Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 150244
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
944 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005

...WINTERY PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT WESTERN AND NORTH 
CENTRAL NEW YORK THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL MOVE SLOWLY
TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...A SECOND LOW
DEVELOPING OVER LOUISIANA WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES EAST ACROSS
THE GULF COAST STATES TO THE CAROLINAS THURSDAY EVENING. ON FRIDAY
THE GREAT LAKES LOW WILL WEAKEN IN PLACE AS THE SECOND STORM MOVES
UP THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. 

THE MOISTURE THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE TWO WEATHER SYSTEMS
WILL BRING A VARIETY OF WINTER PRECIPITATION. SNOW WILL BEGIN IN
THE AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK...THEN SPREAD INTO THE
GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE
REACHING THE NORTH COUNTRY THURSDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL MIX
WITH SLEET AND PERHAPS FREEZING RAIN. THE PRECIPITATION WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. IT SHOULD BE A MIXED BAG OF SNOW...SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN FOR MOST OF THE AREA. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD
REMAIN MOSTLY AS SNOW ACROSS JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

BY FRIDAY EVENING THE COASTAL LOW WILL BE OFF THE MAINE COAST.
SNOW OVER ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW YORK WILL TAPER OFF FROM
WEST TO EAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FORM EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO
AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

THIS UPCOMING BOUT OF WINTER WEATHER WILL HAMPER TRAVEL AND OTHER
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ROADS WILL BE
SLIPPERY AND CAUTION IS ADVISED. FORTUNATELY...THE FREEZING RAIN
SHOULD NOT CAUSE A SIGNIFICANT ICING PROBLEM ON TREES OR POWER
LINES.


NYZ001>006-010>014-019>021-085-151045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.051215T2000Z-051216T1700Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
944 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THURSDAY
TO 12 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THURSDAY TO
12 PM EST FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK AND
SPREAD RAPIDLY INTO THE GENESEE VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES
REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND PERHAPS
FREEZING RAIN. MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT AND TAPER OFF ON FRIDAY

SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE AN INCH OR TWO THURSDAY WITH TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS BY FRIDAY MORNING GENERALLY IN THE 5 TO 7 INCH
RANGE.

LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND FRIDAY NIGHT EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS SNOW... SLEET... AND FREEZING
RAIN. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY
IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-151045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.051215T2300Z-051216T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
944 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET FOR A WHILE THURSDAY
NIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY THE
TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF FRIDAY EVENING.

LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 151026
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
526 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...A MIX OF WINTERY PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY...

...HEAVY LAKE SNOWS LIKELY FOR THE BUFFALO METRO AREA FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL MOVE SLOWLY
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY. MEANWHILE...A SECOND LOW DEVELOPING
OVER THE GULF COAST STATES WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST
TO THE CAROLINAS BY TONIGHT. ON FRIDAY...THE GREAT LAKES LOW WILL
WEAKEN AS THE SECOND STORM MOVES UP THE NEW ENGLAND COAST.

MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THESE TWO WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL BRING A
VARIETY OF WINTER PRECIPITATION. SNOW WILL BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK...THEN SPREAD INTO THE GENESEE VALLEY AND
FINGER LAKES REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON...BEFORE REACHING THE NORTH
COUNTRY THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND PERHAPS
FREEZING RAIN. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND
INTO THE FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. IT SHOULD BE A
MIXED BAG OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FOR MOST OF THE AREA.
THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY AS SNOW ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY.

BY FRIDAY EVENING...THE COASTAL LOW WILL BE OFF THE MAINE COAST.
SNOW OVER ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW YORK WILL TAPER OFF FROM
WEST TO EAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FORM EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO AND
CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

NYZ007-008-151830-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.051215T2300Z-051216T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.051216T0000Z-051216T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
526 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM EST FRIDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM EST FRIDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED.
THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET...PERHAPS A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN. 
TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

COLDER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-151830-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.051216T0000Z-051216T2300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
526 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET...PERHAPS A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN. 
TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

COLDER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ010>012-019-085-151830-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051216T1800Z-051218T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.051215T2000Z-051216T1700Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
526 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 12 PM EST FRIDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 12 PM EST FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BECOME MIXED WITH
SLEET...PERHAPS A LITTLE BIT OF FREEZING RAIN. THE MIXED
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE FRIDAY
MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

COLDER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY 
NIGHT. IT IS LIKELY THAT SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL AFFECT THE
BUFFALO METRO AREA DURING THIS PERIOD.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED 
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>005-013-014-020-021-151830-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.051215T2000Z-051216T1700Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
526 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 12 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 12 PM EST FRIDAY.

SNOW WILL BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BECOME MIXED WITH 
SLEET...PERHAPS A LITTLE BIT OF FREEZING RAIN. THE MIXED 
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE FRIDAY
MORNING. THE HEAVIEST TOTALS ARE EXPECTED CLOSER TO LAKE ONTARIO.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

TMA

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 161056
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY...

...HEAVY LAKE SNOWS EXPECTED FOR THE BUFFALO METRO AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY TODAY...WHILE A SECOND LOW OVER THE CAROLINAS TRACKS
NORTH UP THE EAST COAST.

SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF ROCHESTER INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THERE
MAY BE A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET MIXED IN AT TIMES EARLY
THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL BE 2 TO 4
INCHES.

THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF WEST OF ROCHESTER THIS MORNING.
MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED.

THE SECOND PUNCH OF WINTER WEATHER WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
AS COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. LAKE SNOWS DEVELOPING OFF
LAKE ERIE WILL EXTEND ACROSS METRO BUFFALO AND THE NORTHERN
SUBURBS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND SETTLE ACROSS THE CITY
AROUND RUSH HOUR. THE NARROW BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ACROSS METRO BUFFALO THROUGH EARLY EVENING THEN SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTH
AND SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHTOWNS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY.
OFF LAKE ONTARIO...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AROUND THE
WATERTOWN AREA AND THEN SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU
ON SATURDAY.

NYZ010>012-019-085-161700-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051216T1800Z-051218T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0006.051216T1800Z-051218T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1
AM EST SUNDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
NOON EST TODAY.

SNOW WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW 
THROUGH NOON ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO AN INCH OR TWO. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING RUSH HOUR.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION THIS MORNING AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL THEN SET UP NARROW
BANDS OF SNOW OFF LAKE ERIE. THE LAKE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INITIALLY DEVELOP BETWEEN 1 PM AND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
SOUTHERN NIAGARA COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY. 

DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...A WELL
ORGANIZED BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE BUFFALO
METRO AREA. THIS BAND WILL LIKELY CAUSE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTE. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY EARLY
TONIGHT ACROSS THE BUFFALO METRO AREA...BEFORE SLOWLY MIGRATING 
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHTOWNS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY 
MORNING...THEN EVENTUALLY SETTLING ACROSS SKI COUNTRY BY SATURDAY
NIGHT.

SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE LIKELY...HOWEVER WHERE THE
HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS PERSIST LOCALLY AS MUCH AS A FOOT AND A HALF
IS POSSIBLE.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-161900-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0006.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST SUNDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6
PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE TAPERING OFF. SOME
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS STILL POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL 
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 6 INCHES. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE SNOW AND ICE 
COVERED...VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION TODAY AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION.

COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL THEN SET UP NARROW
BANDS OF SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INITIALLY DEVELOP BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM THIS EVENING ACROSS
NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA.

THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TONIGHT
ACROSS NORTHERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES...INCLUDING
THE WATERTOWN AREA. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE SOUTHWARD
SATURDAY...EVENTUALLY SETTLING ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU BY
SUNDAY MORNING.

LOCALIZED SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-161700-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE TAPERING OFF. SOME
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS STILL POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL 
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 INCHES. HEAVIER
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF ROCHESTER. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE MORNING...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING
COMMUTE.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION THIS AFTERNOON AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

NYZ020-161700-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051216T1800Z-051218T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.051217T0000Z-051218T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OLEAN
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM
EST SUNDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
NOON EST TODAY.

SNOW WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW 
THROUGH NOON ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO AN INCH OR TWO. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING RUSH HOUR.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION THIS MORNING AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF LAKE ERIE ACROSS THE
BUFFALO AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LAKE BAND WILL SETTLE INTO
FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

LOCALIZED SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-161900-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE TAPERING OFF. SOME
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS STILL POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL 
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 6 INCHES. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE SNOW AND ICE 
COVERED...VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION TODAY AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION.

COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL THEN SET UP NARROW
BANDS OF SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INITIALLY DEVELOP NORTH OF THE AREA EARLY TONIGHT. THE LAKE BAND
IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AND MAY REACH OSWEGO COUNTY
TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001-002-021-161700-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...WELLSVILLE
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.

SNOW WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW 
THROUGH NOON ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO AN INCH OR TWO. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION THIS MORNING AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN NIAGARA
AND SOUTHERN ORLEANS COUNTIES BETWEEN 1 PM AND 4 PM. LOCALIZED
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
NIAGARA COUNTY.

$$

TMA

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 161502
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL IN AREAS EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY TODAY...WHILE A SECOND LOW MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL BE 1 TO 4
INCHES.

MEANWHILE THE SECOND PUNCH OF WINTER WEATHER WILL DEVELOP AS
COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. LAKE SNOWS DEVELOPING OFF LAKE
ERIE WILL INITIALLY EXTEND ACROSS NIAGARA AND EXTREME NORTHERN
ERIE COUNTIES...JUST NORTH OF THE METRO BUFFALO AND THE NORTHERN
SUBURBS. THE NARROW BAND OF SNOW WILL THEN DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS
METRO BUFFALO AND THE NORTHERN SUBURBS BY MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.
IT WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT...THEN SLOWLY
DRIFT SOUTH AND SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHTOWNS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AROUND THE
WATERTOWN AREA AND THEN SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU
ON SATURDAY.

NYZ003>005-013-014-161615-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

$$

NYZ001-002-162315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0006.051216T1700Z-051217T0100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THE BAND WILL THEN DRIFT SOUTH OF THE
AREA THIS EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ010>012-019-085-162315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.051216T1800Z-051218T0600Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA DURING THE MID AND
LATE AFTERNOON...INCLUDING BUFFALO METRO AND THE NORTHERN
SUBURBS. IT WILL LIKELY CAUSE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTE. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR.

THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY EARLY
TONIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY MIGRATING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHTOWNS
LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...THEN EVENTUALLY SETTLING
ACROSS SKI COUNTRY BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE LIKELY...HOWEVER WHERE THE
HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS PERSIST LOCALLY AS MUCH AS A FOOT AND A HALF
IS POSSIBLE. 

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ020-162315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.051217T0000Z-051218T0600Z/
CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OLEAN
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY. 

LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF LAKE ERIE ACROSS THE
BUFFALO AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LAKE BAND WILL SETTLE INTO
FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

LOCALIZED SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ021-161615-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

$$

NYZ007-008-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE TAPERING OFF.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 INCHES.
THESE ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND
ICING CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE SNOW AND ICE
COVERED...VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION TODAY AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION.

COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL THEN SET UP NARROW
BANDS OF SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INITIALLY DEVELOP BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM THIS EVENING ACROSS
NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA.

THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TONIGHT
ACROSS NORTHERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES...INCLUDING
THE WATERTOWN AREA. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE SOUTHWARD
SATURDAY...EVENTUALLY SETTLING ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU BY
SUNDAY MORNING.

LOCALIZED SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT BANDS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE TAPERING OFF.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY AN INCH
OR TWO. HOWEVER THIS ADDITIONAL SNOW ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND
ICING CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE SNOW AND ICE
COVERED...VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION TODAY AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION.

COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL THEN SET UP NARROW
BANDS OF SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INITIALLY DEVELOP NORTH OF THE AREA EARLY TONIGHT. THE LAKE BAND
IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AND MAY REACH OSWEGO COUNTY
TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
355 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005

.SYNOPSIS...

RIDGE AXIS CENTERED OVER WESTERN NY THIS AFTERNOON WITH A WEAKENING
SHORTWAVE SPREADING LIGHT SNOW INTO OH.  FURTHER UPSTREAM...UPPER
LEVEL LOW WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE DAKOTAS...WHILE A STRONG PACIFIC
JETSTREAM IS PUSHING A SHORTWAVE OVER TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
THE LATTER TWO WILL IMPACT OUR WEATHER BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON
INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...

.TONIGHT...HAVE BEEN WATCHING PRECIP MOVING INTO OH THROUGHOUT THE
DAY...BUT AS THIS SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE RIDGE OVERHEAD IT
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...CLEARLY SEEN WITH THE WARMING CLOUD TOPS IN
THE IR IMAGERY.  AT THIS TIME DO NOT EXPECT ANY MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION...BUT WILL ADD A FEW FLURRIES INTO THE FORECAST.
OTHERWISE CLOUD COVER SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM
PLUMMETING...TEMPS SHOULD BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES WARMER THAN THE
PREVIOUS COLD NIGHTS.

.THURSDAY...THE BIG PLAYER WILL BE THE STORM CURRENTLY DEVELOPING
OVER TX WITH AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH MERGING WITH THE DAKOTAS LOW
AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE ATLANTIC.  MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL
START IN THE AFTERNOON...OR LATER.  MODELS CONTINUE TO SLOW PRECIP
DOWN...AND A QUICK GLANCE AT THE 18Z NAM CONTINUES THIS TREND.  A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF WESTERN NY
BEGINNING 3PM IN THE AFTERNOON EXCEPT FOR LEWIS AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES.  IN ORDER TO KEEP IT SIMPLE...DID NOT OPT FOR A LATER
START TIME FOR KROC AREAS EAST.  THE 3PM START TIME MAY BE A BIT
EARLY IF MODELS CONTINUE TO SLOW THINGS DOWN.  GFS CONTINUES TO BE
COLDER THAN NAM...BUT SREF PLUMES ALL SHOW A DECENT SPREAD OF
PRECIPITATION TYPES INTO THE EVENING.  LOOKS LIKE A MESSY MIX OF
PRECIPITATION.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...THE TWO COUNTIES NOT IN THE ADVISORY...JEFFERSON
AND LEWIS...WILL HAVE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THIS PERIOD INTO
FRIDAY.  HAVE OPTED TO SEPARATE THESE COUNTIES FROM THE REST TO
EMPHASIZE A LATER START TIME AND LESS OF A MIXED BAG OF
PRECIPITATION...AND MORE SNOW ACCUMULATION LASTING THROUGH FRIDAY.
THE REST OF WESTERN NY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SEE MIXED
PRECIPITATION TURN TO ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT.  STRONG LOW LEVEL JET
THURSDAY NIGHT COUPLED WITH GOOD JET DYNAMICS ALOFT WILL PROVIDE
AMPLE LIFT.  IF GFS IS RIGHT...LESS OF A MIX WILL OCCUR AND WESTERN
NY COULD SEE WIDESPREAD SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6-10 INCHES.  PREVIOUS
FORECAST SHIFTS HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE NAM...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO
THAT BUT WILL KEEP SNOW ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY IN THE 3-5 INCH
RANGE FOR THIS PERIOD...HIGHER OF COURSE IN THE WATCH AREA.

.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THINGS BEGIN TO WIND DOWN IN THE SYNOPTIC
SCALE AND LAKE EFFECT TAKES OVER DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  THIS
COULD BE A NICE EVENT FOR THE KBUF AREA...LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY.
12Z NAM FOCUSED A BAND SOUTH OF KBUF...BUT NEW 18Z NAM NOW HAS BAND
OVERHEAD.  WILL HAVE TO WAIT A FEW MORE RUNS BEFORE WE CAN ATTEMPT
TO PIN DOWN EVENTUAL SWATH OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF OF LAKE ERIE.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...

THE GFS AND HPC GUIDANCE SHOW AIR COLD ENOUGH FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW
AND WINDS LINED UP FROM SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.  THE WEST
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL FAVOR THE USUAL SNOW BELTS, BUT WITH UNCERTAINTY
IN PRECISE WIND DIRECTIONS AND TIMING OF UPPER SHORT WAVES, WE HAVE
KEPT POPS TO 40%.  HPC GUIDANCE SHOWS A WEAK LOW IN THE AREA
WEDNESDAY, WHILE THE GFS HAS COLD FRONT MOVING IN DURING THE
EVENING, BUT IT MATTERS NOT WHICH YOU BELIEVE, THE RESULT IS STILL
COLD WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...A CLIMATOLOGICAL FORECAST FOR
JANUARY.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING AS CLOUDS
SLOWLY LOWER AHEAD OF THE IMPENDING STORM.  CEILINGS WILL LOWER TO
MVFR WITH AREAS OF IFR THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  SEVERE CLEAR ICING IS A
POSSIBILITY AS A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN, SLEET AND SNOW SPREAD FROM
THE SOUTHWEST THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...

EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY BUT WILL
REMAIN BELOW ANY ADVISORY OR WARNING CRITERIA.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NYZ001>006-010>014-019>021-085 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
      THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY NOON.
     NYZ007-008 WINTER STORM WATCH THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS/SHORT TERM...ZAFF
LONG TERM/AVIATION/MARINE...APB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
404 AM EST WED DEC 14 2005

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-150915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-
LEWIS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
404 AM EST WED DEC 14 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...
AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...COMBINED WITH LOW
PRESSURE MOVING UP THE ATLANTIC COAST...WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY. THERE
IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS AND TRAVEL
DISRUPTIONS. THERE MAY BE A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN PRODUCING A
COATING OF ICE DURING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-150915-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
404 AM EST WED DEC 14 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...
AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...COMBINED WITH LOW
PRESSURE MOVING UP THE ATLANTIC COAST...WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY. THERE
IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS AND TRAVEL
DISRUPTIONS. THERE MAY BE A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN PRODUCING A
COATING OF ICE DURING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SFM