Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 166, NWS Northern Indiana

July 7, 2003Fulton County, Ohio

NWS Northern Indiana issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 7, 2003, 1:10 PM EDT for Fulton County, Ohio. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 7, 2003, 1:10 PM EDT (17:10 UTC)
Expired: Jul 7, 2003, 2:00 PM EDT
In force: 50 min
Issued by: NWS Northern Indiana
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Fulton County, OH

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 7, 9:45 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 12 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -211 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 571 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 110 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 144 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KIWX 071710
SVRIWX
OHC051-071800-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
110 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  FULTON COUNTY IN OHIO

* UNTIL 200 PM EDT

* AT 110 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF FAYETTE TO ARCHBOLD TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF ARCHBOLD...
  MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...
  WAUSEON
  LYONS
  DELTA
  SWANTON
  METAMORA

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS LINE OF SEVERE
STORMS SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA.

LAT...LON 4148 8433 4152 8438 4172 8438 4172 8404
          4172 8385 4148 8394

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 7, 3:39 AM EDT, 9 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 3:39 AM EDT, 9 hours 31 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
239 AM EST MON JUL 7 2003

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ON MONDAY A COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING THE CWA FROM THE
NORTHWEST. TUESDAY MORNING THE FRONT WILL BE ENTERING THE NORTHERN
PART OF OUR CWA...WILL STALL OUT OVER THE AREA FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. THE GFS DEVELOPS A MCS OVER IOWA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT/EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND MOVES THIS ACROSS OUR CWA MIDDAY WEDNESDAY TO
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE GEM IS NOT AS STRONG WITH THIS SYSTEM AS MOST
OF THE OTHER MODELS ARE. BEST CHANCE FOR MONDAY AHEAD OF THIS NEXT
FRONTAL SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE ABOUT MIDDAY TO EVENING TIME FRAME.
DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S...WE ARE IN SLIGHT RISK...AND
WILL BE GETTING SOME GOOD HEATING OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THE INSTABILITY
IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALSO KEEP INCREASING AS THE DAY WEARS ON. BY
LATE AFTERNOON ETA BUFKIT HAS CAPES 3000 TO 3600 J/KG...LI OF -6 AND
LOWER...SI -4 TO -6...AND TT OF 50 TO 55. FOR MONDAY...SURFACE WINDS
WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND MID TO UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL BE
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST. WITH THE FRONT BEING OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY...THIS WILL ALSO BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE CWA. TEMPERATURES LOOKED GOOD. GUIDANCE FOR
WEDNESDAYS HIGH IS LOWER THAN WHAT ARE FORECASTING. ESPECIALLY
AVNMOS WHICH IS RATHER COOL. NOT GOING TO GO THAT COLD AND STUCK
WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES. PATTERN IS NOT GOING TO CHANGE
CONSIDERABLY...SO DONT EXPECT A DRASTIC CHANGE FROM TUESDAYS HIGH
TO WEDNESDAYS HIGH.

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

ONLY MAJOR CHANGE TO EXTENDED WAS TO ADD A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS ON THURSDAY WITH MAJOR WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION. 00Z
RUNS OF THE GFS STILL AGREE AND ECMWF AS WELL ON THIS FEATURE.
OTHERWISE NO CHANGES.

AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 06Z TAFS...
WHAT SHOULD BE LAST OF THE ORGANIZED CONVECTION WILL BE PAST KSBN BY
08Z AND KFWA BY 11Z. ALSO SOME MVFR FOG TOWARD SUNRISE AS ATMOSPHERE
SETTLES DOWN. WILL TIME NEXT ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 20Z AS
ANOTHER COMPLEX SHOULD FORM IL/IA AND MOVE SOUTHEAST.

.IWX...
IN...FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY FOR ZONES INZ013...INZ015...INZ020...
INZ022>027...INZ032>034.

MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.

BML/RES

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 7, 6:09 AM EDT, 7 hours 1 minute before

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-081015-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
509 AM EST MON JUL 7 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN INDIANA...NORTHWEST
OHIO AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THE MOST LIKELY THREATS.

FLOODING IS STILL A THREAT OVER PARTS OF INDIANA SOUTH OF US ROUTE
30 WHERE RIVERS AND STREAMS REMAIN HIGH OR OUT OF THEIR BANKS.
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE TODAY WHICH MAY CAUSE MORE
FLOOD PROBLEMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY THREAT FROM ANY
STORMS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BUT
THE SEVERE POTENTIAL IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES, OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IWX

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 7, 12:24 PM EDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1124 AM EST MON JUL 07 2003

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1102 AM    1 NW SHIPSHEWANA          IN   WIND DAMAGE
07/07/03   LAGRANGE                       TREES REPORTED DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY AMATEUR RADIO.

1102 AM    5 NE LAGRANGE             IN   WIND DAMAGE
07/07/03   LAGRANGE                       TREES REPORTED DOWN NEAR
                                          THE CITY OF HOWE. REPORTED
                                          BY AMATEUR RADIO.

WAMSLEY

Local storm report, Jul 7, 12:35 PM EDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1135 AM EST MON JUL 07 2003

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1128 AM    8 S ANGOLA                IN   65 MPH WIND GUST
07/07/03   DE KALB                        60 TO 65 MPH WIND GUSTS
                                          MEASURED BY TRAINED SPOTTER

WAMSLEY

Special weather statement, Jul 7, 12:37 PM EDT, 33 minutes before

INZ003>009-012>018-020-023>027-032>034-MIZ077-078-080-081-OHZ001-002-
004-005-015-016-024-025-071715-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1137 AM EST MON JUL 7 2003

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES. IN MICHIGAN...BERRIEN AND CASS. IN INDIANA...LA PORTE...ST
JOSEPH...STARKE...ELKHART...MARSHALL...PULASKI...WHITE...FULTON...AND
KOSCIUSKO.

THE FOLLOWING REMAIN IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 1 PM
EST(2PM EDT). IN MICHIGAN...ST JOSEPH...BRANCH AND HILLSDALE. IN
INDIANA...LAGRANGE...NOBLE...WHITLEY...CASS...MIAMI...WABASH...HUNTIN
GTON...WELLS...JAY...BLACKFORD...ALLEN...STEUBEN...ADAMS...GRANT AND
DEKALB. IN OHIO...PAULDING...VAN WERT...FULTON...DEFIANCE...WILLIAMS
...PUTNAM...ALLEN...AND HENRY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

Local storm report, Jul 7, 12:42 PM EDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT : CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1142 AM EST MON JUL 07 2003

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1128 AM    7 S ANGOLA                IN   65 MPH WIND GUST
07/07/03   STEUBEN                        CORRECTED FROM PREVIOUS
                                          REPORT. 60 TO 65 MPH WINDS
                                          REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

WAMSLEY

Local storm report, Jul 7, 12:55 PM EDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1155 AM EST MON JUL 07 2003

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1137 AM    4 W FORT WAYNE            IN   WIND DAMAGE
07/07/03   ALLEN                          POWERLINE DOWN AT US 30
                                          AND BUTT ROAD. REPORTED BY
                                          LAW ENFORCEMENT.

WAMSLEY

Local storm report, Jul 7, 1:09 PM EDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1209 PM EST MON JUL 07 2003

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1208 PM    MONTPELIER                OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/07/03   WILLIAMS                       TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN
                                          COUNTYWIDE. REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

WAMSLEY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 6, 11:00 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	IWX	Van Wert	2 hr
Jul 7, 12:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Defiance, Williams	72 min
Jul 7, 12:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Paulding	53 min
Jul 7, 1:16 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Henry	29 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Ohio, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.