Flash Flood Warning 42, NWS Raleigh, NC

000 
WGUS72 KRAH 292011
FFSRAH
NCC183-292100-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
410 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR WAKE COUNTY UNTIL 
500 PM...

SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN NEAR 
FUQUAY-VARINA...MCCULLERS CROSSROADS...AND HOLLY SPRINGS. RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS MAY EXCEED THREE INCHES PER HOUR IN THESE AREAS...RESULTING 
IN FLOODING OF ROADS...CREEKS...AND DITCHES. 

THUNDERSTORMS THAT PRODUCED ROAD FLOODING IN RALEIGH HAVE MOVE EAST 
OF THE CITY. DITCHES AND DIPS IN ROADS MAY BE FLOODED IN AND AROUND 
RALEIGH. 

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER IS USUALLY DEEPER
THAN IT APPEARS. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO
SWEEP MOST VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER
SHOULD BE ABANDONED.

$$

DGS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
210 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2003

MOISTURE INCREASED ABOUT THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ON THE GSO
SOUNDING AT 00Z. EARLIER FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE HINDERED BY LESSER
INSTABILITY IN THE NORTHWEST. BUT FURTHERN SOUTH AND EAST...WHERE
DEW POINTS ARE IN THE 70 TO 76 RANGE...THERE WONT BE ANY LACK OF
POTENTIAL THERMODYNAMICS AS THE FRONT SAGS THROUGH LATER THIS
MORNING AND THE AFTERNOON. WILL RAISE TO HIGH LIKELY POPS ALL BUT
NORTHWEST. JET AXIS IS WELL REMOVED TO THE NORTH WITH WEAK UPPER
DIVERGENCE AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND PROFILE AS WELL SO SEVERE STORMS
LOOK UNLIKELY. CLOUDINESS FROM THE MCS IS NOT AS WIDESPREAD AS ONE
WOULD EXPECT...SO LOW 80S NORTHWEST TO UPPER 80S SOUTHEAST LOOK ON
TRACK.

WILL KEEP BETTER POPS SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
DRIER AIR...ESPECIALLY AT MID AND UPPER LEVELS...NOSES IN BRIEFLY
WITH EAST OR NORTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO MY CENTRAL CWFA.
SOMETHING LIKE 20 NORTHWEST TO 40 EAST. FAIR CHANCES AGAIN THURSDAY
WITH THE FRONT LIFTING OUT AS LONG WAVE TROF PATTERN SETS UP AGAIN
OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THIS SETS UP SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE
EAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HARD TO DETERMINE WHAT DAY(S) MIGHT BE A
BIT MORE LIKELY TO HAVE POPS AT THIS POINT SO WILL CONTINUE
CLIMATOLOGICAL DIURNAL CONVECTION.

.RAH...NONE.

MLM

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-291020-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
422 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

NCZ041-292000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
305 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS WAKE COUNTY THROUGH 400
PM...

AT 305 PM EDT...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING OVER
CENTRAL WAKE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF RALEIGH. THE STORMS ARE
MOVING EAST AT AROUND 10 MPH.

GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING
AND SMALL HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

RAIN AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES HAVE BEEN NOTED NEAR RALEIGH SINCE
2 PM. PEA SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED NEAR THE CROSSROADS INTERSECTION
IN CARY.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE WATER LEVELS TO RISE RAPIDLY IN CREEKS AND
DITCHES.  MOTORISTS WILL NEED TO USE EXTREME CAUTION IN AREAS WHERE
WATER COVERS THE ROAD.  IF YOU ENCOUNTER AN INTERSECTION OR ROAD
WHERE WATER IS MOVING SWIFTLY OR YOU ARE UNCERTAIN OF THE WATER
DEPTH...DO NOT TAKE ANY CHANCES.  TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE
TO YOUR DESTINATION.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...NEW
HOPE...KNIGHTDALE...WENDELL...AND ZEBULON.

SGY

NCZ075>077-086-088-292015-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
320 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2003

...SEVERAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS LEE...HARNETT...
MOORE...CUMBERLAND... AND HOKE COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM...

AT 320 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SEVERAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
EXTENDING FROM EAST OF CARTHAGE TO NORTHWEST OF FORT BRAGG. THE
STORMS WERE MOVING EAST AT AROUND 10 MPH.

GUSTY WINDS UP OF 40 TO 50 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING STRIKES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...POPE
AFB...WHISPERING PINES...LEMON SPRINGS... PINEVIEW... OLIVIA...AND
ANDERSON CREEK.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM.

SGY