...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN MOIST AND
UNSTABLE...WHICH WILL ONCE AGAIN HELP FOR MORE ACTIVE WEATHER ACROSS
PARTS OF THE LOCAL AREA. PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
CAN BE EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM TIME TO TIME.

LONG PERIOD NORTH AND NORTHWEST SWELLS FROM RECENT HURRICANES WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGIONAL WATERS...CREATING MODERATE
SIZED BREAKING WAVES ALONG THE LOCAL REEF LINES AND ATLANTIC
BEACHES. THESE SURGING WAVES WILL GENERATE RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
SHORE LINE AND WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...AND LOCAL BEACH GOERS ARE
URGED TO BE ALERT FOR THESE STRONG CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER APPEARS IMMINENT AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB
SITE FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AT (ALL LOWERCASE
LETTERS): HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU.

70

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
320 PM AST WED SEP 14 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0201 PM     WATER SPOUT      MAYAGUEZ                18.20N 67.14W
09/14/2005                   MAYAGUEZ           PR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE WATERSPOUT REPORTED NEAR THE GUANAJIBO TUNA FISH
            FACTORY AREA IN MAYAGUEZ. SEVERAL REPORTS RECEIVED...SOME
            INDICATED POSSIBLE TORNADO BUT THEY COULD NOT SEE THE
            FUNNEL TOUCHING GROUND.

&&

RM