Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Tulsa, OK

April 16, 2003Nowata County, Rogers County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 16, 2003, 1:27 AM CDT for Nowata County, Rogers County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 16, 2003, 1:27 AM CDT (06:27 UTC)
Expired
Apr 16, 2003, 2:15 AM CDT
In force
48 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Nowata County, OK, Rogers County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Apr 15, 11:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2003-04-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2003-04-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2736 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

475 
WUUS54 KTSA 160627
SVRTUL
OKC105-131-160715-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
127 AM CDT WED APR 16 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NOWATA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
  NORTHWESTERN ROGERS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 215 AM CDT

* AT 127 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
  A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES WEST OF DELAWARE TO 7 MILES WEST OF
  OOLOGAH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...NOWATA...
  DELAWARE...WATOVA...NEW ALLUWE...OOLOGAH AND TALALA.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
IN THE WARNED AREA. STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE
STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3682 9585 3634 9582 3655 9546 3686 9542

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 15, 9:30 PM CDT, 3 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 9:30 PM CDT, 3 hours 57 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
930 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

WILL ISSUE AN UPDATE TO ZFP AND RDF TO ADJUST POPS TONIGHT BASED ON
LATEST RADAR TRENDS. WILL EXTEND CATEGORICAL POPS TO AREAS BASICALLY
WEST OF A TULSA-MCALESTER LINE...TAPERING TO CHANCE OVER NW ARK AS
ACTIVITY NOW MOVING INTO CENTRAL OK EXPECTED TO UNDERGO WEAKENING
TREND THROUGH THE NIGHT. PER COOD WITH SPC...TORNADO WATCH WILL NOT
EXTEND INTO TULSA CWA. TEMP AND WIND FORECAST LOOK GOOD FOR NOW.

.PREV DISC...
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MARCH ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA
THIS EVENING...AND HAS HAD A HISTORY OF PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER
OVER MAINLY SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA. MILLION DOLLAR QUESTION IS WILL THE
ACTIVITY HOLD TOGETHER LONG ENOUGH TO IMPACT TULSA CWA TONIGHT.
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS SHOW LINE BECOMING MORE ILL-DEFINED AND APPEARS
TO BE TRANSITIONING MORE INTO A LARGE AREA OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED
THUNDER WITH MAIN INFLOW BEING CUT OFF AT THE LOW LEVELS. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A
HIGH PROBABILITY OF SEVERE BY THE TIME THE STORMS REACH EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. A FEW SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE WEST OF A
TULSA TO WHITESBORO LINE AS 850 WINDS CLOSE TO 70 KTS PROGGED OVER
THE AREA BY AROUND 06Z...CURRENT PROFILER WINDS 55-60KTS OVER
CENTRAL OK.

EXPECT THE STORMS TO FURTHER WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE EAST INTO EXTREME
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...SEVERE THREAT APPEARS
MINIMAL.

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

SULLIVAN
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 15, 9:00 PM CDT, 4 hours 27 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
900 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

...CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT...

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST INTO
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. THIS LINE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AROUND MIDNIGHT AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS
STORMS ENCOUNTER A MORE STABLE AIRMASS.  STRONG SHEAR PROFILES
HOWEVER SUGGEST...THAT A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...PRIMARILY WEST OF A TULSA...EUFAULA
...WHITESBORO LINE.

UPDATED WARNING PROBABILITIES WILL BE OUT SHORTLY. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WARNING PROBABILITIES CAN BE FOUND IN THE
OUTLOOKS SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN PROBABILITIES
REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE BY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH EASTER DAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE
AREA. FORECAST MOISTURE RETURN AND WIND PROFILES APPEAR SUFFICIENT
FOR A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS PERIOD.

.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA BY LATE
EVENING.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 15, 11:16 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
OKZ054>076-161000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1116 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
#125 UNTIL 500 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 23 COUNTIES...
IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA:

CHEROKEE              MUSKOGEE              OKFUSKEE
SEQUOYAH

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

ADAIR                 CRAIG                 CREEK
DELAWARE              MAYES                 NOWATA
OKMULGEE              OSAGE                 OTTAWA
PAWNEE                ROGERS                TULSA
WAGONER               WASHINGTON

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

HASKELL               LATIMER               LE FLORE
MCINTOSH              PITTSBURG

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BARTLESVILLE...BRISTOW...BROKEN ARROW...
CLAREMORE...EUFAULA...JAY...MCALESTER...MIAMI...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...PAWHUSKA...PAWNEE...POTEAU...PRYOR...SALLISAW...
SAND SPRINGS...STIGLER...STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...TULSA...VINITA...
WAGONER AND WILBURTON.
Special weather statement, Apr 15, 11:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
OKZ054-059-160545-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1147 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES
   UNTIL 1245 AM CDT...

AT 1147 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF PAWNEE TO 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MARAMEC...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. THE COMMUNITIES OF
PAWHUSKA...HOMINY...WYNONA...PERSHING...PAWNEE...MARAMEC...
BLACKBURN...SKEDEE...CLEVELAND AND RALSTON WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
STORMS THROUGH 1245 AM CDT. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT IN CASE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.
Local storm report, Apr 16, 12:37 AM CDT, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1237 AM CDT WED APR 16 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1211 AM    CLEVELAND                 OK   59 MPH TSTORM WIND
04/16/03   PAWNEE

CKH
Local storm report, Apr 16, 1:08 AM CDT, 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0108 AM CDT WED APR 16 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1241 AM    BRISTOW                   OK   60 MPH TSTORM WIND
04/16/03   CREEK

CKH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee61 min
Apr 16, 12:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek45 min
Apr 16, 12:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSATulsa57 min
Apr 16, 12:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWashington64 min
Apr 16, 12:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage32 min
Apr 16, 1:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOkfuskee44 min
Apr 16, 1:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOkmulgee, Tulsa44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.