Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2005

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 16, 20055 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter storm warning at Dec 16, 2005, 12:16 AM EST for 5 counties in New York. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 16, 2005, 12:16 AM EST (05:16 UTC)
Expired
Dec 16, 2005, 10:02 AM EST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Cayuga County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Wayne County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2005-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2005-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 544 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
614 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
544 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
718 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 160516
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1216 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...

...HEAVY LAKE SNOWS LIKELY FOR THE BUFFALO METRO AREA LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...WHILE A SECOND LOW OVER THE
CAROLINAS TRACKS NORTH UP THE EAST COAST.

THE MIXED PRECIPITATION THAT IS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THESE TWO
SYSTEMS WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN
FROM THE WEST. GENERAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT...BUT FREEZING RAIN TOTALS BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER MAY
REACH A HALF INCH OVER THE FINGER LAKES REGION WITH SERIOUS
PROBLEMS POSSIBLE.

EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...THE ICE MAY ACCUMULATE UP TO ONE QUARTER
INCH BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW OCCURS. THIS WILL MAKE ANY
UNTREATED SURFACES EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO WALK OR DRIVE ON.

THE SECOND PUNCH OF WINTER WEATHER WILL DEVELOP LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AS COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. LAKE SNOWS
DEVELOPING OFF LAKE ERIE WILL EXTEND ACROSS METRO BUFFALO AND THE
NORTHERN SUBURBS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND SETTLE ACROSS THE
CITY AROUND RUSH HOUR. THE NARROW BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ACROSS METRO BUFFALO THROUGH EARLY EVENING THEN SLOWLY
DRIFT SOUTH AND SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHTOWNS FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY. OFF LAKE ONTARIO...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY
NIGHT OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY

NYZ003>005-013-014-161330-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0002.051216T0516Z-051216T1700Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
1216 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

FREEZING RAIN IS PERSISTING A LITTLE LONGER THAN EARLIER THOUGHT AND
MAY CAUSE TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES TO COME DOWN BEFORE A
CHANGEOVER TO SNOW LATER TONIGHT. SNOW TOTALS WILL BE CUT DOWN
THOUGH TO AROUND 3 INCHES BY MORNING BECAUSE OF THE LATE
CHANGEOVER.

$$

NYZ010>012-019-020-085-161330-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051216T1800Z-051218T0600Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1216 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. 

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER ICING CONDITIONS WILL BE
AROUND 3 INCHES. UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL REMAIN VERY
SLICK AS THE SNOW ACCUMULATES.

COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL THEN SET UP NARROW
BANDS OF SNOW OFF LAKE ERIE. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF
SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED SNOW ACROSS THE BUFFALO METRO AREA LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS MAY HAVE MAJOR IMPACT ON
THE FRIDAY EVENING COMMUTE. AN ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OF 6 TO
12 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY DUE TO THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006>008-161330-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1216 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL PRODUCE UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH OF
ICE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS WILL
MAKE UNTREATED SURFACES EXTREMELY DANGEROUS FOR WALKING OR
DRIVING. AFTER MIDNIGHT...THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGED TO ALL
SNOW. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
MORNING. THEN...COLDER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001-002-021-161330-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...WELLSVILLE
1216 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW AROUND
MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY
FRIDAY MORNING. UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL REMAIN VERY
SLICK AS THE SNOW ACCUMULATES ON ICE COATED SURFACES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

SAGE
2 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 161056
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY...

...HEAVY LAKE SNOWS EXPECTED FOR THE BUFFALO METRO AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY TODAY...WHILE A SECOND LOW OVER THE CAROLINAS TRACKS
NORTH UP THE EAST COAST.

SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF ROCHESTER INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THERE
MAY BE A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET MIXED IN AT TIMES EARLY
THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL BE 2 TO 4
INCHES.

THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF WEST OF ROCHESTER THIS MORNING.
MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED.

THE SECOND PUNCH OF WINTER WEATHER WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
AS COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. LAKE SNOWS DEVELOPING OFF
LAKE ERIE WILL EXTEND ACROSS METRO BUFFALO AND THE NORTHERN
SUBURBS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND SETTLE ACROSS THE CITY
AROUND RUSH HOUR. THE NARROW BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ACROSS METRO BUFFALO THROUGH EARLY EVENING THEN SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTH
AND SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHTOWNS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY.
OFF LAKE ONTARIO...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AROUND THE
WATERTOWN AREA AND THEN SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU
ON SATURDAY.

NYZ010>012-019-085-161700-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051216T1800Z-051218T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0006.051216T1800Z-051218T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1
AM EST SUNDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
NOON EST TODAY.

SNOW WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW 
THROUGH NOON ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO AN INCH OR TWO. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING RUSH HOUR.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION THIS MORNING AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL THEN SET UP NARROW
BANDS OF SNOW OFF LAKE ERIE. THE LAKE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INITIALLY DEVELOP BETWEEN 1 PM AND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
SOUTHERN NIAGARA COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY. 

DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...A WELL
ORGANIZED BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE BUFFALO
METRO AREA. THIS BAND WILL LIKELY CAUSE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTE. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY EARLY
TONIGHT ACROSS THE BUFFALO METRO AREA...BEFORE SLOWLY MIGRATING 
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHTOWNS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY 
MORNING...THEN EVENTUALLY SETTLING ACROSS SKI COUNTRY BY SATURDAY
NIGHT.

SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE LIKELY...HOWEVER WHERE THE
HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS PERSIST LOCALLY AS MUCH AS A FOOT AND A HALF
IS POSSIBLE.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-161900-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0006.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST SUNDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6
PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE TAPERING OFF. SOME
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS STILL POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL 
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 6 INCHES. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE SNOW AND ICE 
COVERED...VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION TODAY AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION.

COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL THEN SET UP NARROW
BANDS OF SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INITIALLY DEVELOP BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM THIS EVENING ACROSS
NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA.

THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TONIGHT
ACROSS NORTHERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES...INCLUDING
THE WATERTOWN AREA. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE SOUTHWARD
SATURDAY...EVENTUALLY SETTLING ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU BY
SUNDAY MORNING.

LOCALIZED SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-161700-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE TAPERING OFF. SOME
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS STILL POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL 
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 INCHES. HEAVIER
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF ROCHESTER. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE MORNING...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING
COMMUTE.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION THIS AFTERNOON AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

NYZ020-161700-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051216T1800Z-051218T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.051217T0000Z-051218T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OLEAN
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM
EST SUNDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
NOON EST TODAY.

SNOW WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW 
THROUGH NOON ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO AN INCH OR TWO. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING RUSH HOUR.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION THIS MORNING AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF LAKE ERIE ACROSS THE
BUFFALO AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LAKE BAND WILL SETTLE INTO
FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

LOCALIZED SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-161900-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE TAPERING OFF. SOME
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS STILL POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL 
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 6 INCHES. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE SNOW AND ICE 
COVERED...VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION TODAY AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION.

COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL THEN SET UP NARROW
BANDS OF SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INITIALLY DEVELOP NORTH OF THE AREA EARLY TONIGHT. THE LAKE BAND
IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AND MAY REACH OSWEGO COUNTY
TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001-002-021-161700-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...WELLSVILLE
556 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.

SNOW WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW 
THROUGH NOON ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO AN INCH OR TWO. THESE
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND ICING
CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION THIS MORNING AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN NIAGARA
AND SOUTHERN ORLEANS COUNTIES BETWEEN 1 PM AND 4 PM. LOCALIZED
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
NIAGARA COUNTY.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 161502
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL IN AREAS EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY TODAY...WHILE A SECOND LOW MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL BE 1 TO 4
INCHES.

MEANWHILE THE SECOND PUNCH OF WINTER WEATHER WILL DEVELOP AS
COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. LAKE SNOWS DEVELOPING OFF LAKE
ERIE WILL INITIALLY EXTEND ACROSS NIAGARA AND EXTREME NORTHERN
ERIE COUNTIES...JUST NORTH OF THE METRO BUFFALO AND THE NORTHERN
SUBURBS. THE NARROW BAND OF SNOW WILL THEN DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS
METRO BUFFALO AND THE NORTHERN SUBURBS BY MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.
IT WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT...THEN SLOWLY
DRIFT SOUTH AND SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHTOWNS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AROUND THE
WATERTOWN AREA AND THEN SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU
ON SATURDAY.

NYZ003>005-013-014-161615-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

$$

NYZ001-002-162315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0006.051216T1700Z-051217T0100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THE BAND WILL THEN DRIFT SOUTH OF THE
AREA THIS EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ010>012-019-085-162315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.051216T1800Z-051218T0600Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA DURING THE MID AND
LATE AFTERNOON...INCLUDING BUFFALO METRO AND THE NORTHERN
SUBURBS. IT WILL LIKELY CAUSE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTE. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR.

THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY EARLY
TONIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY MIGRATING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHTOWNS
LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...THEN EVENTUALLY SETTLING
ACROSS SKI COUNTRY BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE LIKELY...HOWEVER WHERE THE
HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS PERSIST LOCALLY AS MUCH AS A FOOT AND A HALF
IS POSSIBLE. 

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ020-162315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.051217T0000Z-051218T0600Z/
CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OLEAN
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY. 

LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF LAKE ERIE ACROSS THE
BUFFALO AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LAKE BAND WILL SETTLE INTO
FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

LOCALIZED SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ021-161615-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

$$

NYZ007-008-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE TAPERING OFF.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 INCHES.
THESE ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND
ICING CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE SNOW AND ICE
COVERED...VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION TODAY AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION.

COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL THEN SET UP NARROW
BANDS OF SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INITIALLY DEVELOP BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM THIS EVENING ACROSS
NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA.

THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TONIGHT
ACROSS NORTHERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES...INCLUDING
THE WATERTOWN AREA. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE SOUTHWARD
SATURDAY...EVENTUALLY SETTLING ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU BY
SUNDAY MORNING.

LOCALIZED SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT BANDS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.051217T0000Z-051218T1200Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE TAPERING OFF.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY AN INCH
OR TWO. HOWEVER THIS ADDITIONAL SNOW ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND
ICING CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE UNTREATED ROADS TO BE SNOW AND ICE
COVERED...VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS.

DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION TODAY AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION.

COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL THEN SET UP NARROW
BANDS OF SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INITIALLY DEVELOP NORTH OF THE AREA EARLY TONIGHT. THE LAKE BAND
IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AND MAY REACH OSWEGO COUNTY
TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 16, 5:56 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningBUFChautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis, Niagara and 2 more35 hr
Dec 16, 5:56 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFCattaraugus, Oswego35 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2005Every winter storm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.