Severe Thunderstorm Warning 87, NWS Tulsa, OK

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
900 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2003

STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY RESIDES SOUTH OF CWA ALTHOUGH
DEWPOINTS ACROSS SOUTHERN COUNTIES ARE STILL IN THE MID 60S. SHOWERS
HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ARE
RAPIDLY MOVING EASTWARD. KSRX RADAR CURRENTLY SHOWS SOME LIGHT
SHOWERS TRYING TO REDEVELOP OVER PUSHMATAHA AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES.

WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES
OVERNIGHT. TEMPS AND SKY COVER APPEAR TO BE ON TRACK AT THIS TIME.
HAVE LOWERED WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA AS WE HAVE GONE LIGHT TO
CALM IN MOST AREAS. UPDATE WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.

FORECAST ID= 06

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2003

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

...CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY WAS LOCATED
ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THE
FRONT MAY MAKE SOME ADDITIONAL SOUTHWARD PROGRESS BEFORE BECOMING
NEARLY STATIONARY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE WILL AGAIN BE
THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON.  WITH DAYTIME
HEATING STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON STARTING NEAR
THE FRONT OVER NORTH CENTRAL OR NORTHEAST TEXAS. IF STORMS DEVELOP
NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY THEY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO MOVE INTO FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS...AND POSSIBLY INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. THE
GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LIKELY BE TO THE SOUTH OF
A MCALESTER TO FORT SMITH LINE. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN
PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT
YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR THE RED RIVER IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING
SLOWLY BACK NORTH BY LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.  SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER...ESPECIALLY ON SATURDAY.  DRY WEATHER
IS THEN EXPECTED THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED FOR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0526 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0730 PM    4 SW HARTFORD             AR   0.88 IN HAIL
05/01/03   SEBASTIAN                      REPORTED BY PUBLIC

0427 PM    2 NE SALINA               OK   0.88 IN HAIL
05/01/03   MAYES                          REPORTED BY PUBLIC

BAS

OKZ049-053-076-030700-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
945 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
217 UNTIL 200 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES...
IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

CHOCTAW               LE FLORE              PUSHMATAHA

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO AND POTEAU.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOP THIS EVENING ALONG A
STATIONARY FRONT...LOCATED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA NEAR THE
RED RIVER.  THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...BEFORE STORMS SHIFT SOUTHEAST.
LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARILY THREAT WITH THESE SEVERE
STORMS.