Flash Flood Warning 26, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WGUS73 KICT 280213
FFSICT
KSC035-280700-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
911 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR COWLEY COUNTY UNTIL 200 AM
CDT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 3 TO 4 INCHES OF 
RAINFALL HAD FALLEN OVER NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF COWLEY COUNTY.   

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE ATLANTA...BURDEN...CAMBRIDGE...UDALL
AND WINFIELD.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...ROADS AND AREAS WITH POOR
DRAINAGE.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3746 9656 3723 9661 3709 9713 3746 9712

$$

/KETCHAM

NNNN

000 
WGUS73 KICT 280610
FFSICT
KSC035-280700-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
110 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR COWLEY COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

RADAR INDICATED ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING OVER EXTREME 
NORTHERN COWLEY COUNTY. SOME MINOR FLOODING MAY OCCUR, ESPECIALLY NEAR 
THE BUTLER COUNTY LINE, BUT THE THREAT OF SERIOUS FLOODING IS ENDING. 
THUS...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS BEING CANCELLED.

WITH THE GROUNDS SOAKED FROM THE EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAD OCCURRED
IN THE PREVIOUSLY WARNED AREA, THE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM VENTURING 
NORTHEAST OVER EXTREME NORTHERN COWLEY COUNTY MAY CAUSE SOME MINOR 
RUNOFF, ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING ATREAS, BUT NO SERIOUS FLOODING WILL 
RESULT.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3745 9655 3702 9655 3702 9711 3745 9711

$$

/ES

NNNN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TO ADD FLOOD WATCH.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
718 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

.DISCUSSION...

MESOSCALE UPDATE:

IN NEAR TERM CLUSTER OVR BUTLER/NW COWLEY AND ERN SUMNER ARE PRIMARY
CONCERN.  SML BULLSEYE IN LLVL CAPE/HELICITY IN ERN COWLEY COUNTY.
LANDSPOUT TYPE TORNADO THREAT WL MOST LIKELY BE BRIEF AND LOCALIZED,
WHERE FAVORABLE BOUNDARY INTERSECTIONS AND RAPID UPDRAFT DVLPMT ACRS
SUMNER/COWLEY.  TORNADOES SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED AND BRIEF.

OUTFLOW NOT PROGRESSING VERY FAR SE, SO THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN WL
CONTINUE WITH TRAINING ECHOES NW OF OUTFLOW BNDRY.  -HOWERTON

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

330 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

MAIN CONCERN WILL BE CONVECTION BREAKING THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
WITH HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL. THEN ENDING OF SHOWERS SATURDAY.

THIS EVE-TNGT:
WAVY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM STJ-MHK-HUT. LOTS OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AND VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AHEAD OF THE FRONT GENERALLY
SE OF THE TURNPIKE.  WV SATL SHOWS WEAK S/WV MOVING OUT OF THE OK
PANHANDLE.  EXPECT RAPID TSRA DVLPMNT LATE THIS AFTN INTO THIS EVE
AS MID LEVEL CAP IS WEAKENED AS S/WV MOVES OVER THE AREA.  VERY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE, SO ONCE TSRA DVLPS, EXPECT THE STORMS TO
GO SVR RAPIDLY. SHEAR PROFILE IS UNIDIRECTIONAL ALONG THE BOUNDARY
SO MAIN SVR THREAT APPEARS TO BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
EXPECT INITIAL DVLPMNT OVER NW MO WITH TSRA BUILDING SW ALONG THE
FRONT INTO ERN KS AS CAP ERODES.

TSRA WILL SAG SLOWLY SOUTH INTO SERN KS TNGT WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SLOWING AS IT MOVES SE WITH UPR FLOW PARELLEL TO THE FRONT. SO
EXPECT SOME TRAINING OF TSRA ECHOES WITH HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE AS
RRQ OF THE UPPER LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO LOCATED ACROSS ERN HALF
OF KS FOR MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, ADDING TO THE UPPER LVL
DIFLUENCE TO PRODUCE VERY EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCERS OVERNIGHT.
HAVE ALREADY ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR SERN KS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL IN
MIND WITH PW VALUES APPROACHING 200 PERCENT AND 850H DWPTS IN THE
UPPER TEENS.

SAT:
EXPECT SOME SHRA/TSRA TO STILL BE GOING ACROSS SERN KS DURING THE
MORNING HOURS.  BUT EXPECT THE SHRA TO END BY AROUND 15Z/SAT AS
DOWNGLIDE KICKS IN ACROS MOST OF KS BRINGING AN END TO THE PRECIP.
WILL KEEP FLLOD WATCH GOING UNTIL AT LEAST 15Z AS FLOOD THREAT WILL
PROBABLY BE ONGOING DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.  WILL ALSO START TO
CLEAR OUT CLOUD COVER BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS DOWNGLIDE ERODES THE
CLOUD COVER.  FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL ALSO BRING IN SOME MORE
UNSEASONABLY COOLER AIR WITH

SUN-TUE:
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE PLAINS FOR AN EXTENDED STAY
LATE SAT INTO SUN.  LOTS OF SUNSHINE AROUND BUT COOL AIRMASS WILL
KEEP TEMPS BELOW SEASONAL NUMBERS.

SFC RIDGE MOVES SE INTO OK/ARK FOR MON-TUE WITH MOISTURE RETURN
BASICALLY CUT OFF FROM THE PLAINS.

TUE-THU:
WILL KEEP THE REST OF THE EXTENDED DRY AS WEAK UPPER RIDGE AND SW
FLOW RETURNS TO THE PLAINS.  MOISTURE RETURN APPEARS TO STAY SOUTH
AND WEST OF THE AREA DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WITH ANY SIGNIFICANT
S/WV STAYING NW OF THE AREA SO DRY WX WITH A SLOW WARMING PERIOD
DURING THE WEEK.

&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    64  79  56  81 /  60  20   5   0
HUTCHINSON      62  79  55  82 /  40  10   0   0
NEWTON          63  78  56  81 /  50  10   5   0
ELDORADO        65  78  56  81 /  70  20   5   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   66  80  59  81 /  90  20   5   0
RUSSELL         58  78  54  82 /  10   5   0   0
GREAT BEND      59  79  54  82 /  10  10   0   0
SALINA          60  81  55  84 /  30  10   0   0
MCPHERSON       61  79  55  82 /  40  10   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     69  80  60  80 /  90  50   5   0
CHANUTE         67  78  59  79 /  90  50   5   0
IOLA            67  78  58  79 /  90  50   5   0
&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
&&

22/KETCHAM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
345 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-281200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
345 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP MAINLY EAST OF A WICHITA TO
HILLSBORO LINE AFTER 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN
THREATS. THE MAJORITY OF THE STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 20 TO 25
MPH, BUT THE STRONGER STORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS ACROSS AREAS EAST OF THE
KANSAS TURNPIKE OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD ALSO BECOME
SEVERE, BUT THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS, WHICH MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS.  SEE THE LATEST FLOOD PRODUCT FOR MORE INFORMATION
ABOUT THIS FLOODING THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME TO AN END ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS BY AROUND
NOON SATURDAY. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AND THE
HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL DIMINISH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING, MAINLY EAST
OF THE TURNPIKE. RAINFALL AND FLOODING REPORTS WOULD ALSO BE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/ICT/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

COX/KETCHAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
737 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TORNADO          3 S WELLINGTON          37.23N 97.40W
08/27/2004                   SUMNER             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

LFW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
738 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0737 PM     TORNADO          1 E OXFORD              37.27N 97.15W
08/27/2004                   SUMNER             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

LFW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
750 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0749 PM     TORNADO          3 S WELLINGTON          37.23N 97.40W
08/27/2004                   SUMNER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LFW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
759 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     TORNADO          WELLINGTON              37.27N 97.40W
08/27/2004                   SUMNER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO STATIONARY.

&&

LFW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
800 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     TORNADO          3 S WELLINGTON          37.23N 97.40W
08/27/2004                   SUMNER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO STATIONARY.

&&

LFW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
801 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     HAIL             1 W WINFIELD            37.27N 96.99W
08/27/2004  1.00 INCH        COWLEY             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LFW