Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2005
Wind Advisory 4, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Nov 16, 2005, 3:06 AM EST for 12 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 16, 2005, 3:06 AM EST (08:06 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 16, 2005, 10:00 AM EST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 269 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 24 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -12 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 781 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 153 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 178 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS72 KGSP 160806 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 306 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-161500- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0004.051116T0806Z-051116T1500Z/ AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE 306 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WITH ISOLATED GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...WILL ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY. THE GUSTY WINDS SHOULD DIE DOWN IN THE VALLEYS SHORTLY AFTER THE HEAVY RAIN ENDS...ALTHOUGH STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT AND CAUSE ISOLATED DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES. SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE. $$ LANE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 15, 10:13 PM EST, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 10:13 PM EST, 4 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1013 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005 .SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)... UPSLOPE/WWA DRIVEN SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS WRN PORTIONS OF THE CWFA ATTM. EXPECT THESE SHOWERS TO CONTINUE AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WILL NOT BE MUCH PRECIP EAST AND SOUTH OF THE COUNTIES NEAR THE ESCARPMENT UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. GOING FCST FOR AFTER MIDNIGHT STILL LOOKS GOOD...WITH CAT POP WEST LIKELY IN THE MIDDLE AND CHC EAST AND SOUTH. STILL WATCHING THE ONGOING SVR WX TO OUR WEST CLOSER TO THE FRONT. LOW INSTABILITY/HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. QUESTION IS HOW FAR INTO THE CWFA DOES THE SVR WX MAKE IT. MDLS INDICATE MTNS WILL DISRUPT SOME OF THE SHEAR AS THE SQUALL LINE MOVES IN. THEY ALSO SHOW BEST FORCING AND SHEAR MOVING OFF TO THE NORTH. THINK THERE IS A DECENT CHANCE FOR SOME SVR IN MTNS AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH LESS CHC EAST. HOWEVER SVR CANNOT BE RULED OUT ANYWHERE AS LINE STILL QUITE ACTIVE TO THE SOUTH. ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO LOWS...SKY AND WIND OVERNIGHT. && .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 235 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005) SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)... STRENGTHENING UPGLIDE FLOW COMBINED WITH SOME TERRAIN LIFT SHOULD RESULT IN INCREASING CVRG OF WAA SHOWERS THIS EVENING...PRIMARILY NEAR THE MTNS AS LOWER LVL JET MAX EDGES IN FROM THE WEST AND INTERACTS WITH TOPOGRAPHY. TIMING OF SQUALL LINE NEARING NC MTNS...PERHAPS STILL WITH DISCRETE ELEMENTS...AHEAD OF SHARP COLD FRONT...IS STILL ROUGHLY ON TRACK FOR SOME POINT AFTER MIDNIGHT OR WEDNESDAY MORNING...DESPITE MODEL TIMING DIFFERENCES...SOME DEGREE OF DEEP FORCING LOOKS EVIDENT EVEN THIS FAR EAST. PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING HOURS WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. WHETHER THIS THREAT EVOLVES WITH A BONIFIED SQUALL LINE...A GRADIENT/CONVECTIVE ELEMENT MIX FOR THE HIGH TERRAIN...OR EVEN DEVELOPMENT WITHIN WAA/STRONG SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WELL AHEAD OF APPROACHING CONVECTIVE LINE REMAINS TO BE SEEN. ATMOSPHERE DOES LOOK LIKE IT WILL REMAIN WEAKLY UNSTABLE ALL NIGHT...SO PLAN ON REISSUING SPS TO ADDRESS THREAT. UPPER JET WILL TURN TO THE NE WED...WHILE KEEPING SE US IN MOIST SWLY FLOW UNTIL AFTER FROPA WED AFTN. EXPECT CATEGORICAL POPS OVER MTNS AND N NC FOOTHILLS/PIEDMONT...INTO UPSTATE SC AND FAR NE GA... WED MORNING...THEN DECREASING POPS FROM THE W LATE WED AS UPPER DYNAMICS...SFC FRONT AND MAIN AREA OF MOISTURE MOVE E OF AREA. EXPECT INCREASING SW WINDS AS SYSTEM APPROACHES...SWITCHING TO GUSTY NW WINDS DIRECTLY BEHIND. MOISTURE WILL LINGER IN USLOPE FLOW OVER N MTNS WED EVE FOR SLIGHT CHANCE SNOW SHOWERS IN COLD ADVECTION. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND SYSTEM AND THICKNESS VALUES DROP WED NIGHT...BRINGING MUCH COOLER TEMPS TO THE REGION. LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)... UPPER FLOW REMAINS FAIRLY LOW AMPLITUDE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A COUPLE SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH BUT WITH LITTLE AVAILABLE MOISTURE HAVE NO PRECIP MENTIONED IN GRIDS UNTIL SUN OVER MTN COUNTIES ALONG TN BORDER WHEN A SHORTWAVE DROPS IN FROM THE NW. NEXT SYSTEM INDICATED ON TUE...WHEN ANOTHER SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY APROACH FROM THE NW. HAVE INTRODUCED CHANCE POPS MTNS TUE SLIGHT CHANCE ELSEWHERE...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE TUE NIGHT. ALSO SLIGHT CHANCE SNOW AT ELEVS ABOVE 3K FT TUE NIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. AVIATION... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DODGE THE TAF SITES THROUGH 00 UTC WITH CIGS OCCASIONALLY DIPPING INTO MVFR RANGE. MOISTENING AND INCREASING WAA PATTERN WILL BE FEATURED AS THE EVENING WEARS ON AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PROBABLY WILL SEE MVFR CIGS BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD WITH TIME WITH SHOWERS EVENTUALLY BECOMING PREDOMINATE AT ALL LOCATIONS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY. MEAN DRYING AND WIND SHIFT LOOKS TO ARRIVE CLOSE TO END OF THE 18 UTC TAF PACKAGE TIMEFRAME. && .GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...NONE. NC...NONE. SC...NONE. && SHORT TERM...RWH
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 5:43 AM EST, 21 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 543 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2005 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082- SCZ001>014-019-161045- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD- BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON- MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD- CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER- GREENWOOD- 543 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING INTO WESTERN TENNESSEE LATE TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT...AND BECOME QUITE GUSTY AT TIMES. THE WINDS MAY GUST TO 40 MPH AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...BEFORE ENDING IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW FROM MADISON TO AVERY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. HG
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Nov 15, 10:36 PM EST, 4 hours 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1036 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082- SCZ001>014-019-161000- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD- BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON- MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD- CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER- GREENWOOD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA... HARTWELL...ELBERTON...NEWLAND...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE... SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...MARION... MORGANTON...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON... GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE... SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE... LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD 1036 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005 ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK... A DEEP STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT... AND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE AND THE DEEP SOUTH. WIDESPREAD DAMAGING SEVERE WEATHER WILL SPREAD EAST AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THAT SEVERE WEATHER COULD STILL BE ONGOING LATE TONIGHT AS LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS REACH THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE IN THE MOUNTAINS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND COULD GUST TO 40 MPH OR HIGHER EVEN WITH NO THUNDERSTORMS INVOLVED. AS THE STORMS MOVE IN...WIND GUSTS COULD BECOME DAMAGING IN SOME AREAS...AND THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TENNESSEE STATE LINE. THE STORMS COULD WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...BUT ONCE IN A WHILE...THEY MAINTAIN STRENGTH...SO ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER COULD OCCUR ANYWHERE FROM THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS...TO ASHEVILLE...TO NEWLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTH AND EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...IT IS NOT LIKELY THAT SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT...BUT AN ISOLATED WEAK TORNADO COULD SPIN UP IF AN ORGANIZED LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPS AND MOVES ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. WEDNESDAY MORNING...THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF SOME LINGERING SEVERE WEATHER IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES...MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM LENOIR NORTH CAROLINA TO SPARTANBURG AND LAURENS IN SOUTH CAROLINA. EVEN THOUGH THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT HIGH...YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY PLANS...AND ENSURE YOU HAVE A METHOD OF RECEIVING WATCHES AND WARNINGS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS...OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA SOURCE FOR LATEST INFORMATION. RWH
Special weather statement, Nov 16, 1:47 AM EST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 147 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 NCZ051-058-160800- SWAIN-GRAHAM- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHEROKEE 147 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 ...LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING APPROACHING THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS... A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE WILL MOVE INTO FAR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AROUND 2 AM. LOCATIONS FROM THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE SMOKIES TO TAPOCO AND KILMER NATIONAL FOREST WILL BE AFFECTED FIRST...WITH AREAS FROM FONTANA LAKE TO ROBBINSVILLE BEING AFFECTED BETWEEN 115 AND 130 AM. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. LANE
Local storm report, Nov 16, 2:37 AM EST, 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
237 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 AM TSTM WND DMG ROBBINSVILLE 35.32N 83.81W
11/16/2005 GRAHAM NC COUNTY OFFICIAL
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALL OVER GRAHAM CO.
&&
GSCHOORSpecial weather statement, Nov 16, 2:48 AM EST, 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 248 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-160900- SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...SYLVA... FRANKLIN 248 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 ...LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE SMOKY MOUNTAINS AND SURROUNDING AREAS... AT 238 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NEAR ROBBINSVILLE...TO FONTANA LAKE...TO GATLINBURG AND PIGEON FORGE. THROUGH 330 AM...THIS LINE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE SMOKIES AND SURROUNDING AREAS...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BRYSON CITY...FRANKLIN...AND SYLVA. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY HAVE ALREADY CAUSED SEVERAL TREES TO FALL IN GRAHAM COUNTY. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH A FEW DAMAGING GUSTS...WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AS THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE EAST. LANE
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2:23 PM EST | Lake Wind Advisory | GSP | Avery, Buncombe, Graham, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson and 6 more | 24 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2005Every wind advisory in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.