Alert archive / Florida / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004
Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this flash flood warning at Sep 26, 2004, 9:50 AM EDT for Polk County, Florida. It was in force for 85 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 26, 2004, 9:50 AM EDT (13:50 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 26, 2004, 11:15 AM EDT
- In force
- 85 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Polk County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1737 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 0 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 0 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS52 KTBW 261351 FFWTBW FLC105-261515- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 950 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... CENTRAL POLK COUNTY IN FLORIDA. FLOODING WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING CITIES. WINTER HAVEN. LAKELAND. BARTOW. AUBURNDALE. MULBERRY. LAKELAND HIGHLANDS. * UNTIL 1115 AM EDT * AT 945 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL RATES OF THREE INCHES PER HOUR WITH SPIRAL RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE JEANNE MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN POLK COUNTY. WEATHER SPOTTERS IN THE LAKELAND AREA HAVE REPORTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES SINCE MIDNIGHT. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND INTERSECTIONS. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE MOST AT RISK. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADS THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING FLOOD MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS OR STREAMS. IF NEARING A FLOOD AREA...TURN AROUND AND DRIVE TO HIGHER TERRAIN. DONT BECOME A STATISTIC. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN && LAT...LON 2813 8167 2790 8162 2779 8197 2809 8201 $$ 57
1 follow-up statement
000 WGUS72 KTBW 261436 FFSTBW FLC105-261515- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 1035 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR CENTRAL POLK COUNTY... INCLUDING WINTER HAVEN...LAKELAND...BARTOW...AUBURNDALE... MULBERRY...AND LAKELAND HIGHLANDS. ...UNTIL 1115 AM EDT. AT 1035 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATE RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR WITH HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE JEANNE WHICH WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL POLK COUNTY IN THE VICINITY OF BARTOW. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES OF 6 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE WARNING AREA SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS...SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS...OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH...BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND INTERSECTIONS. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE MOST AT RISK. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADS DONT BECOME A STATISTIC. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN && LAT...LON 2813 8167 2790 8162 2779 8197 2809 8201 $$ 57
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 26, 9:30 AM EDT, 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 26, 9:30 AM EDT, 20 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 930 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004 CURRENTLY...SATELLITE AND 88D RETURNS SHOW HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED IN THE VICINITY OF FORT MEADE IN SOUTHERN POLK COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING. SURFACE OBSERVATIONAL DATA SHOWS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WERE IMPACTING A LARGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA AS I WRITE WITH SEVERAL REPORTS OF HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS AS WELL. AS JEANNE CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST TROPICAL STORM TO HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL FL INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ZONES AND COASTAL PRODUCTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE TORNADO WATCH BOX...WITH NO OTHER CHANGES EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JEANNE...PLEASE REFER TO OUR HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS. NOTE TO TV METEOROLOGISTS...INSTANT MESSAGING CAPABILITY IS DOWN HERE IN RUSKIN DUE TO HIGH WINDS. && .MARINE...HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER...WITH TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD. ALL MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT. NO CHANGES EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO SUWANNEE RIVER. TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR LEE...CHARLOTTE AND DESOTO COUNTIES...INCLUDING COASTAL WATERS BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT T 60 NM. INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER...POLK... HIGHLANDS AND HARDEE COUNTIES. TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM FOR LEVY...CITRUS...SUMTER... HERNANDO...PASCO...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...AND POLK COUNTIES INCLUDING THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OUT 20 NM. FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES. && SHORT TERM...MCMICHAEL LONG TERM...SHARP
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 26, 6:00 AM EDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 600 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-261800- CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE- LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER- 600 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY: HURRICANE JEANNE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. SEE THE LATEST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY: RIVER FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE WAKE OF HURRICANE JEANNE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TODAY. && FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE) 13
In the hours before
Local storm report, Sep 26, 9:23 AM EDT, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
923 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0815 AM HURRICANE BARTOW 27.90N 81.85W
09/26/2004 POLK FL AMATEUR RADIO
71 MPH WIND GUST
0830 AM HURRICANE BARTOW 27.90N 81.85W
09/26/2004 POLK FL AMATEUR RADIO
69 MPH WIND GUST
0830 AM HURRICANE 10 S MULBERRY 27.76N 81.97W
09/26/2004 POLK FL AMATEUR RADIO
71 MPH WIND GUST
0845 AM HURRICANE SAINT PETERSBURG 27.76N 82.67W
09/26/2004 PINELLAS FL AMATEUR RADIO
61 MPH WIND GUST
0800 AM HURRICANE ARCADIA 27.22N 81.86W
09/26/2004 DESOTO FL EMERGENCY MNGR
76 MPH WIND GUST
0845 AM HURRICANE VALRICO 27.95N 82.26W
09/26/2004 HILLSBOROUGH FL AMATEUR RADIO
ROOF DAMAGE FROM WIND.
0711 AM HURRICANE BARTOW 27.90N 81.85W
09/26/2004 POLK FL AMATEUR RADIO
WIND GUSTS OF 76 MPH.
0730 AM HURRICANE LAKELAND 28.04N 81.96W
09/26/2004 POLK FL AMATEUR RADIO
WIND GUSTS OF 54 MPH.
0900 AM HURRICANE 3 NW BRANDON 27.96N 82.33W
09/26/2004 HILLSBOROUGH FL AWOS
66 MPH WIND GUST AT VANDENBERG AIRPORT.
0903 AM HURRICANE 10 S BRADENTON 27.34N 82.58W
09/26/2004 SARASOTA FL OFFICIAL NWS OBS
60 MPH WIND GUST AT SARASOTA/BRADENTON AIRPORT.
&&
AWIPSUSRThe office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 11:47 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | TBW | Hardee, Highlands, Hillsborough, Manatee, Pasco, Polk and 1 more | 8 hr |
| Sep 26, 3:38 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | TBW | Pinellas | 4 hr |
| Sep 26, 3:40 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | TBW | Citrus, Hernando, Levy, Sumter | 4 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Florida, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.