Flash Flood Warning 19, NWS Northern Indiana

000 
WGUS73 KIWX 040255
FFSIWX
OHC003-161-040730-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1053 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES...

THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR

  WESTERN ALLEN COUNTY IN OHIO
  SOUTHEASTERN VAN WERT COUNTY IN OHIO

UNTIL 330 AM EDT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST VAN WERT AND WESTERN 
ALLEN COUNTIES IN OHIO LATE THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS WERE SLOWLY 
MOVING NORTHEAST. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES BETWEEN 4 AND 6 INCHES OF 
RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS THIS AREA. AN ADDITIONAL HALF TO ONE INCH OF 
RAINFALL IS STILL POSSIBLE BEFORE THE RAIN ENDS OVERNIGHT.

LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS HAVE 
REPORTED SEVERAL STATE AND COUNTY ROADS HAVE BEEN CLOSED DUE TO 
HIGH STANDING WATER AND FLOWING WATER. 

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS 
OBSERVED...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT. KNOW WHERE YOU
ARE RELATIVE TO STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
609 PM EST FRI SEP 3 2004

.AVIATION...
A CLUSTER OF STORMS NEAR FWA HAD DEVELOPED BEHIND THE MAIN VORT MAX
THAT DRIFTED NORTH EARLIER TODAY. WILL KEEP A TEMPO GROUP FOR STORMS
IN FWA THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE...EXPECT SHOWERS AND STORMS TO
DISSIPATE OR BE NORTHEAST OF FWA BY 03Z. PLENTY OF MOISTURE FOR FOG
TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS ALREADY DOWN TO 4 TO 6
DEGREES.  WILL KEEP IFR VSBY LATER TONIGHT AS RADIATION FOG SHOULD
FORM.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...VORT MAX WAS CONTINUING TO LIFT NORTH INTO
LOWER MI AND MOST SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY HAD WEAKENED OR MOVED
NORTH OUT OF THE AREA. ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE DEVELOPING FROM LAF TO
MIE WITH DIURNAL HEATING...BUT EXPECT ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT DEVELOP
OVER AREAS THAT HAVE STABILIZED WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY.
THEREFORE...HAVE LEFT MENTION OF LINGERING SHOWERS NE OF A LINE FROM
SBN TO AOH THIS EVENING. EXPECT FOG SHOULD DEVELOP AGAIN
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY GIVEN AMOUNT OF RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN
RECENTLY...SO HAVE MENTIONED AREAS OF FOG. LEFT A CHANCE FOR STORMS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS ATMOSPHERE SHOULD DESTABILIZE WITH DAYTIME
HEATING.

&&

.LONG TERM...
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE AREA AT START OF LONG TERM PERIOD SHOULD
PROVIDE FAIR WX SAT NGT-SUN NGT. LIGHT WINDS AND MOIST LOW
LEVELS SHOULD LEAD TO SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT AGAIN SAT NGT.  LOW
LEVELS WILL LIKELY BECOME WEAKLY UNSTABLE SUN AFTN, POSSIBLY LEADING
TO AN ISOLD SHOWER, BUT WARM TEMPS IN MID LEVELS SHOULD CAP ANY
CONVECTION, THUS, CONTINUED WITH DRY FCST. DEEP TROUGH OVER WRN U.S.
TODAY EXPECTED TO WKN AS IT MOVES EAST TOWARD ERN U.S. RIDGE...
REACHING WRN GRTLKS ON MONDAY AS A FAIRLY WEAK SYSTEM. ASSOCIATED
SFC FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL OVER THE AREA DUE TO REMNANTS OF FRANCES
MOVING NORTH INTO THE UPR OH VALLEY...CONTINUED WITH CHC OF SHOWERS
INTO WED WEST AND THROUGH WED NGT IN OH COUNTIES. FAIR WX EXPECTED
THU AS RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. GFS/DGEX FCSTG ANOTHER NRN
STREAM SHRTWV TO MOVE EAST INTO GRTLKS FRI. ECMWF/GEM CONSIDERABLY
WEAKER WITH THIS FEATURE BUT STILL ENOUGH SUPPORT TO MENTION CHC
TSTMS FRI. TEMPS WILL BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THIS
PERIOD AND ONLY MINOR CHANGES NEEDED TO MOS TEMPS.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE
OH...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SKIP
LONG TERM...LASHLEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
524 AM EST FRI SEP 3 2004...CORRECTED DAY ONE

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-041000-
ADAMS-ALLENIN-ALLENOH-BERRIEN-BLACKFORD-BRANCH-CASSIN-CASSMI-
DEFIANCE-DEKALB-ELKHART-FULTONIN-FULTONOH-GRANT-HENRY-HILLSDALE-
HUNTINGTON-JAY-KOSCIUSKO-LAGRANGE-LAPORTE-MARSHALL-MIAMI-NOBLE-
PAULDING-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ST JOSEPHIN-ST JOSEPHMI-STARKE-STEUBEN-
VAN WERT-WABASH-WELLS-WHITE-WHITLEY-WILLIAMS-
524 AM EST FRI SEP 3 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN INDIANA...NORTHWEST
OHIO AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...
HOWEVER NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY...WITH A FEW STORMS POSSIBLY SEVERE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

T