Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 147, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

May 21, 2004O'Brien County, Iowa

NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 21, 2004, 9:33 PM CDT for O'Brien County, Iowa. It was in force for 42 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 21, 2004, 9:33 PM CDT (02:33 UTC)
Expired: May 21, 2004, 10:15 PM CDT
In force: 42 min
Issued by: NWS Sioux Falls, SD
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County O'Brien County, IA

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 21, 9:45 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	2 E Calumet, A
May 21, 9:45 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	2 E Calumet, A

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 21, 2:45 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 203 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2589 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1462 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 166 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.6
Supercell composite: 6.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFSD 220233
SVRFSD
IAC141-220315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
933 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  OBRIEN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST IOWA

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 930 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
  HAIL.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9
  MILES WEST OF PAULLINA TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SUTHERLAND...OR FROM
  11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ORANGE CITY TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  SPENCER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  SUTHERLAND...PAULLINA AROUND 940 PM CDT
  ARCHER AROUND 1005 PM CDT
  PRIMGHAR AROUND 1010 PM CDT
  SANBORN...HARTLEY AROUND 1015 PM CDT

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. PREPARE TO
MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4293 9586 4310 9574 4321 9569 4320 9556
          4316 9540 4293 9541

$$

JRM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sioux Falls, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 21, 3:00 PM CDT, 6 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 21, 3:00 PM CDT, 6 hours 33 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
300 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

.DISCUSSION...

FIRST SHOT OF CONVECTION GOIGN OVER SERN CRNR OF AREA AND EWD. XCPCT
MORE ACTVTY TO DVLP A LTL LATR FRTHR WWD WITH ACTVTY SPRDG NEWD WITH
TIME THIS EVE. WILL KEEP A PRETTY GOOD SHOT OF SHWRS AND TSTMS WITH
MENTN OF SVR/HVY RAIN ESPLY SERN PART OF AREA. EXPCT ACTVTY TO KEEP
UP WELL INTO THE NGT THO SVR THREAT WILL GRDLY DCRS.

ACTVTY SHUD BE AT A MIN BY ERY SAT MRNG IN CONTRAST TO THIS MRNG. AS
SHRTWV APPCHS SHWRS AND TSTMS SHUD INCRS SAT AFTN...THAT IS ERYR
THAN TDA. SVR THREAT SAT SHUD BE MAINLY SERN CRNR OF AREA WITH NO
SVR THREAT UP N...IN CONTRAST TO TNGT WHERE THERE IS SOME THREAT
FROM HON YO BKX. ETA MAY BE TOO FAR S WITH FNT/SFC LO THO NGM AND
GFS MAY BE A LTL TOO FAR N. IN ANY EVENT EXPCT DECENT ROUND OF WET
WX LATE SAT AND SAT NGT.

PCPN WILL PRBLY BE A LTL SLOWER TO MOVE OUT SUN THAN WE HAVE BEEN
CARRYNG...BUT SHUD BE OUT BY LATE IN THE DAY. STILL A LOT OF QSTNS
ON MON THREAT SO WILL KEEP GOING GNLY AS WE HAVE HAD IT...WITH A
GNRL FCST OF CHC SHWRS TSTMS MON INTO ERY MON EVE. WE HAVE BEEN
CARRYNG SVR THREAT IN HWO WITH THIS SYS THO MAY BE HARD TO RECOVER
AMS ENUF TO PRODUCE SVR AFTER SUN COOLNG.

EXTNDED PD NOW LOOKS MOSTLY DRY FOR TUE THRU THU...BUT WILL KEEP
SOME CHC COOL AIR SHWRS NWRN PART OF AREA IN COORDINATION WITH
SURROUNDING FCSTS. OTRW DRY AND RELTVLY COOL TIL ANOTHER SYS
APPARNTLY COMES IN FOR FRI...DAY 7. EVEN THAT FAR AHD SEEMS GOOD
ENUF CHC TO MENTN IN FCST.

TEMPS NEXT CPL DAYS WILL SHOW A WARM SE TO COOLR N PATTERN. BY
EXTNDED PD TEMPS SHUD BE MORE GNRLY COOL...WARMNG UP A LTL BY END OF
PD.

&&

.FSD...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.

&&

WILLIAMS

Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 11:55 AM CDT, 9 hours 38 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1155 AM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-221200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER SOUTHEAST SOUTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND EXTREME
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS A
WARM FRONT MOVES SLOWLY NORTH OVER NORTHERN NEBRASKA. THESE
STORMS MAY RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE WITH VERY LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE.
DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO DEVELOP AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF
TONIGHT.

FLOODING...
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY
THIS EVENING AND INCREASE DURING TONIGHT MAY CAUSE HEAVY RAIN.
LOCAL FLOODING WOULD BE POSSIBLE IF REPEAT EPISODES OF HEAVY RAIN
MOVE OVER AN AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER FROM FAR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA TO
NORTHWEST IOWA THROUGH SATURDAY. SEVERE STORMS WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90 WITH HEAVY RAINS THE MAIN THREAT
TO THE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 90...MAINLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST MAY BRING A
CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OR HEAVY RAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY AFTER 5 PM TODAY.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FSD. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

WILLIAMS

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 21, 5:41 PM CDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
541 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     HAIL             7 SW LINN GROVE         42.82N 95.34W
05/21/2004  1.00 INCH        BUENA VISTA        IA   PUBLIC

            MOSTLY 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH HAIL

&&

JC

Local storm report, May 21, 6:03 PM CDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
603 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             7 SE SPENCER            43.07N 95.05W
05/21/2004  1.50 INCH        CLAY               IA   PUBLIC

&&

JC

Local storm report, May 21, 6:24 PM CDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
624 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             5 W WEBB                42.95N 95.11W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        CLAY               IA   PUBLIC

&&

JC

Local storm report, May 21, 6:39 PM CDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
639 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     HAIL             5 NE GILLETT GROVE      43.07N 94.97W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        CLAY               IA   PUBLIC

&&

JC

Local storm report, May 21, 8:45 PM CDT, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
845 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0837 PM     HAIL             SUTHERLAND              42.97N 95.50W
05/21/2004  0.88 INCH        OBRIEN            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0818 PM     HAIL             6 N ELK POINT           42.77N 96.68W
05/21/2004  0.88 INCH        UNION              SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0814 PM     HAIL             4 NW ELK POINT          42.72N 96.74W
05/21/2004  1.00 INCH        UNION              SD   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

BUSS

Local storm report, May 21, 9:17 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
917 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0901 PM     HAIL             4 W MERRILL             42.72N 96.33W
05/21/2004  2.75 INCH        PLYMOUTH           IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

0910 PM     HAIL             LE MARS                 42.79N 96.17W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        PLYMOUTH           IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

BUSS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 21, 8:19 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FSD	Plymouth	41 min
May 21, 8:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Clay, O'Brien	23 min
May 21, 8:56 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FSD	Plymouth	49 min
May 21, 9:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Cherokee	35 min
May 21, 9:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Clay	27 min
May 21, 9:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Buena Vista, Cherokee, Woodbury	31 min
May 21, 10:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Clay	33 min
May 21, 10:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Plymouth	31 min
May 21, 10:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Buena Vista	16 min
May 21, 11:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Ida, Woodbury	23 min
May 21, 11:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Woodbury	25 min
May 22, 12:03 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FSD	Cherokee, Clay, O'Brien, Plymouth	87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.