Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS St. Louis, MO

May 25, 2004Saint Charles County, Missouri; Calhoun County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 25, 2004, 1:57 PM CDT for Saint Charles County, Missouri; Calhoun County, Illinois. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 25, 2004, 1:57 PM CDT (18:57 UTC)
Expired: May 25, 2004, 2:45 PM CDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Calhoun County, IL, Saint Charles County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 25, 1:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 951 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLSX 251857
SVRLSX
ILC013-MOC183-251945-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
156 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN ST. CHARLES COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI
  CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT

* AT 156 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 27 MILES WEST OF ST. CHARLES...MOVING EAST AT
  40 MPH. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THIS STORM WILL BE DAMAGING HAIL.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ST. CHARLES MISSOURI...BRUSSELS...AND HARDIN ILLINOIS

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3941 9092 3916 9071 3874 9061 3887 9023
          3907 9060 3939 9064

$$
PEDIGO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 25, 1:00 PM CDT, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 25, 1:00 PM CDT, 57 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
100 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS SETTLED INTO THE OZARKS AND EXTENDED FROM NEAR
A STL-TBN-BVO LINE. CONVECTION CONTINUED TO MOVE EASTWARD JUST NORTH
OF THE BOUNDARY WHICH HAS PRODUCED SOME GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. MODELS
FORECAST THE FRONT TO SETTLE SOUTHEASTWARD TONIGHT AND LIE ACROSS
SOUTHERN MO BY 12Z WEDNESDAY. APPEARS THAT FRONT WILL REMAIN ACROSS
MO INTO FRIDAY.

THE 850 MOISTURE WAS POOLED THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHERN MO INTO THE
TN VALLEY. UPPER JET EXTENDED FROM NORTHERN BAJA INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS WITH SECOND CORE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING. THE
GFS, ETA AND UKMET ARE VERY SIMILAR THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH A 100-120
KT JET FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM THE NEW ENGLAND STATES ACROSS THE
MIDWEST INTO NORTHERN BAJA.

THE WRF MODEL OUT OF NCAR DID A SUBERB JOB ON FORECASTING THE MCS/
BOW ECHO THAT ROLLED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LAST NIGHT.  LAST
EVENINGS RUN OF THE MODEL IS FORECASTING A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MO/SOUTHERN IL/WESTERN KY TONIGHT WITH MOST OF THE
CONVECTION CONFINED ACROSS THE OZARKS ON WEDNESDAY.

IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND, THE 25/00Z RUNS OF
THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR AT 500 FOR SATURDAY EVENING IN
DIGGING A CLOSED LOW INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. DEEP SURFACE LOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS A RESULT. UPPER SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST BY MONDAY EVENING. COLD
FRONT SHOULD MOVE ACROSS MO ON MEMORIAL DAY.

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...NONE
.IL...NONE

EFFECTIVE 7 AM JUNE 8 2004...THE AWIPS PRODUCT IDENTIFIER FOR THIS
PRODUCT WILL CHANGE FROM AFDSTL TO AFDLSX.  THE WMO HEADER WILL
REMAIN UNCHANGED. PLEASE ENSURE THAT ANY NEEDED CHANGES ARE
COMPLETED BY JUNE 8 2004.

Hazardous weather outlook, May 25, 9:00 AM CDT, 4 hours 57 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
900 AM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-
041-042-047>052-059>065-261100-
ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN-BOND IL-BOONE-BROWN-CALHOUN IL-CALLAWAY-CLINTON IL-
COLE-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-GREENE IL-JEFFERSON-JERSEY IL-
KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-MARION-MARION IL-MONITEAU-
MONROE-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY-MONTGOMERY IL-OSAGE-PIKE-PIKE IL-RALLS-
SHELBY-ST CHARLES-ST CLAIR IL-ST LOUIS-ST LOUIS CITY-WARREN-
WASHINGTON IL-
900 AM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.  AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS A RESULT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP MAINLY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
ALSO FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY

THERE IS A CONTINUED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MEMORIAL DAY
WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ILZ079-MOZ072>075-084-085-099-261100-
CRAWFORD-IRON-MADISON-RANDOLPH IL-REYNOLDS-ST FRANCOIS-STE GENEVIEVE-
WASHINGTON-
900 AM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND A SMALL
PART OF SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE REGION.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT IN THE HUMID AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT.  A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY

THERE IS A CONTINUED SLIGHT RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY
ACROSS THE REGION.

THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MEMORIAL DAY
WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 25, 1:35 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
135 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     HAIL             HIGH HILL               38.88N 91.38W
05/25/2004  1.00 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MB

Local storm report, May 25, 1:35 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
135 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     HAIL             HIGH HILL               38.88N 91.38W
05/25/2004  1.00 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MB

Local storm report, May 25, 1:41 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
141 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0129 PM     HAIL             JONESBURG               38.85N 91.31W
05/25/2004  1.00 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MB

Local storm report, May 25, 1:41 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
141 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0129 PM     HAIL             JONESBURG               38.85N 91.31W
05/25/2004  1.00 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MB

Local storm report, May 25, 1:50 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
150 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0146 PM     HAIL             1 S WARRENTON           38.81N 91.14W
05/25/2004  0.88 INCH        WARREN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MB

Local storm report, May 25, 1:50 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
150 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0146 PM     HAIL             1 S WARRENTON           38.81N 91.14W
05/25/2004  0.88 INCH        WARREN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MB

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 24, 7:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Shelby	66 min
May 24, 8:44 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Shelby	46 min
May 24, 9:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Marion	65 min
May 24, 9:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Shelby	45 min
May 24, 9:35 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LSX	Shelby	6 hr
May 24, 9:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Monroe	24 min
May 24, 10:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Ralls	40 min
May 24, 10:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Monroe	49 min
May 24, 10:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Lewis	48 min
May 24, 10:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Marion, Shelby	58 min
May 24, 10:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Marion	60 min
May 24, 10:35 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LSX	Marion	5 hr
May 24, 10:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Ralls	25 min
May 24, 10:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Pike	39 min
May 24, 11:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Lincoln	39 min
May 24, 11:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Franklin, Gasconade, Osage, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Warren and 1 more	62 min
May 25, 12:43 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Jefferson	47 min
May 25, 6:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Franklin, Gasconade	48 min
May 25, 12:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Callaway, Montgomery	52 min
May 25, 1:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Lincoln, Saint Charles, Warren	65 min
May 25, 2:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis	40 min
May 25, 2:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Gasconade, Osage	47 min
May 25, 2:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis	28 min
May 25, 3:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Jefferson, Washington	59 min
May 25, 3:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois	45 min
May 25, 3:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Crawford	33 min
May 25, 4:06 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Sainte Genevieve	24 min
May 25, 4:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Franklin, Gasconade	58 min
May 25, 4:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Iron	46 min
May 25, 4:58 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LSX	Jefferson	3 hr
May 25, 5:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Madison	34 min
May 24, 10:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Adams, Pike	59 min
May 24, 10:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Brown	53 min
May 24, 10:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Pike	53 min
May 24, 11:06 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Adams	24 min
May 24, 11:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Greene	64 min
May 24, 11:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Jersey, Macoupin	57 min
May 25, 12:04 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Madison	56 min
May 25, 12:09 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Montgomery	66 min
May 25, 12:44 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Bond, Clinton, Fayette, Saint Clair	61 min
May 25, 1:17 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Marion, Washington	43 min
May 25, 1:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Madison	51 min
May 25, 2:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Madison, Saint Clair	63 min
May 25, 3:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Clinton, Saint Clair, Washington	54 min
May 25, 3:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Marion	43 min
May 25, 4:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Randolph	56 min
May 25, 4:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Washington	32 min
May 25, 4:28 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Randolph	47 min
May 25, 5:16 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LSX	Monroe	5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2004 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.