Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 010552
FFSSGF
MOC077-225-229-010845-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1247 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 345 AM CDT FOR WEBSTER 
COUNTY...630 AM FOR GREENE COUNTY AND 600 AM FOR WRIGHT COUNTY...

AT 1245 AM CDT...LOCAL SPOTTERS...LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS AND THE 
GENERAL PUBLIC HAVE REPORTED FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GREENE 
COUNTY NEAR TURNERS... AND SOUTHERN WEBSTER COUNTY BETWEEN FORDLAND 
AND SEYMOUR. THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE 
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR HAS ESTIMATED BETWEEN THREE 
AND FIVE INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS THESE COUNTIES SINCE 
FRIDAY EVENING...WITH MORE HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. 

IN ADDITION...RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE 
FLOODING TO OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND NEAR LOW 
WATER CROSSINGS. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING 
INCLUDE...SPRINGFIELD...WILLARD...WALNUT 
GROVE...STRAFFORD...SEYMOUR...ROGERSVILLE...REPUBLIC...NORWOOD...NIAN
GUA...MOUNTAIN GROVE...MARSHFIELD AND MANSFIELD.

FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY Z NEAR FORDLAND...BETWEEN 
DIGGINS AND SEYMOUR ALONG HIGHWAY 60...AND NEAR TURNERS IN SOUTHEAST 
GREENE COUNTY. 

REMEMBER...BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO 
RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT 
QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT 
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3710 9361 3741 9360 3740 9307 3745 9307
          3747 9227 3708 9226

$$

JLT

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 010700
FFSSGF
MOC077-225-229-010945-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
200 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 630 AM CDT FOR GREENE...600 
AM FOR WRIGHT...AND 345 AM FOR WEBSTER COUNTY...

AT 145 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLOODING 
PROBLEMS THROUGHOUT WEBSTER COUNTY. ALSO THERE HAS BEEN FLOODING 
REPORTS IN SOUTHEAST GREENE COUNTY AND WRIGHT COUNTY SINCE MIDNIGHT. 
ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL THROUGH 3 
AM...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE 
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA PROVIDING ADDITIONAL FLOODING PROBLEMS AFTER 
3 AM. 

RUNOFF FROM THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING TO 
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND NEAR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. 
SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING 
INCLUDE...STRAFFORD...SEYMOUR...ROGERSVILLE...MARSHFIELD...
MANSFIELD AND HARTVILLE.

LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICERS REPORTED THAT WATER WAS FLOWING OVER 
HIGHWAY A BRIDGE SOUTH OF MARSHFIELD.  

LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICERS REPORTED WATER FLOWING OVER HIGHWAY B ALONG 
PANTHER CREEK IN SOUTHWEST WEBSTER COUNTY. 

HIGHWAY 60 BETWEEN DIGGINS AND SEYMOUR REMAINS FLOODED. 

ALSO...NUMEROUS SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS THAT FLOW INTO THE JAMES 
RIVER IN SOUTHEAST GREENE COUNTY ARE FLOODING OR WILL BE FLOODING 
SOON. 

NO FLOODING REPORTS HAVE COME FROM WRIGHT COUNTY...HOWEVER LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT OFFICERS BELIEVE THAT NUMEROUS LOW WATER CROSSINGS ARE 
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WESTERN PART OF WRIGHT COUNTY. 

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3749 9227 3707 9231 3710 9364 3743 9365

$$

JLT

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 010802
FFSSGF
MOC077-225-229-010845-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
257 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 345 AM CDT FOR WEBSTER 
COUNTY...UNTIL 600 AM FOR WRIGHT COUNTY...AND UNTIL 630 AM FOR 
GREENE COUNTY...

AT 250 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN 
AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH THE 
HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS ENDED...AN ADDITIONAL ONE QUARTER OF AN 
INCH MAY FALL IN THESE COUNTIES BEFORE 6 AM. WEBSTER COUNTY WARNING 
WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED THROUGH THIS MORNING DUE TO FLOODING 
CONDITIONS CONTINUING. 

ONLY RECENT REPORT FROM LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICERS INDICATED THAT 
ABOUT 50 COLLEGE STUDENTS WERE TRAPPED BY HIGH WATER NORTH OF 
HARTVILLE...ALONG LAKE FREDDIE ROAD...IN WRIGHT COUNTY. OTHER 
FLOODING IN WEBSTER AND SOUTHEAST GREENE COUNTY CONTINUES. 

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3749 9228 3706 9226 3710 9362 3742 9364

$$

JLT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1208 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2004

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (THIS AFTERNOON - SUNDAY)...
THE SCENARIO FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS BECOMING MORE
INTERESTING TODAY FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI
OZARKS.  THE 12Z MESO ETA DOESNT HAVE A SNIFF WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF
INSTABILITY THAT WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON.  THE
CONVECTIVE SCHEME IS THE LIKELY CULPRIT FOR THIS AS THE MESO ETA
INITIALIZED THIS MORNINGS NORTHERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI STORM COMPLEX
ABOUT 200 MILES TOO FAR TO THE SOUTH.  THE RUC HAS A BETTER HANDLE
ON THE SHORT TERM BRINGING IN AN AXIS OF 1500 TO 2000 J/KG OF ML
CAPE INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI BY 21Z.  WITH THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AND ASSOCIATED LIFT ALONG THE SAGGING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.  WIND FIELDS ARE EXTREMELY WEAK FOR THE TIME OF YEAR...AND
LARGE HAIL AND A POSSIBLE DOWNBURST OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THE SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL TRANSITION INTO A FLOOD PROBLEM AS
WE HEAD INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  WITH THE SURFACE FRONT GRADUALLY
SAGGING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI TONIGHT...SOME LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL BE PRESENT WITH ALONG THIS FEATURE.  THE
PRIMARY FORCING MECHANISM HOWEVER APPEARS TO BE INCREDIBLE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A 140 KNOT SPEED MAX AT 250 MB OVER
THE CORN BELT.  THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE SPEED MAX WILL
ASSUME A POSITION OVER MISSOURI TONIGHT WHICH WILL PROMPT ANOTHER
ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSOURI.  A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A COLUMBUS KANSAS TO EMINENCE MISSOURI
LINE.  DUE TO SATURATED SOILS FROM LAST WEEKS FLOOD EVENT...AND THE
FLASHY RUGGED TERRAIN OF THE OZARK MOUNTAINS...I MAY UPGRADE THIS
WATCH TO AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR EXTREME
SOUTHERN MISSOURI.  LOOK FOR ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OVERNIGHT ALONG
THE BORDER.  A DECISION ON THIS WILL BE MADE BY 300 PM.

THE STORM COMPLEX SHOULD EXIT SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI BY EARLY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH A COOLER AIRMASS SPREADING THROUGH.

LONG TERM (MONDAY - THURSDAY)...
FOR NOW MODELS AGREE ON A DRY AND SEASONAL EXTENDED PERIOD.  A
PATTER CHANGE WILL OCCUR WITH THE UPPER FLOW OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS
AND MISSOURI VALLEY ASSUMING A NORTHWEST FLOW STRUCTURE.  THIS WILL
BE THE PRIMARY CAUSE FOR THE DRY WEATHER...HOWEVER...UNDER MOST
NORTHWEST FLOW CIRCUMSTANCES...THERE USUALLY WILL BE A COUPLE OF
DISTURBANCES BRING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  WAY TO EARLY TO PINPOINT THAT THOUGH SO ILL KEEP
THE FORECAST DRY FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

AS THE WEST COAST RIDGE FINALLY BREAKS DOWN TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REMAIN IN THE 70S AND LOW 80S TOWARDS THURSDAY.  GOOD SOUTHERLY FOR
SEVERAL DAYS NEXT WEEK WILL ENHANCE TEMPERATURES AND ALSO HELP TO
ADVECT MOISTURE INTO THE NATIONS MID SECTION.  THE LOW LEVELS WILL
BE JUICED AND WE WILL HAVE TO CLOSELY WATCH MODEL TRENDS FOR ANY
UPPER SYSTEMS THAT MAY PROVIDE STORM POTENTIAL TOWARDS NEXT WEEKEND.

CRAMER

&&

.AVIATION...
COLD FRONT FROM NW MO INTO CENTRAL OK WILL BEGIN MOVING THROUGH AREA
AS UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE APPROACHES.  WILL SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
VFR CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON. AS FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
AFTER 00Z...CEILINGS WILL DROP TO MVFR WITH IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
WHERE PRECIPITATION IS OCCURRING.  CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY.

GAEDE

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM JOPLIN TO SPRINGFIELD TO EMINENCE.
.KS...FLOOD WATCH FOR CHEROKEE COUNTY FOR THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1030 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2004

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-011100-
BARRY-BARTON-BENTON-BOURBON-CAMDEN-CEDAR-CHEROKEE-CHRISTIAN-CRAWFORD-
DADE-DALLAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-GREENE-HICKORY-HOWELL-JASPER-LACLEDE-
LAWRENCE-MARIES-MCDONALD-MILLER-MORGAN-NEWTON-OREGON-OZARK-PHELPS-
POLK-PULASKI-SHANNON-ST. CLAIR-STONE-TANEY-TEXAS-VERNON-WEBSTER-
WRIGHT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AVA...BOLIVAR...BRANSON...CAMDENTON...
FORT LEONARD WOOD...FORT SCOTT...HOUSTON...JOPLIN...LEBANON...
MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...NEOSHO...NEVADA...OSAGE BEACH...OZARK...
PITTSBURG...ROLLA...SPRINGFIELD...STOCKTON AND WEST PLAINS.
1030 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...SMALL
  HAIL...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA OVERNIGHT
  BUT CONCENTRATED ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

  FLOODING WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY HAZARD OVERNIGHT HOURS...MAINLY
  ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 60 CORRIDOR.

  DISCUSSION:

  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE OUTLOOK AREA
  OVERNIGHT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
  ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI CLOSER TO A SLOW MOVING FRONT.
  THE PRIMARY HAZARD OVERNIGHT WILL BE FLOODING AS MANY OF THE STORMS
  WILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER
  HOUR. THE HIGHEST RISK OF LIFE THREATENING FLOODING WILL OCCUR
  ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH HIGHWAY 60 WHERE
  ONE TO THREE INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

  FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING SATURDAY MORNING OVER SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI FROM OVERNIGHT AND MORNING THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED OVERNIGHT ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI ALONG AND SOUTH HIGHWAY 60.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER
WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF

FOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
928 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2004

MOZ093-095-101>104-010327-
BARRY-CHRISTIAN-MCDONALD-NEWTON-STONE-TANEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRANSON...MONETT...NEOSHO AND OZARK.
928 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2004

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 133 HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT
FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE AREA.

HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT.
THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND
SMALL HAIL.  LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1022 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             DIGGINS                 37.17N 92.85W
04/30/2004  0.75 INCH        WEBSTER            MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1125 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2004

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DIGGINS                 37.17N 92.87W
04/30/2004                   WEBSTER            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            FLOODING OVER HIGHWAY 60 NEAR DIGGINS

AF
AF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1130 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2004

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     FLOOD            TURNERS                 37.18N 93.15W
04/30/2004                   GREENE             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            MINOR FLOODING OVER HIGHWAY 125 NEAR OAK GROVE HEIGHTS.

AF
AF