Flash Flood Warning 45, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1100 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2005

.UPDATED...
CONVECTION IS INCREASING RAPIDLY ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA LATE THIS
MORNING.  THERE APPEARS TO BE TWO AREAS THAT WILL BE FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TODAY.  THE SOUTHERN BOUNDARY IS SAME
BOUNDARY THAT PRODUCED THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA
YESTERDAY...IT HAS JUST MOVED FARTHER SOUTH.  RAIN CHANCES IN THE
CATEGORICAL RANGE LOOK RIGHT ON TARGET FOR THIS AREA BASED ON
CURRENT COVERAGE.  VORT LOBE ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS IS LOCATED ALONG
THE ALABAMA/TENNESSEE BORDER.  THIS FEATURE WILL LIKELY BE FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON FOR AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.
SMALLEST RAIN CHANCES FOR THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN AN AREA SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 85/HIGHWAY 80.

EXPECT WARMER TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON
DUE TO MORE SUNSHINE AND CONVECTION DEVELOPING LATER IN THE DAY AND
WILL RAISE TEMPERATURES NORTH AND LOWER SLIGHTLY SOUTH.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

58/ROSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
600 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2005

ALZ011>015-017>050-151100-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
600 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...(TODAY AND TONIGHT).

MINOR RIVER FLOODING...DUE TO RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND ASSOCIATED
WITH HURRICANE DENNIS...WILL CONTINUE IN A FEW LOCATIONS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH
THE ATMOSPHERE STILL VERY TROPICAL...LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE
POSSIBLE. SOME SPOTS WILL RECEIVE UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME.

PATCHY FOG IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. ISOLATED
LOCATIONS WILL SEE VISIBILITIES DROP TO AROUND 1/2 OF A MILE. THE
FOG WILL GRADUALLY BURN OFF AFTER SUNRISE.

WET MICROBURST POTENTIAL:
BIRMINGHAM...MODERATE.
MONTGOMERY...HIGH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY).

MINOR RIVER FLOODING...DUE TO RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND ASSOCIATED
WITH HURRICANE DENNIS...WILL CONTINUE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. RIVER
LEVELS AT ALL LOCATIONS SHOULD BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. WITH
THE ATMOSPHERE STILL VERY TROPICAL...LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE
POSSIBLE. SOME SPOTS WILL RECEIVE UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME.

PATCHY FOG IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. ISOLATED
LOCATIONS WILL SEE VISIBILITIES DROP TO AROUND 1/2 OF A MILE. THE
FOG WILL GRADUALLY BURN OFF AFTER SUNRISE.

BEYOND FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LINHARES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1200 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2005

ALZ045-046-141745-
BULLOCK-MACON-
1200 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN MACON COUNTY AND
BULLOCK COUNTY UNTIL 1245 PM CDT...

...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...WINDS GUSTING TO 35
MPH...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE FROM AN APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORM...

AT 1157 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM OVER FITZPATRICK...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR HARDAWAY...
FITZPATRICK...UNION SPRINGS AND FORT DAVIS THROUGH 1245 PM CDT.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...GUSTY WINDS...AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU ARE
OUTDOORS IN THE VICINITY OF THESE STORMS...TAKE SHELTER NOW. IF
LIGHTNING IS OBSERVED... WAIT AT LEAST 30 MINUTES AFTER THE LAST
LIGHTNING FLASH OR THUNDER BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES.

GUSTY WINDS TO 35 MPH CAN BREAK OFF SMALL TREE LIMBS...AND BLOW
AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING. PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS... FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS...RISING WATER
ALONG CREEKS...AND UNDERPASSES WITH STANDING WATER ARE POSSIBLE.
REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS ROADWAYS COVERED WITH WATER OF
UNKNOWN DEPTH.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1247 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2005

ALZ049-141830-
PIKE-
1247 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR PIKE COUNTY UNTIL 130 PM
CDT...

...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...WINDS 35 TO 45 MILES AN
HOUR...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FROM AN APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORM...

AT 1241 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM OVER GOSHEN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR GOSHEN AND BRUNDIDGE
THROUGH 130 PM CDT.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
THESE STORMS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS IN THE VICINITY OF THESE
STORMS...TAKE SHELTER NOW. IF LIGHTNING IS OBSERVED... WAIT AT LEAST
30 MINUTES AFTER THE LAST LIGHTNING FLASH OR THUNDER BEFORE RESUMING
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS CAN BREAK OFF SMALL TREE LIMBS...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING. PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS... FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS...RISING WATER ALONG
CREEKS...AND UNDERPASSES WITH STANDING WATER ARE POSSIBLE.
REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS ROADWAYS COVERED WITH WATER OF
UNKNOWN DEPTH.

92/JSS