Storm Warning 183, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 210238 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
630 PM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

UPDATE TO AREAS 120 130 AND 138
MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 964 MB LOW 375 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WEAKENS TO 972 MB FRI NIGHT AS IT
MOVES NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND. THIS LOW INTENSIFIES TO 967 MB AS IT
MOVES INLAND SAT MORNING NEAR SEWARD. A BERING SEA LOW CROSSES THE
ALASKA PENINSULA SAT AND INTENSIFIES TO 970 MB SAT AFTERNOON 175 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK.

$$

PKZ120-211400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
630 PM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 28 FT. AREAS OF
FOG. SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-211400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WIND INCREASING TO N 30 KT TOWARD MIDNIGHT...EXCEPT SOUTH
OF CAINES HEAD EAST WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 22 FT SOUTH OF
CAINES HEAD. FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-211400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS EVENING. GUSTS TO 50 KT
OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. AREAS
OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-211400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-211400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
630 PM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO E
35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS TO 30 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-211400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
28 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT TOWARD MORNING. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-211400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
630 PM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 30
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT TOWARD MORNING.
RAIN. FOG. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-211400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-211400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 211130
CWFAER

SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 21 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST + KODIAK ISLAND WATERS + 
COOK INLET...
A 965 MB LOW 430 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL WEAKEN TO 973 MB AND
MOVE 240 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT SATURDAY MORNING.  A 976 MB LOW IN
THE BERING SEA WILL CROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
MOVE 200 NM EAST OF KODIAK BY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-220200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 21 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT
SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-220200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 21 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-220200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SE WIND 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-220200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 21 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 2 FT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. RAIN. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.  

$$

PKZ130-220200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 21 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NW WIND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO
15 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-220200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 21 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-220200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 21 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING NW 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-220200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS SOUTH OF
KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-220200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 21 2005

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION..CORRECTED
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

CORRECTED TYPO

.DISCUSSION...

A 966 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL INTENSIFY TO 954 MB 270 NM
SOUTH OF KODIAK THIS EVENING THEN WEAKEN AND MOVE INTO THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF ALASKA BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED
OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE LOW. THE FRONT WILL
CURVE NORTHWARD INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA TODAY AND BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST TONIGHT. EXPECT STORM FORCE
EASTERLIES AND MODERATE RAINFALL ALONG AND IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT.
MOST OF THE FURY OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE DIRECTED AT KODIAK ISLAND
AND MARINE AREAS 120 130 132 AND 150.

PLENTY OF COLD AIR ADVECTION ON THE REAR FLANK OF THE LOW. NORTHWEST
WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REACH SPEEDS OF UP TO 75 MPH ACROSS
THE ALASKA PENINSULA. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ABOVE 30 KTS ACROSS MARINE ZONES 155 165 170 172 THROUGH AT
LEAST SATURDAY MORNING.

COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS EASTERN RUSSIAN AND
THE NORTHERN BERING SEA THROUGH FRI THEN MOVE OVER NORTHWESTERN
ALASKA BY SAT MORNING. BROAD WESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN RANGE INTO SUNDAY.

SUBSTANTIAL GRADIENT TODAY BETWEEN TURNAGAIN ARM AND PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND. GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS THROUGH AND ALONG PASSAGE
CANAL...PORTAGE VALLEY...TURNAGAIN ARM...AND THE ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE
WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND 181
MARINE...GALE 121 125 138 140 160 171 172 175 176 179 180 185
         STORM 120 130 132 150 165 170
         HURRICANE FORCE 155
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

ASB OCT 05

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1107 AM ADT THU OCT 20 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 15 SE ANCHORAGE         61.02N 148.87W
10/20/2005  76 MPH                              AK   MESONET

            MOST OF THE HIGH WINDS WERE CONFINED TO THE TURNAGAIN
            ARM. GUSTY WINDS REACHED 46 MPH ALONG THE HILLSIDE. NO
            DAMAGE WAS REPORTED.

&&