Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Grand Forks, ND

000 
WGUS73 KFGF 271730
FFSFGF
NDC063-271745-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1120 AM CST SAT MAR 27 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR NELSON COUNTY UNTIL 1145 AM
CST...

AT 1116 AM CST THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS NELSON 
COUNTY. 

RADAR ESTIMATES AND REPORTS FROM THE AREA INDICATE ONE TO TWO INCHES 
OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY OR 
FROM PEKIN THROUGH TOLNA...STUMP LAKE TO LAKOTA. THE RAIN IS FALLING 
ON FROZEN GROUND AND THE CULVERTS AND DITCHES IN THE AREA REMAIN ICE 
CONGESTED. WATER MAY BACKUP ONTO ROADWAYS. THE RAIN WILL ALSO 
INCREASE THE SNOWMELT RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL RUNOFF WHICH WILL 
CAUSE SMALL STREAM TO RISE QUICKLY. 

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE OVER FLOODED ROADWAYS. REPORT ANY FLOODING 
TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL TELEVISION...CABLE 
TELEVISION OR RADIO FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION. CHECK OUT OUR
WEB SITE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FGF/INDEX.HTML USING LOWER CASE.

$$
KENNEDY

000 
WGUS73 KFGF 271749
FFSFGF
NDC063-271800-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1147 AM CST SAT MAR 27 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NELSON COUNTY EXPIRED AT 1145 AM
CST...

RADAR ESTIMATES AND REPORTS FROM THE AREA INDICATE ONE TO TWO INCHES 
OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY OR 
FROM PEKIN THROUGH TOLNA...STUMP LAKE TO LAKOTA THROUGH THE MORNING. 
THERE HAVE BEEN NO REPORTS OF FLOODING.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE 
AFTERNOON WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE INCH OF RAIN POSSIBLE.

THE RAIN IS FALLING ON FROZEN GROUND AND THE CULVERTS AND DITCHES IN 
THE AREA REMAIN ICE CONGESTED. THE RAIN WILL ALSO INCREASE THE 
SNOWMELT RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL RUNOFF WHICH WILL CAUSE SMALL 
STREAMS TO RISE QUICKLY. 

REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL TELEVISION...CABLE
TELEVISION OR RADIO FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION. CHECK OUT OUR
WEB SITE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FGF/INDEX.HTML USING LOWER CASE.

$$
KENNEDY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
315 AM CST SAT MAR 27 2004

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERN THIS MORNING IS CONTINUATION OF RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY IN
ERN ND. SAT IMAGERY AND SFC OBSERVATIONS SHOW ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE PUME STILL WORKING NORTHWARD THROUGH ERN SD. CONVECTION
MOVING INTO SERN ND FROM NERN SD APPEARS TO BE SPEADING ALONG AN
ELEVATED BOUNDARY INTO WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MN THROUGH LAST
HOUR. DEFORMATION ZONE STRATIFORM PRECIP IS STILL PIVOTING WEST OF A
JAMESTOWN TO PEMBINA LINE. WILL KEEP LIKELY TO CATEGORIC POPS IN FOR
MUCH OF THE FGF CWFA TODAY...WITH QPF VALUES GENERALLY BELOW ONE
QUARTER INCH. SFC LOW SHOULD MOVE OVR THE LK OF THE WOODS AREA BY
MIDDAY...AND NORTHWEST WINDS COMPLETELY OVERTAKE THE RED RIVER BASIN
BY EARLY AFTERNOON. COLDER 850MB TEMPS DECEND OVR THE AREA THROUGH
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT CHANGE TO RAIN AND SNOW MIX
OVER PORTIONS OF ERN ND AND EXTREME NORTHWEST MN THIS AFTERNOON
...WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW TONIGHT. NO SIG SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED.

FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE THIS MORNING. FLOOD WARNINGS FOR EAST
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ND WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH TODAY. EXPECT
TO SEE SOME SIGNIFICANT OVERLAND FLOODING PROBLEMS ALG AND WEST OF A
CAVALIER TO GRAFTON...LARIMORE AND FINLEY LINE. NORTH DAKOTA
TRIBUTARIES WILL BE RESPONDING QUICKLY TO THIS RUNOFF AND MOST
APPROACH FLOOD STAGE WITHIN NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAINSTEM RED RIVER WILL
BEGIN TO RESPOND LATER IN COMING WEEK. FORTUNEATELY...MID TO LATE
WEEK PERIOD LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...FLOOD WARNING FOR TOWNER/CAVALIER/PEMBINA/BENSON/RAMSEY/EASTERN
     WALSH/WESTERN WALSH/EDDY/GRAND FORKS/GRIGGS/NELSON AND STEELE
     COUNTIES THRU 00Z MON.

&&

GUST

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
537 AM CST SAT MAR 27 2004

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-271436-
BARNES-BENSON-CASS-CAVALIER-CLAY-EAST BECKER-EAST MARSHALL-
EAST OTTER TAIL-EAST POLK-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-GRAND FORKS-
GRANT-GRIGGS-HUBBARD-KITTSON-LAKE OF THE WOODS-MAHNOMEN-NELSON-
NORMAN-NORTH BELTRAMI-NORTH CLEARWATER-PEMBINA-PENNINGTON-RAMSEY-
RANSOM-RED LAKE-RICHLAND-ROSEAU-SARGENT-SOUTH BELTRAMI-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-STEELE-TOWNER-TRAILL-WADENA-WEST BECKER-
WEST MARSHALL-WEST OTTER TAIL-WEST POLK-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-WILKIN-
537 AM CST SAT MAR 27 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ALONG AND
WEST OF RED RIVER VALLEY. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL. OTHERWISE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY
ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE MAIN THREAT SHIFTING TO HEAVY RAINFALL.
BY THIS EVENING WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS FROM A HALF TO ONE INCH ARE
LIKELY WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. ANY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER FROZEN
SOILS COULD LEAD TO FLOOD PROBLEMS. AS A RESULT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FGF/INDEX.HTML (ALL LOWER CASE)

VOELKER