Alert archive / North Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 1821

July 13, 200327 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 13, 2003, 6:53 PM CDT for 27 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2003, 6:53 PM CDT (23:53 UTC)
Expired
Jul 13, 2003, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 27 counties

Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Morton County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND, Wells County, ND

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 81 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2003-07-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2003-07-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 110 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-624 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1957 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

271 
ACUS11 KWNS 132354
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132353 
MNZ000-NDZ000-140200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1821
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND ERN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 739...

VALID 132353Z - 140200Z

RADAR SHOWS ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OVER CENTRAL ND WITH GUST
FRONT WRAPPING AROUND INTO MISO LOW IN ERN MCLEAN
COUNTY...INDICATING SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO
UPDRAFT BASE.  BACKING SURFACE WINDS OVER ERN ND ARE HELPING TO
PRODUCE 0-1 SRH VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 150-200 M2/S2.  COMBINATION
OF INCREASED LOW LEVEL SHEAR E OF CURRENT CONVECTIVE SYSTEM ALONG
WITH WARMER BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINT VALUES SUGGEST CONTINUED THREAT
OF ISOLATED TORNADOES. TORNADO THREAT WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY IF GUST
FRONT SURGES AND UNDER CUTS UPDRAFT BASE.  OTHERWISE...DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MOST COMMON SEVERE
WEATHER TYPE OVER THE WW.

..JEWELL.. 07/13/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

46410183 48480093 48869721 46319685 46019978

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Dunn, Hettinger, McLean, Mercer, Oliver and 1 more2 hr
Jul 13, 3:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Barnes, Benson, Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh and 38 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.