Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Miami, FL

September 19, 2004Broward County, Florida

NWS Miami, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 19, 2004, 5:26 PM EDT for Broward County, Florida. It was in force for 64 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 19, 2004, 5:26 PM EDT (21:26 UTC)
Expired
Sep 19, 2004, 6:30 PM EDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Miami, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Broward County, FL

The radar

The Miami radar (KAMX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Miami, FL (KMFL), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 50 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-09-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1761 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-09-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 1 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1761 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
790 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-3 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KMFL 192126
SVRMIA
FLC011-192230-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
524 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL BROWARD COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT

* AT 524 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER
  CENTRAL BROWARD COUNTY...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
   RURAL CENTRAL BROWARD COUNTY
   INTERSTATE 75 ALLIGATOR ALLEY AT 545 PM

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 
MPH...LARGE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. STAY 
INSIDE AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 2632 8051 2629 8071 2601 8070 2600 8050

$$

DG/RRH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 19, 2:12 PM EDT, 3 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 19, 2:12 PM EDT, 3 hours 14 minutes before
SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
212 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON.
SEABREEZE AND FRONTAL CONVERGENCE RESULTING IN BEST THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE OVER WESTERN MIAMI-DADE AT THE MOMENT. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
EVER SO SLOWLY DRIFT INTO THE EVERGLADES OF DADE AND MONROE COUNTIES
THIS AFTERNOON. OTHER MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION
OVERNIGHT.

SHOULD SEE BEGINNING OF INCREASINGLY SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVING INTO
SOUTH FLORIDA AS A CHUNK OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEATHER
DISTURBANCE FORMERLY KNOWN AS IVAN REACHES FLORIDA. VISIBLE
SATELLITE SHOWS LARGE AREA OF STRATO-CU SURGING SOUTHWESTWARD. THE
LAST 2 DAYS WORTH OF GFS MODEL RUNS HAVE CONSISTENTLY SHOWED THIS
FEATURE ARRIVING IN SOUTH FLORIDA MONDAY. LATEST INCARNATION
INCLUDES WEAK SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
FRONT WHICH WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA TOMORROW. DECIDED TO INCREASE
POPS TO 40 PERCENT FOR MUCH OF THE EAST COAST TOMORROW (EMPHASIZING
BEST CHANCES AT THE COAST AND NEARER TO PALM BEACH).

AFTER THAT THE NORTHEAST WIND REGIME SETTLES IN FOR THE LONG
HAUL...WHICH WILL BE MORE OF A MARINE/BEACH ISSUE (SEE BELOW).
&&

.MARINE...A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ALONG THE
ATLANTIC SEABOARD THROUGH THE WEEK. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING NORTHEAST
SWELL TO THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST...PARTICULARLY ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT THE SURFERS TO BE OUT ENJOYING IT. RIP CURRENTS
LIKELY TO BE A BIG PROBLEM THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AS WIND REMAINS
NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS ALONG WITH THE SWELL COMPONENT. WELL
HAVE TO REMIND SWIMMERS OF THE DANGERS POSED BY THE SURF. MINOR
BEACH EROSION ALSO A POSSIBILITY UP ALONG THE PALM BEACH COAST. AT
THIS POINT...DONT THINK COMBINED SEAS WILL EXCEED 10 FEET AT THE
COAST...BUT WILL MONITOR THE SITUATION.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS ALTHOUGH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR IS
INFILTRATING SOUTH FLORIDA.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 74 85 75 87 / 20 40 30 30
FORT LAUDERDALE 74 86 75 88 / 20 40 30 30
MIAMI           76 89 77 89 / 20 40 30 30
NAPLES          73 87 72 90 / 00 30 20 30
&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

HANDEL
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 19, 4:08 AM EDT, 13 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
408 AM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

FLZ068-072-074-192200-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-DADE METROPOLITAN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
408 AM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING ALONG EAST COAST...

A SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM PALM BEACH COUNTY SOUTHWEST TO
MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY WILL SLOWLY SINK SOUTH TODAY. SOUTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY, THERE COULD BE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WITH
PRIMARY WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL, AND CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD COME TO AN END BY EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND AND THE
BOUNDARY SINKS TO THE SOUTHERN TIP OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER MOVE INSIDE UNTIL THE STORMS
HAVE PASSED.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO. FOR
INFORMATION IN SPANISH, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

...RIP CURRENTS POSSIBLE EAST COAST MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PALM BEACH COAST...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES THROUGH
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, AS TROPICAL STORM JEANNE MOVES NORTHWARD TO
JUST NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS ISLANDS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR
NORTHEAST SWELLS TO BUILD INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, AND ALLOW FOR HIGH SURF CONDITIONS TO AFFECT
THE PALM BEACH COAST BY TUESDAY.

THE WINDS WILL ALSO BE FROM THE NORTHEAST DIRECTION AT 10 TO 15 MPH
THIS WEEK ALLOWING FOR RIP CURRENTS TO DEVELOP ALONG ALL OF THE EAST
COAST BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FLZ073-075-192200-
MAINLAND MONROE-WESTERN DADE-
408 AM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH INTERIOR AREAS TODAY...

A SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM PALM BEACH COUNTY SOUTHWEST TO
MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY WILL SLOWLY SINK SOUTH TODAY. SOUTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY, THERE COULD BE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WITH
PRIMARY WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL, AND CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER MOVE INSIDE UNTIL THE STORMS
HAVE PASSED.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO. FOR
INFORMATION IN SPANISH, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FLZ063-066-067-069>071-192200-
EASTERN COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-WESTERN BROWARD-
WESTERN COLLIER-
408 AM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO. FOR
INFORMATION IN SPANISH, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

BAXTER

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 19, 4:18 PM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
418 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0414 PM     TORNADO          EAST NAPLES             26.14N 81.74W
09/19/2004                   COLLIER            FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 3 TORNADOES ON THE GROUND NEAR
            STATE ROAD 82 AND TAMIAMI TRAIL.

&&

HANDEL
Local storm report, Sep 19, 4:43 PM EDT, 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
443 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     TORNADO          2 E BELLE MEADE         26.05N 81.67W
09/19/2004                   COLLIER            FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE REPORTED BY COLLIER COUNTY SHERIFF
            NEAR IMPERIAL WILDERNESS. ADDITIONAL FUNNEL WAS FORMING.

&&

HANDEL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Miami, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 19, 10:26 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMFL64 min
Sep 19, 3:18 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMFL57 min
Sep 19, 3:55 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMFL65 min
Sep 19, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMFLCollier65 min
Sep 19, 4:15 PM EDTTornado WarningMFLCollier60 min
Sep 19, 4:56 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMFL64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.