Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Lake Charles, LA

June 25, 2004Jefferson County, Texas

NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this flash flood warning at Jun 25, 2004, 5:51 AM CDT for Jefferson County, Texas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 25, 2004, 5:51 AM CDT (10:51 UTC)
Expired: Jun 25, 2004, 8:45 AM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Lake Charles, LA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Jefferson County, TX

The radar

The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 104 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 724 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: -0.0
Supercell composite: -0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KLCH 251052
FFWLCH
TXC245-251345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
551 AM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

* UNTIL 845 AM CDT.

* AT 547 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  FLASH FLOODING FROM A THUNDERSTORM NEAR HAMSHIRE...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PORT
  NECHES...PORT ARTHUR...NEDERLAND...HAMSHIRE...GROVES...CENTRAL
  GARDENS AND BEAUMONT.

HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS RAPIDLY...SO DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE WHERE WATERS OF AN UNKNOWN DEPTH COVERS THE ROAD.

CALL 337-477-5285 TO REPORT FLOODING TO THE WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3007 9441 2989 9433 2966 9432 2980 9395
      2996 9389 3004 9407 3016 9415

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 25, 3:24 AM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 3:24 AM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
324 AM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004

.DISCUSSION...THE FCST AREA SAW WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY THURSDAY AS YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVED ACROSS THE REGION.
QUICK GLANCE AT PRECIPITATION TOTALS SHOWING WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCH
RAIN TOTALS WITH SEVERAL POCKETS OF 5 INCHES PLUS.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWING HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE
GULF WATERS MAINTAINING A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
STATIONARY BOUNDARY OF THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS THAT EXTENDED FROM MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO EAST CENTRAL TEXAS HAS ESSENTIALLY WASHED
OUT. NEXT FRONT IN LINE EXTENDS FROM OHIO VALLEY WEST AND
SOUTHWEST INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. IN THE MID LEVELS...REGION
REMAINS IN VERY ACTIVE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BETWEEN SUBTROPICAL HIGH
OVER GULF AND EAST TEXAS TROF.

FAIRLY STRAIGHT-FORWARD FORECAST AS THE ABOVE SYNOPTIC PATTERN
CHANGES LITTLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WILL REMAIN IN VERY
TROPICAL AIRMASS WITH PWS REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 2 INCHES...WITH AN
OCCASIONAL IMPULSE COMING THROUGH TO TRIGGER POTENTIALLY HEAVY
RAINS.  AFOREMENTIONED FRONT SHOULD STALL NORTH OF REGION MORE IN
LINE WITH ETA SOLUTION.

&&

.SHORT-TERM...CURRENTLY SEEING NEXT SHORTWAVE APPROACHING
EAST TEXAS WHICH WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING COASTAL CONVERGENCE TO
DEVELOP ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION. OTHER IMPULSES OMINOUSLY LINING
UP BEHIND. WILL ONCE AGAIN CARRY CATEGORICAL POPS FOR THE REGION
TODAY AND WILL MAINTAIN FFA. FFG EXCEPTIONALLY LOW FROM LAST FEW DAYS
RAINS. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POTENTIAL AHEAD. LOOK FOR SIMILAR RAIN
CHANCES FOR SATURDAY AND A CONTINUATION OF THE FLOOD WATCH.

&&

.LONG-TERM...LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY POPS
WELL ABOVE SEASONABLE NORMS.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
LCH  84  71  85  73  /  80  50  70  40
BPT  84  71  86  72  /  80  50  70  40
AEX  83  69  86  69  /  80  50  70  40
LFT  83  72  84  73  /  80  50  70  40

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FFA CONTINUES FOR LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055.
TX...FFA CONTINUES FOR TXZ180>182-201-215-216.

&&

MARCOTTE

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 3:56 AM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
356 AM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004

GMZ450-455-470-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-
260954-
ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-CAMERON-
CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-EVANGELINE-HARDIN-IBERIA-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-
LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO CAMERON, LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-LOWER ST MARTIN-
NEWTON-ORANGE-RAPIDES-ST LANDRY-ST MARY-TYLER-UPPER ST MARTIN-
VERMILION-VERNON-
356 AM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
THE REGION REMAINS UNDER A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. SEVERAL
UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES MOVING OVERHEAD WILL MAINTAIN WIDESPREAD
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGHOUT THE DAY. RAIN AMOUNTS
OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE COMMON...WITH ISOLATED 5 INCHES
POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS NOT IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT...BUT MAY BE
REQUIRED SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...A VERY UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. HEAVY RAINS WILL REMAIN A THREAT WITH THE
POSSIBILITY FOR FLOODING. FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED IN THE
COMING DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS, HAM RADIO OPERATORS, AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...
WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY.

MARCOTTE

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2004 Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.