Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 40, NWS Louisville, KY

July 5, 2004Allen County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 5, 2004, 2:55 PM CDT for Allen County, Kentucky. It was in force for 95 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 5, 2004, 2:55 PM CDT (19:55 UTC)
Expired: Jul 5, 2004, 4:30 PM CDT
In force: 95 min
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Allen County, KY

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2320 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 581 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 187 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 217 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 5.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KLMK 051955
FFWLMK
KYC003-052130-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
255 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ALLEN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 252 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER MUCH OF ALLEN 
COUNTY. RAINFALL RATES OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MT.
  ARIEAL...MAYNARD...HOLLAND...HALFWAY AND FOREST SPRINGS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3665 8641 3678 8641 3693 8618 3686 8611
      3687 8609 3688 8609 3688 8609 3678 8606
      3673 8598 3665 8597 3663 8598 3663 8602

$$
XXV

1 follow-up statement

000 
WGUS73 KLMK 052111
FFSLMK
KYC003-052130-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
411 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ALLEN COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

NO REPORTS OF FLASH FLOODING HAVE BEEN RECEIVED AS OF THIS TIME. 
LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ROUGHLY 430 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3665 8641 3678 8641 3693 8618 3686 8611
      3687 8609 3688 8609 3688 8609 3678 8606
      3673 8598 3665 8597 3663 8598 3663 8602

$$
XXV

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 5, 2:53 PM CDT, 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 2:53 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
353 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2004

***AFTERNOON PRODUCTS WILL BE DELAYED DUE TO ONGOING SEVERE
WEATHER***

.SHORT RANGE (DAYS 0-3)...
WATCHING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER TO OUR W OVER SRN IL, MAKING ESEWD
PROGRESS ALONG GRADIENT IN PW FIELDS/ERN PERIPHERY OF 700MB RIDGE
AXIS. THIS AREA OF TSRA WILL EITHER DIRECTLY IMPACT THE WRN PARTS OF
LMK FA, OR AT THE VERY LEAST LAY OUT SOME OUTFLOW BDYS IN THE
VICINITY, SO SCT TSRA CANNOT BE RULED OUT ANYWHERE THROUGH THE EVE
HOURS. WIND FIELDS ARE MODEST, ABOUT THE SAME AS YESTERDAY, PER KLVX
VWP, SO ANY STORMS HAVE POTL TO ORGANIZE INTO LINEAR SEGMENTS WITH
WIND DAMAGE THE PRIMARY THREAT AT THIS POINT. MAIN SFC FRONTAL BDY
LOOKS TO GET KICKED NWD OVERNIGHT, IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING
MID-LEVEL TROFINESS OVER CEN PLAINS, WHICH SHOULD REFOCUS BEST
CONVECTIVE CHCS N OF THE FA, OVER IN/OH. THIS PICTURE CONTINUES TUE,
AND FOR THE MOST PART WITH LACK OF ANY DISCERNIBLE FOCUSING, MOST OF
THE DAY SHOULD BE DRY, SAVE SOME ISO CELLS THAT MAY DEVELOP IN MOIST
AND UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR AIRMASS. TRENDS IN MODEL SOLNS HAVE BEEN
FOR FASTER COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SOMETIME TUE NIGHT, AND THIS IS SEEN
IN 9Z SREF ENSEMBLE DATA. OVERALL WILL MAINTAIN GOOD CHC POPS FOR
TUE NIGHT INTO WED. AS PARENT 500MB WAVE PASSES EWD THU, CHCS FOR
PCPN SHOULD MINIMIZE AS SUMMERTIME RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE FA. XXV

.LONG RANGE (DAYS 4-7)...
EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD AS
UPPER LEVEL MASS FIELDS TRANSITION FROM AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN TO A
MORE ZONAL PATTERN AS SIGNIFICANT RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CONUS.  AT THE SFC...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  THIS COMBINED WITH RIDGING ALOFT WILL KEEP THE
AREA DRY WITH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.  BY SUNDAY..WEAK
H5 WAVE WILL ROUND THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AND SLIDE SOUTHEAST.  THIS
MAY COME FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO SPREAD SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON.  AS FOR TEMPERATURES...ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO SHOW VERY
LITTLE SPREAD AND A BLEND OF OP MEX AND HPC GUIDANCE WILL BE USED.
-JARVIS

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 9:20 AM CDT, 5 hours 35 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1020 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2004

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-060900-
ADAIR KY-ALLEN KY-ANDERSON KY-BARREN KY-BOURBON KY-BOYLE KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-BULLITT KY-BUTLER KY-CASEY KY-CLARK IN-CLARK KY-
CLINTON KY-CRAWFORD IN-CUMBERLAND KY-DUBOIS IN-EDMONSON KY-
FAYETTE KY-FLOYD IN-FRANKLIN KY-GARRARD KY-GRAYSON KY-GREEN KY-
HANCOCK KY-HARDIN KY-HARRISON IN-HARRISON KY-HART KY-HENRY KY-
JEFFERSON IN-JEFFERSON KY-JESSAMINE KY-LARUE KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-
MADISON KY-MARION KY-MEADE KY-MERCER KY-METCALFE KY-MONROE KY-
NELSON KY-NICHOLAS KY-OHIO KY-OLDHAM KY-ORANGE IN-PERRY IN-
RUSSELL KY-SCOTT IN-SCOTT KY-SHELBY KY-SIMPSON KY-SPENCER KY-
TAYLOR KY-TRIMBLE KY-WARREN KY-WASHINGTON IN-WASHINGTON KY-
WOODFORD KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARDSTOWN...BOWLING GREEN...
CAMPBELLSVILLE...COLUMBIA...CORYDON...CYNTHIANA...DANVILLE...
ELIZABETHTOWN...FRANKFORT...FRANKLIN...GLASGOW...HARDINSBURG...
HARRODSBURG...JASPER...LEITCHFIELD...LEXINGTON...LOUISVILLE...
NEW ALBANY...RICHMOND...RUSSELLVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...STANFORD...
VERSAILLES...WINCHESTER
1020 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA AND
CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS THIS AFTERNOON
LOOK TO BE FOR AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND WEST OF I-65, WITH THE BEST
CHANCES TONIGHT FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-64. THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER HAS FORECAST A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS, WITH
DAMAGING WINDS, HEAVY RAINFALLS, AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING THE
MAIN THREATS.

IN ADDITION, MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE FORECAST TO REACH 100 TO 105
DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. REMEMBER TO TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS AND DRINK
PLENTY OF WATER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE OUTLOOK AREA. A FEW OF THE
STORMS COULD REACH SEVERE LEVELS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE COLD FRONT.
IN ADDITION, HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE 100 TO 105
DEGREE RANGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

XXV

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 5, 2:31 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
331 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0326 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CANEYVILLE              37.42N 86.49W
07/05/2004                   GRAYSON            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWNED.

&&

MRC

Local storm report, Jul 5, 2:45 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
345 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BRANDENBURG             38.00N 86.18W
07/05/2004                   MEADE              KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS MEADE COUNTY

&&

RL

Local storm report, Jul 5, 2:46 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
346 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     TSTM WND GST     BOWLING GREEN           36.97N 86.44W
07/05/2004  55 MPH           WARREN             KY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

XXV

Local storm report, Jul 5, 2:47 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
347 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BOWLING GREEN           36.97N 86.44W
07/05/2004                   WARREN             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN COUNTY WIDE.

&&

MRC

Local storm report, Jul 5, 2:49 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
349 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LANESVILLE              38.24N 85.98W
07/05/2004                   HARRISON           IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN FROM LACONIA TO LANESVILLE

&&

RL

Local storm report, Jul 5, 2:55 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
355 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0326 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SUNFISH                 37.30N 86.37W
07/05/2004                   EDMONSON           KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

MRC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 4, 7:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt	35 min
Jul 4, 7:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Spencer	37 min
Jul 5, 1:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hancock, Ohio	56 min
Jul 5, 1:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hancock, Ohio	61 min
Jul 5, 1:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler	45 min
Jul 5, 1:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Logan	44 min
Jul 5, 1:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge	42 min
Jul 5, 2:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Grayson	45 min
Jul 5, 2:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Meade	40 min
Jul 5, 2:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt	49 min
Jul 5, 2:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Simpson, Warren	45 min
Jul 5, 2:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Edmonson	41 min
Jul 5, 2:23 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Warren	37 min
Jul 5, 2:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hardin	44 min
Jul 5, 2:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Allen	30 min
Jul 5, 2:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Jefferson	46 min
Jul 5, 2:35 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Logan	85 min
Jul 5, 2:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hart	34 min
Jul 5, 2:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Larue, Nelson	44 min
Jul 5, 2:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Barren	42 min
Jul 5, 2:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Monroe	54 min
Jul 5, 3:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Green, Taylor	43 min
Jul 5, 3:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Marion, Washington	40 min
Jul 5, 3:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Oldham	36 min
Jul 5, 3:12 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Monroe	33 min
Jul 5, 3:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Metcalfe	44 min
Jul 5, 3:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry, Shelby	38 min
Jul 5, 3:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clinton, Cumberland	50 min
Jul 5, 3:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Adair	26 min
Jul 5, 3:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Anderson, Franklin	35 min
Jul 5, 3:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Boyle, Mercer	36 min
Jul 5, 3:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Casey	43 min
Jul 5, 3:50 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Cumberland	85 min
Jul 5, 3:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Woodford	29 min
Jul 5, 3:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Russell	33 min
Jul 5, 3:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Fayette, Jessamine	43 min
Jul 5, 4:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Garrard, Lincoln	45 min
Jul 5, 4:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clark, Madison	36 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2004 Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.