Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 170, NWS St. Louis, MO

June 8, 2004Cole County, Moniteau County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 8, 2004, 7:06 PM CDT for Cole County, Moniteau County, Missouri. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 8, 2004, 7:06 PM CDT (00:06 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2004, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
39 min
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Cole County, MO, Moniteau County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2004-06-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 874 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2004-06-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
874 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1271 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
2 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

474 
WUUS53 KLSX 090006
SVRLSX
MOC051-135-090045-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
705 PM CDT TUE JUN 8 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  COLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI
  MONITEAU COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 705 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTH OF HIGH POINT...MOVING NORTH AT
  25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HIGH POINT
  RUSSELLVILLE
  MCGIRK
  CALIFORNIA
  CENTERTOWN
  JAMESTOWN

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3849 9273 3833 9236 3853 9213 3886 9251

$$
GKS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 8, 3:26 PM CDT, 3 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 8, 3:26 PM CDT, 3 hours 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
320 PM CDT TUE JUNE 8 2004

.DISCUSSION...
MRNG UA DATA FM THE SFC THRU H50 SHOWED EXTENSIVE MSTR FM E TX INTO
SW MO WITH THE LOW LVL MOIST AXIS EXTDG WELL INTO THE UPR MS VLY.
THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS DP TROPICAL MOIST PLUME
WITH EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES CONTS TO SURGE NWD INTO THE MID MIDDLE MS
VLY. ATTM RN AND TSRA ARE WDSPRD EAST OF THE CYCLONIC SHEAR AXIS AND
COVER MUCH OF E TX AND SE OK/WRN AR.

ACRS OUR AREA STG HTG AND THE AFOREMENTONED LOW LVL MSTR HAS
RESULTED IN A VERY UNSTBL AIRMASS WITH LTL TO NO CAP.  ISOLD TO SCT
PULSE TSRA HAVE DVLPD IN RGNS OF LOCALLIZED FRCG AND WHERE CNVCTV
TEMP HAS BEEN REACHED.  RELATIVELY DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER AIR - LARGE
TEMP/DP SPREADS PRODUCING SOME STG AND GUSTY WINDS WITH THE TSRA AND
PROMINENT OUTFLOWS ARE EVIDENT ON RADAR.  WUD EXPECT THIS DIURNALLY
INDUCED PULSE ACTVTY WL CONT THRU SUNSET THEN SHUD DSIPT WITH LOSS
OF HTG/INSTABILITY.

MEANWHILE TROPICAL SURGE WILL CONT NWD TNGT AND ENCROACH UPON CNTRL
SXNS LATE TNGT. IF ACTVY OVR TX IS ANY INDICATION OF WX HERE TMW
THEN WE SHUD SEE QUITE A BIT OF SHRA/TSRA...SPCLY STL WWD.  THE
THRUST OF MSTR AND SHRA/TSRA SHUD GRADUALLY SHUNT EWD WED NGT THRU
THURS AS THE CYCLONIC SHEAR AXIS/TROPICAL MSTR PLUME SHIFTS EWD IN
RESPONSE TO THE MIGRATING WRN UPR TROF AND INCREASING WLY MID LVL
FLOW...EXITING INTO THE OH VLY BY LATE THURS/ERLY FRI.

I HAVE HEDGED TWDS THE COOLER GUID MAX TMPS OVR THE NEXT TWO DAYS...
WHILE TRYING TO BLEND WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES...MABE NOT COOL ENUF
BUT THIS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON ANY INSOLATION.  MINS ARE ON THE
WARMER END OF GUID.

ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE EXTDD PD FROM SAT-TUE.  GFS
IS BECOMING MORE VARIABLE EACH RUN...SOME OF WHICH APPEARS TO BE
RESULTING FROM CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. THE ECMWF AND NCEP MAN GUID IS
SHOWING MORE CONTINUITY AND BLENDS REASONABLY WELL AT THESE RANGES
WITH THE PRVS FCST.

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...NONE.
.IL...NONE.
&&

GLASS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 8, 3:00 PM CDT, 4 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
300 PM CDT TUE JUN 8 2004

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-091200-
ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN-BOND IL-BOONE-BROWN-CALHOUN IL-CALLAWAY-CLINTON IL-
COLE-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-GREENE IL-IRON-JEFFERSON-
JERSEY IL-KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON-MADISON IL-MARION-
MARION IL-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY-MONTGOMERY IL-OSAGE-
PIKE-PIKE IL-RALLS-RANDOLPH IL-REYNOLDS-SHELBY-ST CHARLES-
ST CLAIR IL-ST FRANCOIS-ST LOUIS-ST LOUIS CITY-STE GENEVIEVE-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WASHINGTON IL-
300 PM CDT TUE JUN 8 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI
AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...NONE OF THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SEVERE LIMITS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH
MONDAY.  THIS PERSISTENT THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS DUE TO THE
COMBINATION OF AN UNSTABLE SUMMERTIME AIRMASS...AND A SERIES OF WEAK
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT.

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.