Storm Warning 57, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 110019
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-111500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 959 MB LOW MOVES TO 480 NM WEST OF SHEMYA FRI EVENING. THIS CENTER
THEN MOVES TO 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 965 MB SAT AFTERNOON. A
SECONDARY 975 MB LOW FORMS 150 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL SAT.
$$

PKZ150-111500-
AREA 5A. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO
CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
$$

PKZ155-111500-
AREA 5B. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA  CASTLE
CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
$$

PKZ160-111500-
AREA 6A. BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...WIND BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
$$

PKZ165-111500-
AREA 6B. PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ180-111500-
AREA 8. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT.
$$

PKZ170-111500-
AREA 12A. EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
$$

PKZ171-111500-
AREA 12A1. UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
$$

PKZ172-111500-
AREA 12B. EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
$$

PKZ175-111500-
AREA 13A. WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...WIND INCREASING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO
14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
$$

PKZ176-111500-
AREA 13B. WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WIND INCREASING TO SE 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 18 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ185-111500-
AREA 14. ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ179-111500-
AREA 15. PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST THU FEB 10 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 111249
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-120300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 955 MB LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE NEAR KISKA
SATURDAY NIGHT AS 968 MB.  AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ150-120300-
AREA 5A. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO
CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-120300-
AREA 5B. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA  CASTLE
CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-120300-
AREA 6A. BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ165-120300-
AREA 6B. PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-120300-
AREA 8. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT.

$$

PKZ170-120300-
AREA 12A. EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SE 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW WITH RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-120300-
AREA 12A1. UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-120300-
AREA 12B. EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW WITH RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-120300-
AREA 13A. WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY NOON. WIND DIMINISHING
TO SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-120300-
AREA 13B. WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
26 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-120300-
AREA 14. ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 IN ICE FREE WATERS FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ179-120300-
AREA 15. PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 120012
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-121500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 957 MB STORM JUST OFF KAMCHATKA WILL WEAKEN TO 967 MB NEAR SHEMYA
SUN NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES E
ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH SUN. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT THROUGH THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TONIGHT WILL MOVE TO EASTERN ALEUTIANS SAT MORNING.
A SERIES OF LOWS WILL DEVELOP ON THIS FRONT INCLUDING A 986 MB LOW IN
BRISTOL BAY ON SUN.
$$

PKZ150-121500-
AREA 5A. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO
CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-121500-
AREA 5B. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA  CASTLE
CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-121500-
AREA 6A. BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. BLOWING SNOW HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. BLOWING
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-121500-
AREA 6B. PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW.  
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 


$$

PKZ180-121500-
AREA 8. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. BLOWING
SNOW AND PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT.  
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-121500-
AREA 12A. EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WIND INCREASING TO S 35 KT THIS EVENING THEN INCREASING TO
SW 45 KT . SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-121500-
AREA 12A1. UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WIND INCREASING TO S WIND 30 KT THIS EVENING THEN
INCREASING TO S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-121500-
AREA 12B. EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-121500-
AREA 13A. WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-121500-
AREA 13B. WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-121500-
AREA 14. ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WIND INCREASING TO E 30 KT THIS EVENING THEN INCREASING TO
E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-121500-
AREA 15. PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST FRI FEB 11 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WIND INCREASING TO S 30 KT THIS EVENING THEN INCREASING TO
S WIND 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO S 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND S 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
100 PM AST WED FEB 9 2005

.DISCUSSION...
.500 MB...4830M VORTEX NEAR SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND HOLDS POSITION AND
SLOWLY WEAKENS. ASSOCIATED TROUGH DIGS SE TOWARD THE GULF OF ALASKA
TONIGHT. TROUGH THEN ELONGATES AND MOVES TO THE SOUTHERN
INTERIOR/WESTERN CANADA LATE THU NIGHT. FLOW SHIFTS WEST TO SW OVER
MUCH OF THE SOUTHCENTRAL AND WESTERN MAINLAND FRI. A 5060M VORTEX
OVER THE SEA OF OKHOTSK INTENSIFIES AS IT MOVES SE OF THE KAMCHATKA
PEN FRI. A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS IN ADVANCE OF THIS
CENTER FRI MORNING.

.SURFACE...THE MAJOR WEATHER CONCERN OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS
HOURS WILL BE THE EVOLUTION OF THE STORM COMPLEX MOVING INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA TODAY. SAT AND BUOY DATA PLACED CENTER NEAR
56N 150W AT 18Z. THIS POSITION IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH NCEP
MODELS(GFS/ETA/MESO ETA) 6 HOUR FORECASTS. HOWEVER...MODEL PRESSURES
ARE SEVERAL MBS HIGHER THEN ESTIMATED 970 MB CENTER. SAT PIX SHOWS
OPEN/CLOSED CELL CU ASSOCIATED WITH COLD ADVECTION OVER THE EASTERN
BERING SEA AND SOUTH OF THE AK PEN. THE ARCTIC FRONT THIS MORNING
EXTENDED FROM SOUTHERN KODIAK ISLAND...TO THE NORTHERN KENAI
PEN...AND INTO THE INTERIOR. FAIRLY WARM AIR IS EVIDENT ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA.

MODEL FORECAST ARE STILL CONSISTENT WITH DEEPENING GULF CENTER AND
MOVING IT TO WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND(PWS) EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. THIS TRACK STILL APPEARS TO BE REASONABLE. HOWEVER...AS
CENTER CONTINUES TO DEVELOP IT MAY MOVE FURTHER WEST OF TRACK THEN
ORIGINAL THINKING AND MAY REQUIRE SHORT FUSE ADJUSTMENTS IN INITIAL
FORECAST PERIODS. COLD ADVECTION...EVIDENT BY SAT PIX WILL MOVE OVER
THE KENAI PEN/NORTHERN COOK INLET EARLY THU. THIS COMBINED WITH
STRONG NEG TILTED 500 MB TROUGH AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND MOISTURE
SOURCE WILL MAKE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POTENTIAL OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA...PARTICULARLY THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND NORTHERN KENAI PEN. WARM
AIR TO EAST WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION MAINLY AS RAIN OR MIXED ALONG THE
GULF TONIGHT. COLD ADVECTION SPREADS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
THU...SO PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO SNOW.

GALE AND STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE TO RULE IN ADVANCE AND ON THE
BACKSIDE OF LOW CENTER AS IT MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT.
EAST STORMS OVER THE NORTH GULF THIS AFTERNOON WILL DIMINISH LATE
TONIGHT AS FRONT MAKES LANDFALL. NW STORMS WILL BE SLOW TO DIMINISH
OVER THE WESTERN GULF AS COLD ADVECTION WILL HOLD WEAKENING LOW NEAR
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THU.

OUT WEST...SAT PIX SHOWS WHAT APPEARS TO BE A POLAR LOW NEAR 56N 172W
THIS AFTERNOON. THE GFS AND MESO ETA PICK UP ON THIS CENTER. THE GFS
WHICH APPEARS TO HANDLE THE MOVEMENT BETTER MOVES CENTER TO OVER
WESTERN BRISTOL BAY TONIGHT. CENTRAL PRESSURE HARD TO GAUGE AT THIS
POINT AS CENTER IS IN A DATA VOID...BUT THE GFS PRESSURE IN THE MID
TO UPPER 990S SEEMS REASONABLE. SNOW OVER SW AK THIS AFTERNOON WILL
DIMINISH AS COLD DRY AIR MOVES IN THIS EVENING. SAT PIC SHOWS
EXTENSIVE OPEN/CLOSED CELL CU OVER MUCH OF THE AK PEN AND ALEUTIAN
CHAIN TODAY. DEVELOPING LOW NEAR JAPAN WILL MOVE SE OF THE KAMCHATKA
IN THE 950S THU NIGHT AND BECOME QSTRNY. ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ELONGATES AND SPREADS TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FRI AFTERNOON.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WATCH 101. WIND WARNINGS 135 AND 171.
MARINE...STORMS: 2B,3A,3B,3C, AND 5A. . GALES: 2B1,2C,4, AND 4A.

RMC FEB 05