Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Tulsa, OK

April 24, 2004Carroll County, Madison County, Washington County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this flash flood warning at Apr 24, 2004, 12:19 AM CDT for Carroll County, Madison County, Washington County, Arkansas. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 24, 2004, 12:19 AM CDT (05:19 UTC)
Expired: Apr 24, 2004, 6:15 AM CDT
In force: 6 hr
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Carroll County, AR, Madison County, AR, Washington County, AR

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 981 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 203 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KTSA 240521
FFWTUL
ARC015-087-143-241115-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1219 AM CDT SAT APR 24 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
  MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 615 AM CDT

* AT 1219 AM CDT RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN
  BEGINNING TO MOVE BACK INTO THE WARNED COUNTIES. THE GROUND IN
  THIS AREA IS ALREADY SATURATED DUE TO GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
  3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF
  1 TO 3 INCHES IS LIKELY OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE
  FLASH FLOODING.   

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY THE HEAVY RAIN
  INCLUDE OAK GROVE...BERRYVILLE...EUREKA SPRINGS...OSAGE...GREEN
  FOREST...RUDD...CARROLLTON...RULE...URBANETTE...GRANDVIEW...
  BEAVER...HUNTSVILLE...ST PAUL...PETTIGREW...AURORA...WESLEY...
  KINGSTON...HINDSVILLE...FORUM...BOSTON...WITTER...JAPTON...
  MARBLE...CLIFTY...FAYETTEVILLE...WINSLOW...WEST FORK...LINCOLN...
  PRAIRIE GROVE...ELKINS...FARMINGTON...BLACKBURN...STRICKLER...
  BRENTWOOD AND GREENLAND.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IT IS VERY DIFFICULT AT NIGHT TO TELL HOW
MUCH WATER IS ON THE ROADS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER
TO CARRY AWAY MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TAKE A DIFFERENT
ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

LAT...LON 3610 9452 3578 9449 3578 9355 3620 9331
          3651 9329 3648 9383 3626 9395 3618 9414

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Apr 23, 9:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 23, 9:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
900 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

GOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD WITH VERY HIGH POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD
FLASH FLOODING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE TONIGHT AS LIFT
INCREASES AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM. WIDESPREAD 1-3 INCH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR BY THIS TIME TOMORROW WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS
OVER 5 INCHES. ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS MARGINAL SO ONLY EXPECT A FEW
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT WITH MAINLY LARGE HAIL. WHAT LITTLE
ELEVATED INSTABILITY THERE IS BECOMES EVEN LESS BY MORNING SO STORM
INTENSITIES SHOULD TREND DOWNWARD AFTER THE CURRENT WATCH EXPIRATION
TIME BUT FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL BE INCREASING GREATLY BY THAT
TIME.

ALREADY UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AND NO
FURTHER UPDATE IS PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

FORECAST ID= 5

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY FOR ZONES
ARZ001>002...ARZ010>011...ARZ019...ARZ029.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY FOR ZONES
OKZ049...OKZ053>076.

PLATE

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 23, 1:00 PM CDT, 11 hours 19 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS
   SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
   AND FLASH FLOODING LIKELY TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...

A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS DRAPED ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...CURRENTLY LOCATED
JUST SOUTH OF A JAY...HENRYETTA LINE.  SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...THE
ATMOSPHERE HAS ALREADY BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH SURFACE BASED
CAPES AROUND 2500 J/KG.  BY MID AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HEATING
CONTINUES...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP ALONG THE
BOUNDARY.  GIVEN THE FORECASTED WIND FIELDS...THESE STORMS WILL
LIKELY BE SUPERCELLULAR IN NATURE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...
WITH THE THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
TORNADOES...PRIMARILY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE STATIONARY FRONT.

THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME MORE LINEAR IN NATURE THIS EVENING
WITH CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SWEEPING
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.  VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS...COUPLED
WITH MARGINAL ELEVATED INSTABILITIES SUGGEST A CONTINUED THREAT FOR
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE THREAT...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH CONTINUED FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY
IN THE AREAS WHERE PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED. PLEASE
REFER TO THE FLOOD WATCH /OKCFFATUL/ ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TULSA.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE CURRENT HAZARDS SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA.
GIVEN PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE
ISSUED AT YOUR LOCATION.

SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE
WEATHER...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY FOR SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING
OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY.  THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY FOR
TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.  THE AREA WILL FINALLY RETURN TO MORE QUIESCENT WEATHER
CONDITIONS BY SUNDAY AS THE MAIN COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND
GRAPHICAL INFORMATION

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 23, 7:38 PM CDT, 4 hours 41 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
738 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

ARZ001-010-240130-
BENTON AR-WASHINGTON AR-
738 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     BENTON AND WASHINGTON

AT 738 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES
WEST OF LAKE FRANCIS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...ROCKY COMFORT...
FAIRMOUNT...HARMON...SILOAM SPRINGS...GENTRY...LAKE FRANCIS...
GALLITIN...HEALING SPRINGS...SPRINGTOWN...HIGHFILL...CAVE SPRINGS...
VAUGHN...CINCINNATI...WEDINGTON...SAVOY...WHEELER...TONTITOWN AND ELM
SPRINGS.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

Local storm report, Apr 23, 7:51 PM CDT, 4 hours 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
751 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             6 W CHECOTAH            35.47N 95.63W
04/23/2004  0.75 INCH        MCINTOSH           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

0745 PM     HAIL             6 W CHECOTAH            35.47N 95.63W
04/23/2004  1.00 INCH        MCINTOSH           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

NMK

Local storm report, Apr 23, 8:21 PM CDT, 3 hours 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
821 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0817 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 W CHECOTAH            35.47N 95.59W
04/23/2004  60 MPH           MCINTOSH           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            60 MPH WIND GUST AT HWY 150 AND I-40.

&&

NMK

Special weather statement, Apr 23, 8:33 PM CDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
833 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-240700-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
833 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 114 HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 2 AM
SATURDAY.

Special weather statement, Apr 23, 10:11 PM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1011 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

OKZ073-240415-
PITTSBURG OK-
1011 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1115 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     PITTSBURG

AT 1011 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES SOUTH OF KIOWA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MCALESTER...KIOWA...
PITTSBURG...BLANCO...SAVANNA...HARTSHORNE...HAILEYVILLE...DOW...
BACHE...ALDERSON...KREBS AND BLOCKER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

Special weather statement, Apr 23, 10:35 PM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1035 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-2403450-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1035 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 114 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA:

CRAIG...CREEK...NOWATA...OSAGE...PAWNEE...ROGERS...TULSA AND
WASHINGTON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 24, 1:15 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Crawford	6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2004 Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.