Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Indianapolis, IN

000 
WWUS53 KIND 222024
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
323 PM EST FRI APR 22 2005

INC071-093-222045-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-050422T2045Z/
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-
323 PM EST FRI APR 22 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 345 PM EST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND WESTERN JACKSON COUNTIES...

AT 319 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MEDORA...OR ABOUT 10
MILES SOUTHEAST OF BEDFORD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MEDORA AROUND 340 PM EST

AT 315 PM EST...MITCHELL POLICE REPORT DIME SIZE HAIL IN MITCHELL.

LAT...LON 3885 8644 3871 8643 3880 8629 3878 8602
      3898 8617

$$

KOCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
230 AM EST FRI APR 22 2005

.DISCUSSION...DEEPING LOW PRESSURE OVR ERN NE WITH EXTENDING WRM FNT
ACROSS SRN INDIANA. TSRAS OVR IL...MO...IA...KY..AND TN IN
ASSOCIATION WITH SYSTEM. A FEW TSRAS OVR NCTRL INDIANA AS WELL.

MODELS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT OVR CWA. WL USE BLEND.

SVR WX TODAY THEN SNOW SAT WL BE FORECAST PROBLEMS THIS TIME AROUND.

SFC LOW AND ASSOCIATED FNTS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS CTRL INDIANA
LATER TODAY. ONGOING CONVECTION SOUTH AND WEST OF INDIANA. MODELS
FORECAST LIS TO BE WELL BLO 0C BY 18Z TODAY. IN ADDITION TO LOW
LIS...CAPES ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG. WET-BULB ZERO
HEIGHTS ARE GENERALLY ON THE LOWER SIDE (7000-8000 FT) THUS LARGE
HAIL WL BE A POSSIBILITY WITH TSRA. DAMAGING WINDS WL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE PRESENT CONSIDERING
POSITION OF SFC LOW AND ASSOCIATED WRM FNT. WL HAVE TO MONITOR VERY
CLOSELY. A COUPLE OF FACTORS WL BE IN PLAY REGARDING EXTENT OF SVR
WX EVENT TODAY. (1)CURRENT CONVECTION ACROSS WEST WL MV INTO FA
TOWARD EARLY MORNING WITH ITS LOW CLOUDS. IF CLEARING OCCURS IN
ADVANCE OF SYSTEM...INSTABILITY WL INCREASE THRU MID MORNING.
OTHERWISE...LOW CLDS COULD INHIBIT WIDESPREAD SVR WX. (2) WITH SFC
LOW SO CLOSE TO FA...COULD GET DRY SLOT. THE POSITION OF LOW/WRM FNT
WL BE EXTREMELY IMPORTANT.

FNT WL MV THRU FA BY 00Z SAT. EXPECT TO SEE MUCH COLDER TEMPS AS H85
TEMPS FALL FROM NR 10C AT 00Z SAT TO AROUND -3C BY 12Z SAT. H85
TEMPS CONT TO DROP SAT. EXPECT TO SEE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS BEHIND
FNT BOTH TONIGHT AND SAT. BY SAT NGT...TEMPS FORECAST TO FALL INTO
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. CAN NOT RULE OUT SOME -SHSN DURING THIS
TIMEFRAME.

WL CONT TO SEE CHC FOR -SHRA THRU NEXT SVRL DAYS. UPPER LOW CONTS TO
SPIN OVR GRT LKES. FEEL BEST TO LEAVE POPS IN FORECAST SINCE S/WVS
CONT TO ROTATE ACROSS FA. DO SEE AN INCREASE IN TEMPS ALOFT THROUGH
THIS TIME. THIS WL KEEP PRECIP IN LIQUID FORM INSTEAD OF FROZEN.

MOS GUIDANCE IN GOOD SHAPE TODAY. DEPENDING ON AMOUNT OF
SUNSHINE...TEMPS COULD WARM A FEW DEGREES MORE THAN FORECAST. FOR
NOW...WL USE BLEND OF MOS TEMPS. OVRNGT LOWS AND SAT HIGHS APPEAR IN
GOOD AGREEMENT. WITH H85 TEMPS FALLING BELOW 0C...GUIDANCE LOOKS IN
GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

JB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
302 PM EST FRI APR 22 2005

INZ035>037-039-040-043>048-051>057-060>065-067>072-231100-
BARTHOLOMEW-BOONE-BROWN-CLAY-DAVIESS-DECATUR-FOUNTAIN-GREENE-
HAMILTON-HANCOCK-HENDRICKS-JACKSON-JENNINGS-JOHNSON-KNOX-LAWRENCE-
MADISON-MARION-MARTIN-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-OWEN-PARKE-PUTNAM-
RUSH-SHELBY-SULLIVAN-VERMILLION-VIGO-
302 PM EST FRI APR 22 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 9PM TONIGHT...
...FREEZE WATCH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH INDIANA LATER TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING. THE
INTENSITY WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND
WINDS WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED. AN
ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF RAIN ON SATURDAY. THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO
SNOW. ONE INCH OR LESS ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. BY SATURDAY NIGHT
THEY WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S.

RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THEN
AGAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SEVERE WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED FRIDAY EVENING.

INZ021-028>031-038-041-042-049-231100-
CARROLL-CLINTON-DELAWARE-HENRY-HOWARD-RANDOLPH-TIPPECANOE-TIPTON-
WARREN-
302 PM EST FRI APR 22 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

...FREEZE WATCH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR. A FEW OF THESE MAY BE STRONG BUT
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE WEATHER LIMITS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF RAIN ON SATURDAY. THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH SNOW
IN THE NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT.
ONE TO TWO INCH ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. SATURDAY NIGHT
THEY WILL FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF RAIN SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THEN
AGAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SEVERE WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL MOST LIKELY NOT BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.
THEY SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER INFORMATION SOURCES FOR THE INFORMATION
ON THIS SYSTEM.