Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004
Flash Flood Warning 30, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood warning at Mar 12, 2004, 1:15 PM CST for Lamar County, Marion County, Mississippi. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 12, 2004, 1:15 PM CST (19:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 12, 2004, 6:00 PM CST
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Lamar County, MS, Marion County, MS
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1515 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 104 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS54 KJAN 121919 FFWJAN MSC073-091-130000- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 115 PM CST FRI MAR 12 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... LAMAR COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI * UNTIL 600 PM CST IT HAS BEEN REPORTED BY THE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICES FROM MARION AND LAMAR COUNTIES THAT THE BIG BAY LAKE DAM LOCATED ON BAY CREEK IN LAMAR COUNTY FAILED AT 1235 PM CST. THE WATER FROM THE FAILED DAM WILL TRAVEL DOWN LOWER LITTLE CREEK OVER THE NEXT 3 TO 5 HOURS. ROADS THAT COULD BE EFFECTED WILL BE TATUM SALT DOME ROAD...CANEY CHURCH ROAD...LUTHER-SAUCIER ROAD AND EVENTUALLY PINE BURR ROAD. THIS WATER COULD EVENTUALLY EFFECT THE CITY OF PINEBUR IN MARION COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG LOW LYING AREAS. WATER IS ALREADY COVERING COLUMBIA PURVIS ROAD ON BAY CREEK. PERSONS LIVING IN OR NEAR THE FLOOD AREA SHOULD MOVE TO HIGH GROUND IMMEDIATELY. LAT...LON 3122 8954 3103 8954 3105 8978 3121 8976 $$
2 follow-up statements
000 WGUS74 KJAN 122110 FFSJAN MSC073-091-130000- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 308 PM CST FRI MAR 12 2004 FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR... LAMAR COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI UNTIL 6 PM CST. THE BIG BAY LAKE DAM HAS FAILED. FLOODING FROM THIS DAM BREAK WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 6 PM FOR LOCATIONS ALONG LOWER LITTLE CREEK...GENERALLY FROM TATUM SALT DOME ROAD IN LAMAR COUNTY TO THE COMMUNITY OF PINEBUR IN MARION COUNTY. AS OF 245 PM...BIG BAY LAKE IS EMPTY...ALL THE WATER IS FLOWING DOWN THE LOWER LITTLE CREEK AND WATER IS STARTING TO RECEDE JUST BELOW THE DAM. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE WATER IS 2 TO 4 FT AND IS JUST WEST OF THE LAMAR MARION COUNTY LINE. WATER COULD REACH 6 TO 8 FT ABOVE CURRENT LEVELS AT LOCATIONS BETWEEN PINE BURR ROAD AND WHERE HIGHWAY 13 CROSSES LOWER LITTLE CREEK IN PINEBUR. WATER IS EXPECTED TO REACH PINEBUR BETWEEN 330 PM AND 4 PM. WATER SHOULD REACH THE PEARL RIVER BETWEEN 530 PM AND 6 PM. WATER LEVELS COULD RISE 1 TO 1.5 FEET IN THE MAIN STREAM OF THE PEARL RIVER FROM THE MOUTH OF LOWER LITTLE CREEK TO HUNT BLUFF LATER THIS EVENING. WATER LEVELS SHOULD STAY BELOW FLOOD LEVELS ALONG THE PEARL RIVER IN MARION COUNTY. $$ ENTREMONT
000 WGUS74 KJAN 122241 FFSJAN MSC073-091-130000- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 440 PM CST FRI MAR 12 2004 FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR... LAMAR COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI UNTIL 6 PM CST. THE BIG BAY LAKE DAM ON LOWER LITTLE CREEK HAS FAILED. FLOODING FROM THIS DAM BREAK WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 6 PM FOR LOCATIONS ALONG LOWER LITTLE CREEK IN LAMAR AND MARION COUNTIES. BIG BAY LAKE IS EMPTY... ALL THE WATER IS FLOWING DOWN THE LOWER LITTLE CREEK AND WATER IS STARTING TO RECEDE JUST BELOW THE DAM. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS IN MARION COUNTY REPORT THAT WATER LEVELS OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE OCCURRING ALONG LOWER LITTLE CREEK NEAR THE COMMUNITY OF PINEBUR IN SOUTHERN MARION COUNTY. WATER IS STILL RISING NEAR THE TOWN OF PINEBUR. THE WATER IS FLOWING AT A VERY HIGH VELOCITY...AND POSES SIGNIFICANT DANGER TO PEOPLE LIVING IN HOMES IN LOW LYING AREAS AND IN AREAS WHERE IT IS MOVING ACROSS ROADWAYS. BETWEEN NOW AND 530 PM...HIGH WATER SHOULD BE NEAR THE COMMUNITY OF HUB AND WHERE HIGHWAY 13 CROSSES LOWER LITTLE CREEK. WATER RISES OF SEVERAL FEET ABOVE NORMAL FLOW ARE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS...AND WATER COULD APPROACH OR EVEN POSSIBLY FLOW ACROSS THE ROADWAY AT THE HIGHWAY 13 BRIDGE. TO THE WEST OF HIGHWAY 13...THE WATER RISE SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH SOMEWHAT AS THE WATER FROM THE DAM ENTERS THE FLOOD PLAIN OF THE PEARL RIVER. WATER LEVELS COULD RISE 1 TO 1.5 FEET IN THE MAIN CHANNEL OF THE PEARL RIVER FROM THE MOUTH OF LOWER LITTLE CREEK TO HUNT BLUFF LATER THIS EVENING. WATER LEVELS SHOULD STAY BELOW FLOOD LEVELS ALONG THE PEARL RIVER IN MARION COUNTY. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION DO NOT DRIVE YOUR CAR IN AREAS WHERE WATER IS CROSSING THE ROADWAY. IF YOU ARE IN A LOW LYING AREA ALONG LOWER LITTLE CREEK IN MARION COUNTY...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PLEASE HEED ANY RECOMMENDATIONS PROVIDED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OR LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. $$ AG/MP
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Mar 12, 11:40 AM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 11:40 AM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1140 AM CST FRI MAR 12 2004 .DISCUSSION...NOT MUCH TO CHANGE WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST EXCEPT FOR THE CLOUD COVER. ONLY CLOUDS AFFECTING THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE SOME CIRRUS. THE THICKEST CIRRUS IS STILL WELL TO OUR WEST AND SHOULD MOVE EAST AND INCREASE OVER THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THIS WILL MENTION MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. THE EXCEPTION BEING THE FAR WEST AND WILL WORD INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS THERE. REST OF THE FORECAST ON TRACK AS TEMPS LOOK TO FALL IN LINE WITH EARLIER FORECAST VALUES. ONLY OTHER ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE DEW PT AND RH GRIDS. HERE JUST LOWERED THE VALUES AS MIXING IS BRINGING DOWN DRIER AIR AND THE DEW PTS ARE NOW IN THE UPPER 20 TO MID 30S. && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. LA...NONE. MS...NONE. && 36/ENTREMONT
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 12:14 PM CST, 1 hour 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1214 PM CST FRI MAR 12 2004 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 131814- ADAMS-ASHLEY-ATTALA-BOLIVAR-CARROLL-CATAHOULA-CHICOT-CHOCTAW- CLAIBORNE-CLARKE-CLAY-CONCORDIA-COPIAH-COVINGTON-EAST CARROLL- FORREST-FRANKLIN LA-FRANKLIN MS-GRENADA-HINDS-HOLMES-HUMPHREYS- ISSAQUENA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-JONES-KEMPER-LAMAR- LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEAKE-LEFLORE-LINCOLN-LOWNDES-MADISON LA- MADISON MS-MARION-MONTGOMERY-MOREHOUSE-NESHOBA-NEWTON-NOXUBEE- OKTIBBEHA-RANKIN-RICHLAND-SCOTT-SHARKEY-SIMPSON-SMITH-SUNFLOWER- TENSAS-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WEST CARROLL-WINSTON-YAZOO- 1214 PM CST FRI MAR 12 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH FRIDAY MARCH 19TH. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 5:55 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Lamar, Marion | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.