Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

000 
WGUS73 KFSD 300402
FFSFSD
SDC099-101-300715-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1100 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 215 AM CDT FOR MINNEHAHA
AND MOODY COUNTIES...

THE VERY HEAVY RAINS HAVE DECREASED LATE THIS EVENING...BUT MORE 
HEAVY RAIN SHOULD REDEVELOP THROUGH 2 AM CDT. ANOTHER ONE INCH OF 
RAIN IS POSSIBLE THE REST OF TONIGHT. 

WIDESPREAD URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING HAS OCCURRED WITH THE
3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL THIS EVENING. OFFICIALLY 3.94 INCHES OF 
RAIN WAS RECORDED SO FAR THIS EVENING AT SIOUX FALLS AIRPORT.
RAINFALL REPORTS TO 5.5 INCHES WERE RECEIVED IN CENTRAL SIOUX FALLS. 
WATER UP TO TWO FEET DEEP OVER ROADS HAS STRANDED VEHICLES.

SKUNK CREEK HAS GONE OVER FLOOD STAGE IN SOME PLACES...INCLUDING
AT HARTFORD. IT IS LIKELY SOME AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS WILL GO OVER 
FLOOD STAGE...ESPECIALLY IN THE SIOUX FALLS AREA AND POINTS SOUTH 
AND EAST. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 4352 9647 4352 9712 4418 9672 4420 9647

$$
RSR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
307 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

.DISCUSSION...
FOCUS FOR FORECAST IS THE POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR
TONIGHT ACROSS THE CWA.  AT 19Z...TWO WARM FRONTS EVIDENT...FIRST
FRONT IS FROM N OF KABR TO KJYG.  THE SECOND FRONT OR OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY BOUNDARY EXTEND FROM NE KMHE TO KSLB. MSTR APPEARS TO BE
POOLING THE VICINITY OF THIS FRONT WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID 60S
AND TEMPS 80 TO 85.  STRONG CAP STILL EVIDENT ON KABR AND KOAX BUT
HEATING COMBINED WITH WEAK COLD ADVECTION OVER COLD FRONT AND WEAK
ASCENT AHEAD OF UPPER WAVE MOVING INTO NEBRASKA.  EXPECT DEVELOPMENT
BETWEEN 21Z AND 22Z IN CWA.  AMPLE 0-3 KM SHEAR AVAIABLE WITH 0-2 KM
VGP IN EXCESS OF 0.5 AND 0-1 KM EHI 2.4.  THE QUESTION IS THAT SHEAR
IN THE 3-6 KM IS FAIRLY MODEST BUT AS NIGHT PROGRESSES MID LEVEL
SHEAR SHOULD BE ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS.  ADD TO THIS
ADDITIONAL HORIZONTAL VORTICITY IN VICINITY OF BOUNDARIES...AND
TORNADOES ARE A THREAT...ESP ALONG THE WARM FRONT.  ALONG THE COLD
FRONT EXPECT TO START AS ISOLATED SUPERCELLS BUT THEN MERGE INTO A
SQUALL LINE WEST OF INTERSTATE 29.  PRIMARY THREAT WITH SHEAR IS
EMBEDDED BOW ECHOES WITH STRONG WINDS.  BOTH LOCATIONS HAVE A THREAT
OF LARGE HAIL.  FINALLY...COULD BE HEAVY RAIN WITH THE STORMS AND
WITH THE GROUND NEARLY SATURATED AND SMALL RIVERS NEAR BANKFULL IN
NW IA...WILL CONTINUE FLOOD WATCH TODAY.

AFTER TONIGHT...MAIN CONCERN IS INSTABILITY SHOWERS THROUGH THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEK.  KEPT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE DAY IN
THE KMML TO KSLB AREA AS TSRA DEPART.  THEN WITH HEATING OF DAY AND
STRONG COLD ADVECTION AT 700 MB...TEMPS BLO 0C...EXPECT SHOWERS WITH
ISOL TSRA TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON.  SHOULD BEGIN IN THE WRN
CWA AND THEN SPREAD ACROSS SE SD INTO NW IA AND SW MN.  LEAST CHC OF
PCPN WILL BE FROM KMML TO KSLB WHERE STABILITY IS HIGHEST. THE BEST
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL BE DURING THE EVENING IN THOSE AREAS.

WITH LOSS OF HEATING SHRA SHOULD DIE AFTER SUNSET.  THEN COLDER AIR
MOVES IN FOR MONDAY.  IN ADDITION A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE AROUND THE
UPPER LOW INCREASING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE NRN AND ERN CWA
BEGINNING LATE SUN NIGHT AND CONTINUING ON MONDAY.  THIS WILL HELP
KEEP TEMPS IN THE 60S IN MOST OF THE CWA EXCEPT ALONG THE MISSOURI
RIVER.  ON TUESDAY...THE MAIN UPPER LOW IS PROGGED TO MOVE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE CWA.  WILL ADD CONT CHC OF SHOWERS.  THE RAIN AND CLOUDS
WILL ALSO KEEP TEMPS IN MID TO UPPER 60S.

IN THE EXTENDED LOOKS DRY WED AND THU.  TEMPS WILL BE WARMING
THROUGH LATE WEEK AS WAA SETS UP.  THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF TSRA ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.FSD...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...ALL COUNTIES E OF A LINE FROM DE SMET TO TYNDALL.
MN...ALL COUNTIES IN SW MN.
IA...ALL COUNTIES IN NW IA.
NE...ALL COUNTIES IN EXTREME NE NEBRASKA.

&&

SCHUMACHER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1138 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-301200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
1138 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND AROUND THE
SIOUX CITY METRO AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH A
MODERATE RISK OVER THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.  LARGE HAIL UP TO 3 INCHES...
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE.  A WARM LAYER
OF AIR ALOFT... WHICH COULD SUPPRESS DEVELOPMENT...WILL BE THE
BIGGEST OBSTACLE TO OVERCOME IF THUNDERSTORMS ARE GOING TO
DEVELOP DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.

A WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED FROM NEAR CHAMBERLAIN...
SOUTHEAST BETWEEN INTERSTATE 90 AND THE MISSOURI RIVER...TO
AROUND STORM LAKE IOWA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.	STORMS THAT
DEVELOP NEAR THIS FRONT WILL HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG TORNADOES.

FLOODING...
HEAVY RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS. URBAN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE. PARTS OF THE LITTLE SIOUX RIVER COULD ALSO RISE ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE IF THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL OCCURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY AFTER 4 PM.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FSD. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

 HACKER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED ISSUANCE AND EXPIRATION DATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
350 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-292300-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-CHARLES MIX-
CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-DAVISON-
DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-IDA IA-
JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-LYON IA-LYON MN-
MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-OBRIEN IA-
OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-SIOUX IA-TURNER-
UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
400 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

...SEVERE WEATHER ALERT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 4 PM AND 6 PM ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWEST IOWA.  WITH
VERY UNSTABLE AIR OVER THE REGION...STORMS WILL RAPIDLY DEVELOP AND
BECOME SEVERE.  TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 90.  IN ADDITION...LARGE HAIL...LARGER THAN 2 INCHES...
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH STORMS THIS EVENING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.
FINALLY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES EAST...A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AFTER 7 PM.  DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 70 MPH COULD OCCUR AS THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVES EAST
TOWARD INTERSTATE 29 AND INTO NORTHWEST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA.

SCHUMACHER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
403 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     HAIL             7 SE MARTY              42.92N 98.33W
05/29/2004  1.75 INCH        CHARLES MIX        SD   PUBLIC

            HAIL LASTED FOR 4 MINUTES

&&

PS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
412 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0409 PM     HAIL             6 ESE MARTY             42.96N 98.32W
05/29/2004  1.75 INCH        CHARLES MIX        SD   PUBLIC

&&

PS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
702 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     HAIL             MONROE                  43.49N 97.22W
05/29/2004  0.88 INCH        TURNER             SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0518 PM     HAIL             5 S MADISON             43.94N 97.11W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        LAKE               SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0527 PM     HAIL             MARION                  43.42N 97.26W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        TURNER             SD   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0529 PM     HAIL             MONTROSE                43.70N 97.18W
05/29/2004  0.50 INCH        MCCOOK             SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

0537 PM     HAIL             9 W YANKTON             42.89N 97.57W
05/29/2004  0.88 INCH        YANKTON            SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0542 PM     HAIL             2 S UTICA               42.95N 97.50W
05/29/2004  0.88 INCH        YANKTON            SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0543 PM     HAIL             3 S UTICA               42.94N 97.50W
05/29/2004  1.00 INCH        YANKTON            SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0544 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 SW SIOUX FALLS        43.51N 96.77W
05/29/2004                   MINNEHAHA          SD   UNKNOWN

            SIOUX FALLS AIRPORT TOWER REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUDS AND WALL
            CLOUDS TOWARD WALL LAKE.

0545 PM     HAIL             5 W SIOUX FALLS         43.54N 96.83W
05/29/2004  1.00 INCH        MINNEHAHA          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0545 PM     HAIL             1 S UTICA               42.97N 97.50W
05/29/2004  1.75 INCH        YANKTON            SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0547 PM     HAIL             3 S HARTFORD            43.58N 96.94W
05/29/2004  1.00 INCH        MINNEHAHA          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0553 PM     HAIL             3 NE UTICA              43.01N 97.45W
05/29/2004  1.00 INCH        YANKTON            SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0603 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 SE HARTFORD           43.60N 96.92W
05/29/2004                   MINNEHAHA          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0607 PM     HAIL             4 W SIOUX FALLS         43.54N 96.81W
05/29/2004  0.88 INCH        MINNEHAHA          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0610 PM     HAIL             10 SW HURLEY            43.18N 97.23W
05/29/2004  1.75 INCH        TURNER             SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0610 PM     HAIL             1 W VIBORG              43.17N 97.10W
05/29/2004  1.75 INCH        TURNER             SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0628 PM     HAIL             VIBORG                  43.17N 97.08W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        TURNER             SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0620 PM     HAIL             5 N VIBORG              43.24N 97.08W
05/29/2004  1.00 INCH        TURNER             SD   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

TRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
731 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HAIL             3 SW MARION             43.39N 97.30W
05/29/2004  0.88 INCH        TURNER             SD   PUBLIC

0603 PM     HAIL             1 SW BADGER             44.48N 97.22W
05/29/2004  0.50 INCH        KINGSBURY          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0659 PM     HAIL             DELL RAPIDS             43.82N 96.71W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        MINNEHAHA          SD   PUBLIC

0706 PM     HAIL             3 S MADISON             43.97N 97.11W
05/29/2004  1.00 INCH        LAKE               SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

0720 PM     HAIL             TEA                     43.45N 96.84W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        LINCOLN            SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
819 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0733 PM     HAIL             3 S SIOUX FALLS         43.50N 96.73W
05/29/2004  0.50 INCH        LINCOLN            SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            84TH AND LOUISE IN SIOUX FALLS

0736 PM     HAIL             SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        MINNEHAHA          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            35TH AND PHILLIPS

0749 PM     HAIL             SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        MINNEHAHA          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0749 PM     HAIL             BRANDON                 43.59N 96.58W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        MINNEHAHA          SD   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0752 PM     HAIL             BRANDON                 43.59N 96.58W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        MINNEHAHA          SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

0752 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
05/29/2004                   MINNEHAHA          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER COVERS THE ROAD AND PEA SIZED HAIL ON SOUTH SIDE OF
            SIOUX FALLS.

0756 PM     HAIL             SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
05/29/2004  0.50 INCH        MINNEHAHA          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            900 SOUTH DULUTH IN SIOUX FALLS

0806 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
05/29/2004                   MINNEHAHA          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NE SIOUX FALLS 50 MPH WINDS AND 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN YARD.

0808 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
05/29/2004                   MINNEHAHA          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AREAS BETWEEN 26TH AND 10TH EXITS ARE FLOODED. NO CARS IN
            DITCHES.

&&

TRM