Tornado Warning 26, NWS Charleston, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1020 PM EDT SUN SEP 5 2004

.PUBLIC...BANDS OF RAIN FROM FRANCES HAVE BEEN SPINNING OVER SE GA
MAINLY S OF I-16 THE PAST FEW HRS AND THIS SCENARIO SHOULD PERSIST
FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW HRS. THUS...THE ONGOING POP SCHEME SEEMS
TO BE WORKING NICELY WITH LOW/MID CHC POPS OVER SE SC INCRG TO HI
CHC/LIKELY POPS OVER SE GA. TEMPS AND WINDS LOOK IN LINE SO DO
ANTICIPATE AN UPDATE BEING NEEDED.

&&

.MARINE...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OVER THE WATERS STILL BEING REPORTED
AT 25-35 KT WITH GUSTS APCHG 40 KT. GIVEN THAT STRONGER BANDS FROM
FRANCES ARE CONTINUING TO SPIN ONSHORE OVER THE GA WATERS DO NOT SEE
MUCH REASON TO REMOVE THE GALE HEADLINE ATTM. WILL MAINTAIN VEERING
TO ELY AND WILL KEEP SPEEDS AS IS...BUT WILL MAKE MINOR TWEAK TO
MON/S INITIAL SPEED OVER THE GA OFFSHORE WATERS BY BUMPING THOSE
SPEEDS UP TO 30 KT.

AS FOR WAVE HEIGHTS...HAVE SEEN WAVES COME DOWN A BIT IN THE PAST
COUPLE OF HRS TO ARND 10-11 FT. NEVERTHELESS...WITH THE BANDS MOVING
ACRS...WIND WAVE COMPONENT IS DOMINATING AS PDS HAVE COME DOWN TO
6-8 SEC. WITH THIS IN MIND...WAVES MAY INCRS BETWEEN HOURLY BUOY OBS
SO WILL NOT MESS WITH ONGOING SEAS AS CWF CURRENTLY ADVERTISES.

FOR THE SC WATERS...WILL MAINTAIN SCA HEADLINES FOR ALL WATERS AS
WINDS ARE WELL WITHIN SCA CRITERIA INCLUDING THE CHS HARBOR. WAVES
ALSO LOOK IN LINE...SO WILL ONLY MAKE MINOR INITIALIZATION TWEAKS.

&&

.AVIATION...BANDS FROM FRANCES STARTING TO WREAK HAVOC ON THE CIGS
AT BOTH TERMINALS...ESP AT KSAV. HAVE SEEN CIGS AS LOW AS OVC018 AND
AS HIGH AS FEW030. HAVE TRIED TO HANDLE THIS BY KEEPING BKN CIGS ABV
3KFT THEN GONE WITH TEMPO GROUPS OF MVFR/IFR CIGS THRU 05/08Z.
AFTERWARDS...WILL CONTINUE THE IDEA OF PROB30 GROUPS TO LOOK FOR
BANDS OF RAIN AFFECTING BOTH TERMINALS. AT NEXT ROUTINE
ISSUANCE...MAY NEED TO INCRS PROB30 GROUPS TO TEMPO GROUPS AT KSAV.
AS FOR WINDS...WILL CONTINUE WIND SPEEDS AOA 12KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS
THRU MOST OF THE FCST PD.

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...HIGH SURF ADVISORY THROUGH 8 AM SUNDAY GAZ117-119-139-141.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY GAZ116>119-137>141.
     TORNADO WATCH GAZ114-116>119-137>141 UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY.
SC...HIGH SURF ADVISORY THROUGH 8 AM SUNDAY SCZ048>051.
MARINE...GALE WARNING AMZ354-374.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AMZ330-350-352
         TORNADO WATCH AMZ354 UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY.
&&

JPC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
502 AM EDT SUN SEP 5 2004

AMZ350-352-354-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>045-
047>051-060901-
ALLENDALE-BEAUFORT-BERKELEY-BULLOCH-CANDLER-CHARLESTON-COASTAL BRYAN-
COASTAL CHATHAM-COASTAL COLLETON-COASTAL JASPER-COASTAL LIBERTY-
COASTAL MCINTOSH-DORCHESTER-EFFINGHAM-EVANS-HAMPTON-INLAND BRYAN-
INLAND CHATHAM-INLAND COLLETON-INLAND JASPER-INLAND LIBERTY-
INLAND MCINTOSH-JENKINS-LONG-SCREVEN-TATTNALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAXTON...DARIEN...HALFMOON LANDING...
HINESVILLE...LUDOWICI...METTER...MILLEN...PEMBROKE...REIDSVILLE...
SAVANNAH...SPRINGFIELD...STATESBORO...SYLVANIA...TOWNSEND...
WILMINGTON...WILMINGTON ISLAND...ALLENDALE...BEAUFORT...CHARLESTON...
EDISTO BEACH...HAMPTON...HILTON HEAD ISLAND...MONCKS CORNER...
RIDGELAND...SAINT GEORGE AND WALTERBORO
502 AM EDT SUN SEP 5 2004

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...
...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY FOR THE GEORGIA COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING FOR THE GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS OUT 60 NM...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
.MARINE...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT AS
LARGE WAVES OF 10 TO 15 FEET BREAK ALONG THE BEACHES. BEACH EROSION
IS ALSO POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. PLEASE
REFER TO THE LATEST SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SURF ZONE
FORECAST...AND COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.STRONG WINDS...WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE GA
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT.  A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.  IN
ADDITION...GALE FORCE WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KT WILL PREVAIL OFF THE GA
COAST OVER THE GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 60 NM. PLEASE REFER TO
THE LATEST MARINE STATEMENT FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
.MARINE...THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE GEORGIA
AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS ON MONDAY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL ALSO
BE IN EFFECT AS LARGE WAVES OF 10 TO 15 FEET BREAK ALONG THE BEACHES.
BEACH EROSION IS ALSO POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SURF
ZONE FORECAST...AND COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
912 PM EDT SUN SEP 5 2004

GAZ114-116>119-137>141-061000-
COASTAL BRYAN-COASTAL CHATHAM-COASTAL LIBERTY-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
INLAND BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-INLAND LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-LONG-
TATTNALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DARIEN...HALFMOON LANDING...HINESVILLE...
LUDOWICI...PEMBROKE...REIDSVILLE...SAVANNAH...TOWNSEND...
WILMINGTON AND WILMINGTON ISLAND
912 PM EDT SUN SEP 5 2004

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MON...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. REMEMBER...SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCED
WARNING. THE WATCH INCLUDES THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COUNTIES OF
BRYAN...CHATHAM...LIBERTY...LONG...MCINTOSH AND TATTNALL AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 20 NM.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PEOPLE IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

JPC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
927 PM EDT SUN SEP 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TORNADO          DARIEN                  31.37N 81.43W
09/05/2004                   MCINTOSH           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            RELAYED PUBLIC REPORT OF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN ALONG HWY 99
            BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 7 AND 8. TREES DOWN...POWERLINES
            DOWN...AND PORCH RIPPED AWAY FROM A HOUSE.

&&

JPC