Flash Flood Warning 68, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 052355
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
654 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2005

TXC149-060004-
FAYETTE TX-
654 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR FAYETTE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE WEAKEN ACROSS FAYETTE COUNTY AND THE THREAT OF 
FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED AT THIS TIME. 

LAT...LON 2965 9710 2968 9690 2995 9660 3015 9669
      3004 9701 2979 9728

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
317 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2005

.DISCUSSION...
SLOW MOVING CONVECTION CONTINUING NEAR THE SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS
THE WESTERN/SOUTHERN CWA FROM THIS MORNING. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE SOUTH AND WESTERN COUNTIES ALONG
THIS NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY. COULD ALSO SEE ISOLD REDEVELOPMENT
BACK TO THE NORTH AS CLOUDS DISSIPATE AND AMS RECOVERS FROM THIS
MORNINGS STORMS. AGAIN THE SLOW MOVING NATURE OF THESE STORMS DUE
TO WEAK STEERING WINDS WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
WILL LEAVE MENTION OF TRW+ IN FOR THE EVENING HOURS. STILL DO NOT
FEEL FLASH FLOOD WATCH NEEDED AS COVERAGE WILL BE MORE LOCALIZED
AND DURATION 4 HOURS OR LESS...AND AREAS THAT HAVE RECENTLY RECEIVED
HEAVY RAINS ARE SPOTTY ACROSS THE CWA.

OTHERWISE NOT MUCH CHANGE THRU THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH
S TX REMAINDER IN WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW...AND RAIN CHCS TO
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL GENERALLY BE OVER THE
4-CORNERS REGION WITH SUFFICIENT MOISTURE IN PLACE TO WARRANT SLGT
CHC OR LOW CHC POPS THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGHER POPS LIKELY
DAY TO DAY DEPENDING ON ANY BOUNDARIES TO HELP FOCUS
CONVECTION...AND FOR NOW HAVE LOWERED BY 10-20% THE HIGH 50% PLUS
POPS GENERATED BY THE GFS MOS BEYOND THE 2ND PERIOD...AS MUCH WILL
DEPEND ON SUBTLE FEATURES NOT LIKELY HANDLED WELL BY MODELS
BEYOND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY             73 95 75 92 / 30 40 30 50
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 72 95 72 89 / 30 40 30 50
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          75 94 76 96 / 50 30 30 30
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT      75 93 75 91 / 40 40 30 40

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

01/25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
520 AM CDT FRI AUG 5 2005

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-061000-
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-
DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-
KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-
UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-
520 AM CDT FRI AUG 5 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.
THE STORMS WILL GENERALLY BE SLOW MOVING. THIS WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
URBAN AREAS. WIND GUSTS UP TO AROUND 40 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR
STORMS. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS CAN
BE EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.